How can Kwambai lose this? Two marathons, two wins, and a WAY sub 2:05 under his belt? I would be completely shocked if he loses this.
I know he is relatively unexperienced at the distance, but I think that he will do well (regardless of Duncan Kibet abysmal appearance v. Geb, which was very anti-climactic). Well, atleast well enough to win.
P.S. Kwambai wins with 2:06 mid.
the most likely scenario has to be...
stops to take a piss on the first bridge. Then settles in with a chase pack thinking its the lead pack. Splits 67 and 62. Thinks he won only to learn he has come in 7th. Even spends the last half mile celebrating like his trials win. Announcers think he's happy to be the first american. in a post race interview, thanks god about 20 times. goes home with his wife and wont be seen again until the third monday in april just outside of boston.
What's with NY organisation? Patrick Makau already told Kenyan journalists NOT to compete in NY (Kneeinjury), 3 Kenyans pulled out is hard to overcome?
Hall makes therefore a good chance to be top 3! If not to win, bc trainingpartner from Kwambei, Kibet, made some mistakes in training b4 Berlin. Who says Kwambai will be in great form (based on his 59.09PB from R'dam) will be punished.
Some statistics: (based on R'dam half '09)
1.Sammy Kitwara, KEN 58:58 PB 10thBirmingham half 1:01:59
2.Jonathan Maiyo, KEN 59:08 PB No finish in 1th marathon
3.James Kwambai, KEN 59:09 PB I AM AFRAID NY
4.Bernard Kipyego, KEN59:10 PB 2nd Birmingham half 59:59
5.Wilson Chebet, KEN 59:15 PB 6th Birmingham half 1:00:59
6.John Kiprotich, KEN 59:23 PB 21th Frankfurt 02:15:51
7.Robert Kipchumba,KEN59:32 14th Amsterdam 02:13:01
8.Charles Munyeki, KEN1:00:18 4th Chicago 02:07:06
9.Samuel Wanjiru, KEN 1:01:08 1th Chicago 02:05:41
10.Elijah Keitany, KEN1:01:14 2nd Amsterdam 02:06:41
11.Abiyote Guta, ETH 1:01:21PB Expected fast marathon
12.Robert Cheruiyot,KE1:01:22PB 2nd Frankfurt 02:06:23
13.Jacob Yator, KEN 1:01:56 No top 3 in Seoel today
14.Gilbert Yegon, KEN 1:02:00 1th Amsterdam 2:06:18
(!), We will be waching here in Iten!
Adam, that isn't a bad thing when you believe in statistics, see above. A 50/50 half marathon in the preparation period (I call them paid training sessions), gives a good marathon preformance. A half marathon PB will not automaticly give a good marathon time. This has all to do with the yes/no tapering towards your (pre marathon)half marathon. If you do, you will loose 2-3 quality marathontraining sessions. Can at the end be the difference between success and failure!
Go for it Ryan!
new york new york wrote:
Has Hall ever not had a wildly impressive performance in Manhattan?
How about the NYC half marathon this past August? That wasn't very impressive.
run for free wrote:
His time is fast but compared to all time marathon list Hall times does not crack the top 100. Who are we kidding?
I don't know who you're kidding. Hall's PB is 37th all-time at least before Frankfurt:
http://www.alltime-athletics.com/mmaraok.htmHall HAS had a wildly impressive race...the olympic trials there...running 4:30-something miles in central park completely relaxed and waving to the crowd the whole last 3 miles.
manbearpig wrote:
Announcers think he's happy to be the first american. in a post race interview, thanks god about 20 times. goes home with his wife and wont be seen again until the third monday in april just outside of boston.
Only 20? Didja see the RT bit on how he deals with pain? First thing he said was "I think about Jesus."
Hall will need to refocus.....maybe take a break from the marathon and focus on xc/10km/half marathon distance to regain his speed and take a break from the high mileage. He needs to make it 2012 fresh so he can join Meb and Ritz or Torres or ? in London!
I AM Fleetfoot wrote:
Hall 1st 2:06:55!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Well, I guess you are the expert. Wait, you are WRONG!!!!
Congrats to Meb.
No one picked him.
The media all wrote about Hall this and Hall that.
Just like the Olympics, at go time, Hall faded.
Good job Meb. Way to "go fo it", I hope other U.S. runners take note.