All's quiet before the storm...
All's quiet before the storm...
Hootenanny wrote:
All's quiet before the storm...
Indeed there is a storm coming, Mr. Wayne. Now that Sandy has passed the way of waffle-ironed flats and stuffed-crust pizza bagels, we must look back sadly on the lives lost to the storm.
On the flip-side, we must happily anticipate the upcoming bloodshed in Hurricane Susan this Saturday at Genesee Valley Swamp. Although our nation's weather, political climate, and foot striking philosophy
are far from ideal to bring an innocent new life into this world, the scrolls fortell that a hyperbolic pastrami chick will be born somewhere in the fertile farmlands of Western New York.
Taking these new developments into account, some predictions can be made:
1) According to quantum mechanics, the course is short. It turns out the outcome was changed when Coach Izzo measured it.
2) FEMA relief will come in handy to fund the pre-regionals Pizza party. This is a huge advantage to the Geneseo runners who are used to just having things handed to them.
3) NYU's week of underwater cross-training should help them win the second event in this year's Tri-wizard Tournament
4) As far (and wide) as individuals go, John Longo has to be the big favorite. Realizing the enormity of the season's climax, John should thrust out the competition by a foot (at least).
As Sandy taught us, it's not about the motion of the ocean, but rather the preparedness of communities in the face of a crisis.
I was burned out from exhaustion buried in the hail
Poisoned in the bushes and blown out on the trail
Hunted like a crocodile ravaged in the corn
"Come in" she said
"I'll give you shelter from the storm".
Serious Predictions:
Geneseo
NYU
Cortland
SLU
RPI
U of R
I predict that SLU will be within 10 points of Cortland and U or R will be within 5 points of RPI
I know it is common practice to hate on RPI on these forums but Lynch's teams always come on strong at the end of the year. Last year they lost to Vassar at LL and then came in 6th at regionals.
Top 10 Predictions:
Geneseo
Cortland
NYU
Rochester
SLU
Oneonta
RPI
Middlebury
Ithaca
Plattsburgh
Reagan Lives wrote:
I know it is common practice to hate on RPI on these forums but Lynch's teams always come on strong at the end of the year. Last year they lost to Vassar at LL and then came in 6th at regionals.
Maybe RPI is being hated upon because they haven't shown that they deserve not to be. They lost to UR by 40 points at states. At regionals where the competition is more top-heavy that's even more points.
Calling it right now: no way Cortland beats NYU and no way Rochester beats SLU. That's just not how it is.
So lad when you link wrote:
Calling it right now: no way Cortland beats NYU and no way Rochester beats SLU. That's just not how it is.
No way? Hasn't rochester beaten slu twice already this year?
BroncoBama! wrote:
Reagan Lives wrote:I know it is common practice to hate on RPI on these forums but Lynch's teams always come on strong at the end of the year. Last year they lost to Vassar at LL and then came in 6th at regionals.
Maybe RPI is being hated upon because they haven't shown that they deserve not to be. They lost to UR by 40 points at states. At regionals where the competition is more top-heavy that's even more points.
My point was that RPI may not have run their best at States. If you look at last year's results RPI easily had their best race at regionals. Also while regionals can be considered more "top-heavy" there are a lot more people that will displace UR's 4 & 5 runner that were not at States. Whereas RPI won't be affected by this as much since they have such a tight pack.
UR had 7 in front of RPIs 5th so idk about that pack logic
What teams will get into nationals and who will be the first out? No one cares about 7th place.. until next year when the cap is gone
I have no idea how--if at all--NYU was affected by the hurricane/power outage and more recent nor'easter. I've been assuming that they didn't hold classes for a week, but I don't even know that.
Actually, if classes were cancelled, that might have been a good thing: a chance to get training in during full daylight, rather than the usual dicey running-in-the-dark session after EDT becomes EST. But I really don't know.
NYU's performance in the extremely tough UAA meet suggested that both squads were "coming around" at just the right time. This weekend's race is gonna be very interesting--you wonder how much, if at all, the top teams will back off for Regionals. NYU's men played the train-through-Regionals game several years ago, and were badly burned...
kibitzer wrote:
NYU's performance in the extremely tough UAA meet suggested that both squads were "coming around" at just the right time. This weekend's race is gonna be very interesting--you wonder how much, if at all, the top teams will back off for Regionals. NYU's men played the train-through-Regionals game several years ago, and were badly burned...
What could someone possibly be training for if they are training through regionals? Indoor track? Nationals is in a week.
Use the kaioken attack!
I have no idea what the course looks like but I'm predicting the winning time somewhere in the low 25s with good conditions. Sub 25 minutes is also possible but not as probable.
Safe bet for the team win is Geneseo with NYU and Cortland as possible upsets.
gp boyz wrote:
UR had 7 in front of RPIs 5th so idk about that pack logic
True but I think that they can put 6 before UR 5th easily and possibly even their 4th if they run well. No one thought they would be near the top 5 last year and they ended up in 6th. So if they have an equivalently good race to last year they can sneak into the top 5.
Fast course. Someone is going below 25, and also, if you look at the states results, RPI's guys ran shitty. Very few of them preformed. If you look at Liberty leagues, that gives a better perspective on RPI's Fitness.
I believe that the only one who can go sub 25 is Geneseo's Alex Brimstien. I would expect a few others in the low 25s, Geneseo's Tom Clark, NYU's Oja and maybe a Cortland guy should be there. If the pace lags and isn't honest from the gun then low 25s will win it. It would be great to see a fast race.
2 years ago on the Oneonta airfield there were 6 under 25. I think this course is just as fast as that one was, and possibly faster. I think we'll be able to (if the weather stays good) make some pretty accurate predictions about how our region will do at the big dance by comparing the two races.
Super B wrote:
I believe that the only one who can go sub 25 is Geneseo's Alex Brimstien. I would expect a few others in the low 25s, Geneseo's Tom Clark, NYU's Oja and maybe a Cortland guy should be there. If the pace lags and isn't honest from the gun then low 25s will win it. It would be great to see a fast race.
No way that this course is similar to Oneonta's. The airfeild is much faster. 24:50ish is the fastest you will see and that is unlikely.