agip wrote:
Fat hurts wrote:
You may be misinterpreting the data, which I think backs up my thesis.
In that race, Warren was running to represent Massachusetts. So running as an Oklahoman would be a non-starter. She had no choice but to run on her record in that state. So Warren was seen only as a Harvard professor. It's not a surprise that this didn't play well in rural parts of the state.
But a national race is a whole different ball game. We have yet to find out how Warren will be defined.
If she's the Oklahoma school teacher, she does well. If she's the Harvard professor she does poorly.
I hear you, I guess. But the fact remains that Biden has proven strength among small town/ruralers and African Americans.
Warren has neither - in fact she has a poor track record with people who aren't white and urban.
So sure, she could change her appeal somehow. But honestly...the whole eliz warren thing is pretty simple and hard to change...someone in favor of a lot of government solutions to moderate capitalism, and all the lefty PC stuff thrown in.
Without those things...who is she really? She'd be walkign away from her entire persona.
But maybe she could manage the change somehow. I dunno.
I think she has both personas.
She really is an Oklahoman. She talks more like an Oklahoman than a professor. She explains complicated topics in simple terms.
So is she just the Harvard professor, or is she the Oklahoma school teacher who made it all the way to Harvard and the US Senate?
There's a great "hometown gal does good" narrative to Warren's candidacy --- if that's the narrative that comes out.
Her specific policies don't matter if the voters trust that she's on their side. We just don't know how her candidacy will unfold.