Bullard: 50 bps raise support in March a possibility…..oh no!
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Contrarian Indicator alert wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
At 11:42 AM EST 2/14 S&P 500 6.76% gain YTD, but still in third. 😹😹
Brilliant! The S&P literally turned around the moment you posted that! 😅😅
Times that try a sucker’s soul. 😹
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Earnings Scorecard: For Q4 2022 (with 82% of S&P 500 companies reporting actual results), 68% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive EPS surprise and 65% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive revenue surprise.
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Sommers is back in the news.
Stating the obvious. Interesting to see if Biden and company heed the warning (they ignored it last time in the interest of equity).
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Earnie wrote:
Earnings Scorecard: For Q4 2022 (with 82% of S&P 500 companies reporting actual results), 68% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive EPS surprise and 65% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive revenue surprise.
Same FactSet Report:
“Overall, 82% of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported actual results for Q4 2022 to date. Of these companies, 68% have reported actual EPS above estimates, which is below the percentage of 69% at the end of last week, below the 5- year average of 77%, and below the 10-year average of 73%. In aggregate, companies are reporting earnings that are 1.3% above estimates, which is above the percentage of 1.1% at the end of last week, but below the 5-year average of 8.6% and below the 10-year average of 6.4%. If 1.3% is the actual surprise percentage for the quarter, it will mark the second-lowest surprise percentage reported by the index since 2008.”
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2022 S&P 500 GAAP EPS down to $171
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Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Earnie wrote:
Earnings Scorecard: For Q4 2022 (with 82% of S&P 500 companies reporting actual results), 68% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive EPS surprise and 65% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive revenue surprise.
Same FactSet Report:
“Overall, 82% of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported actual results for Q4 2022 to date. Of these companies, 68% have reported actual EPS above estimates, which is below the percentage of 69% at the end of last week, below the 5- year average of 77%, and below the 10-year average of 73%. In aggregate, companies are reporting earnings that are 1.3% above estimates, which is above the percentage of 1.1% at the end of last week, but below the 5-year average of 8.6% and below the 10-year average of 6.4%. If 1.3% is the actual surprise percentage for the quarter, it will mark the second-lowest surprise percentage reported by the index since 2008.”
Are you trying to make the argument that things are bad? If so, you’re not doing very good job.
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This quoted post has been removed.
😹
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wondering wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Same FactSet Report:
“Overall, 82% of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported actual results for Q4 2022 to date. Of these companies, 68% have reported actual EPS above estimates, which is below the percentage of 69% at the end of last week, below the 5- year average of 77%, and below the 10-year average of 73%. In aggregate, companies are reporting earnings that are 1.3% above estimates, which is above the percentage of 1.1% at the end of last week, but below the 5-year average of 8.6% and below the 10-year average of 6.4%. If 1.3% is the actual surprise percentage for the quarter, it will mark the second-lowest surprise percentage reported by the index since 2008.”
Are you trying to make the argument that things are bad? If so, you’re not doing very good job.
😹
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Ghost of Igloi wrote:
From here, I believe the bear market rally fizzles, interest rates tick higher, and dollar rises. Not good for risk assets, including my EM Bond CEFs. I will continue to hold, and reinvest income.
One week ago. Not bad for a 75 IQ. That bear market rally is about as wobbly as Gidey’s legs at the World Cross finish.
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This quoted post has been removed.
The mods are childish?
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Brojo fan wrote:
This quoted post has been removed.
The mods are childish?
Its OK, your view of markets will continue to be undermined by the stark reality of valuations, end of free money, and rise of inflation.
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Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Brojo fan wrote:
The mods are childish?
Its OK, your view of markets will continue to be undermined by the stark reality of valuations, end of free money, and rise of inflation.
Classic avoidance.
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Brojo fan wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Its OK, your view of markets will continue to be undermined by the stark reality of valuations, end of free money, and rise of inflation.
Classic avoidance.
Why don’t you do one of your Contrarian Indicator alerts? That has been a disaster lately. Maybe you can take us down to 3,800.
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Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Brojo fan wrote:
Classic avoidance.
Why don’t you do one of your Contrarian Indicator alerts? That has been a disaster lately. Maybe you can take us down to 3,800.
Why don’t you stop blaming others for your posts getting deleted?
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