London Marathon is in 54 days: here are 54 profiles, one per day

Aussiestatman wrote:

should know this next week how London will work. maybe just elites like Tokyo?

Certainly not as a mass event based on what's going on here at the moment, several cities in local lockdown/extra restrictions, many foreign hol destinations in quarantine and now

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Tenth lady may be Edith Chelimo on debut.

Then there is a cliff until the next lady. The Australian, the Portuguese, or the best of the Brits?

13th is Carla Salome Rocha, just Salome Rocha according to her World Athletics profile. Eighth here last year in her PB of 2.24.47, inching ever closer to Rosa Mota's NR. Salome has never really conquered the half: best of 72.12.

Aussiestatman wrote:

13th man should be Yassine Rachik, highest ranked Italian even though the NR was broken by another early this year.. Rachik’s best of 2.08.05 was for ninth here last year then was 12th at Worlds. His PB for 10k of 28.45 is from 2017 when second in Dalmine.

Next may be Jack Rayner, still only 24yo

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

13th man should be Yassine Rachik, highest ranked Italian even though the NR was broken by another early this year.. Rachik’s best of 2.08.05 was for ninth here last year then was 12th at Worlds. His PB for 10k of 28.45 is from 2017 when second in Dalmine.

Next may be Jack Rayner, still only 24yo

14th here last year in 2.11.06 then disappointing 22nd in New York in 2.16.58 after crossing halfway in 64.51.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Charlotte Purdue could finish 12th after a tenth here last year in her PB of 2.25.38.

Had a great result this year in Japan to reach her highest ranking as a road runner: 49. Second over the half in Marugame in 68.23.

Next British lady may well be Jess Piasecki. Made her debut at this classic distance last November in Florence, winning in 2.25.29.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

With the letter from the organisers, do you think its too early to revive this using the list from April? I would resume with the seventh woman. More than 54 days away, gives me time to go even more in depth.

I wonder now with Boston cancelled, will Lawrence Cherono, Lelisa Desisa, Worknesh Degefa, Jemal Yimer, and Caroline Kipkirui all enter here?

Would love to see these five added to the original London list. Where would you slot them in? The two women couldn’t finish higher than third, surely?

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

I wonder now with Boston cancelled, will Lawrence Cherono, Lelisa Desisa, Worknesh Degefa, Jemal Yimer, and Caroline Kipkirui all enter here?

Would love to see these five added to the original London list. Where would you slot them in? The two women couldn’t finish higher than third, surely?

For the next three weeks [hopefully only two] i will go to my current rankings and see where any additions could fall in this order. This is from the thread: Fall Season Schedule-

Bekele is only two seconds outside the WR and he wins against all his peers except one. Somewhat strangely, I think hypothetically that if he runs the same course as Kipchoge, he not only won’t win but 3, 4, or 5 on my list could beat him into third as he gets run off his feet.

And the women: from the same thread-

Similarly, Kosgei is the holder of the WR and winner from London. Brigid showed some vulnerability by losing over the half at RAK to Yeshaneh, but I believe at that time Kosgei’s focus was on London. For me, Brigid is unbeatable over the classic distance unless illness or injury are a factor.

Third and fourth ranked for me are:

Lawrence Cherono won Boston and Chicago last year. At Boston he beat the man who subsequently won the worlds. Chosen number one at year end by this site in their rankings.

If he ran second behind cherono in Boston by two sec, he must be next: Lelisa Desisa.

Aussiestatman wrote:

And the women: from the same thread-

Similarly, Kosgei is the holder of the WR and winner from London. Brigid showed some vulnerability by losing over the half at RAK to Yeshaneh, but I believe at that time Kosgei’s focus was on London. For me, Brigid is unbeatable over the classic distance unless illness or injury are a factor.

Second vs third then:

Ruth Chepngetich is by far second best ATM. Her duel with Worknesh Degefa in Dubai last year proved that. Both through halfway in 68.10, together until 35k then Ruth took only 16.09 to get to 40k and led by 13 sec at that point.

Third then is Degefa after winning Dubai this year. Worknesh was halfway then in 68.36, 1.29 in front. Even at 5k in 16.22 was seventeen seconds ahead of a pack of 14 including a Mexican. The quickest 10k of the event was next: 32.10, which put her already 80 sec ahead of the peloton of ten.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Would love to see these five added to the original London list. Where would you slot them in? The two women couldn’t finish higher than third, surely?

For the next three weeks [hopefully only two] i will go to my current rankings and see where any additions could fall in this order. This is from the thread: Fall Season Schedule-

Bekele is only two seconds outside the WR and he wins against all his peers except one. Somewhat strangely, I think hypothetically that if he runs the same course as Kipchoge, he not only won’t win but 3, 4, or 5 on my list could beat him into third as he gets run off his feet.

5 on my list:

Fifth on my list and last of those capable of usurping Bekele as second to the GOAT in a fall marathon is Mosinet Geremew, runner up in both of the most influential events last year. He might even win a major if he dodges all four I rank above him.

4 and 5:

Fourth woman is Roza Dereje, third in London then winning the amazing Valencia event. In Spain was at halfway with two others in 69.18.

After Roza is Ashete Bekere, winner in Rotterdam and Berlin. In the Dutch event was thru halfway right on 71 min then her fastest 5k split of 16.38 between 25 and 30k put paid to any competition.

You might think Roza would return to Valencia as a priority?

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Tenth lady may be Edith Chelimo on debut.

Just turned 34 with a big gap in her results between 2004 and 2010. PB for a half set in Cardiff 2017 and since has run another five under 68. Only her and the WR holder have six in that time. Another three others have five. Joan Melly stands out from them as hers are all sub 66.20.

Sara Hall is talking about a fall marathon. If here I believe she could be fighting at this level with Megertu, Chelimo, and Diver.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

For the next three weeks [hopefully only two] i will go to my current rankings and see where any additions could fall in this order. This is from the thread: Fall Season Schedule-

Bekele is only two seconds outside the WR and he wins against all his peers except one. Somewhat strangely, I think hypothetically that if he runs the same course as Kipchoge, he not only won’t win but 3, 4, or 5 on my list could beat him into third as he gets run off his feet.

5 on my list:

Fifth on my list and last of those capable of usurping Bekele as second to the GOAT in a fall marathon is Mosinet Geremew, runner up in both of the most influential events last year. He might even win a major if he dodges all four I rank above him.

Sixth ranked in my eyes is Birhanu Legese, winner in Tokyo last year and second in Berlin.

There is a gap after the top six: where I believe none from below that line could finish in front of any above it this fall, barring injury or illness.

Next lady, IMO, is Salpeter of Israel.

7th in my rankings is kamworor but he was going to the world half champs before getting injured.

Seems as though Julian Spence, Aussie 2.14.42 runner, will be one named when the elite list comes out within the next 10 or so days.

Aussiestatman wrote:

Seems as though Julian Spence, Aussie 2.14.42 runner, will be one named when the elite list comes out within the next 10 or so days.

he's gonna be mighty pissed off if he isn't.

fingers crossed for the big moose.

Fat Albert Einstein wrote:

Aussiestatman wrote:

Seems as though Julian Spence, Aussie 2.14.42 runner, will be one named when the elite list comes out within the next 10 or so days.

he's gonna be mighty pissed off if he isn't.

fingers crossed for the big moose.

Of course he is in. And from the original list named before March, Sisay Lemma is added and subtract Yassine Rachik and Dewi Griffiths. Makes it deeper overall.