Gout - 19.67 Legal

Any confirmation of what AthleticsEditz is saying on Twitter? Really just those two faster?

On the other side of the Indian Ocean, there are a few budding U20's too, plus an old GOAT showing close to peak speed.

They recently had 16yo Marlon Kayster from Boland (outside Cape Town) ripping the 100m U17 WL in 10.31 and 17yo Ubay Arend from Western Cape (Cape Town) the 200m in 20.42, I believe U18 WL, at the SA School Champs. Awesome prospects for World U20's

Then a certain Mr van Niekerk is winning 100m races in 10.17 (against Richardson et al), after splitting the fastest 400m in heavy rain at WC last year. Can he? Could he just...?

The race is 0.3 faster than good normal conditions. a 20.4 guy ran 19.8x. which was really 20.1.

It goes in the books like so many others, with special circumstance of wind pressure humidity track shoes etc.

Bolts 19.19 I see as not optimal in comparison.

That said, Gout is the man, and give him a rare pass on the supplement side of things.

Great run.

Unfortunately when results look too good to be true, they generally are.

I'm sure it was a 'legal' run, in so much that the wind on the straight was within the limit, but presumably they had a perfect cross wind on the bend too.

No way do all 7 run PBs, some of them HUGE, and it not be a little suspect. It reminds me of the 1998 European women's 100m final, when Arron ran 10.73 and Privalova was second in 10.83, not being able to break 11.00 for the rest of the season. In that final they were all at least 1/10th faster than they should realistically have been. I think it's the same here, but I'd suggest they gained 2/10th or maybe 3/10ths.

Anyway, we shall soon see in their next races.

I hate how the wind is becoming the main story and not the actual celebration of what a teen did and yet he now has all these haters. He could of ran under 20 without the wind yes but the wind in his favour just made it well under 20 is my view. But I do feel it's really sad how much he's copping it. Tall poppy syndrome to the max. Regardless of the wind his effort was crazy and the others in the race. Like why are we hating on a kid who is making aths popular again in Aus.

I see Gault chimed in verbatum. Correctly.

This s the example of a perfect storm race.

the Commonwealth 74 1500, the 800 Rudish WR, the Jacob pacing 1500 OG.

As an atlhlete, your goal is to break your second best time under good but not perfect conditions.

So this has nothing to do with Gout, Gault, it is about the nature if the perfect race. where everything is alligned,,everyone brings their A game.

A confounding factor is that the women did not set PRs, in their windy 200...

Maybe the women didn't have a tailwind for the first bend?

He wouldnt have beaten gout gout anyway,although judging by what happened in that race,he might have run 20 flat.if he had been there.

How is that rounded down?

regardless, that track or clock was sus. 2 people with .5 sec PBs, everyone PBed.

It's called rounded down. Happens a lot that the time read from the photo is 1/100th faster than the time on the clock.

I did the following analysis to see how the results of this race, which seem rather strange, compare to other races.

Method

The data used for the analysis was scraped from the WA website. This contains pretty deep lists for all events dating back to 2001. For each competitor in each race I looked at the last 10 performances and took the fastest time as a reference performance. The quality ratio, defined as the race performance to the reference performance, gives us a measure of how well the competitor performed compared to their best results. Race quality is then given by the geometric mean of the quality ratios of each competitor. The race quality score was normalised to have zero mean and standard deviation 10.

The events considered here were the men's and women's 100m, 200m, 400m, 800m, 110mH (100mH) and 400mH. Thresholds were applied so that only races of a required level were considered (a winning time better than the 5000th best performer). This gave results for 10,141 races. Note that 1500m races and higher were excluded because they generally contain a larger number of competitors than races 800m and below.

Results

According to the metric of race quality this race was indeed unusual. The main points:

- This race had a score of 28.55, almost three standard deviations over the mean. This is the second highest of all races analysed. The highest score was 30.24 for a women's 100m race held at Alumni Stadium on 22 June 2025. All 8 competitors outperformed their reference performance in that race.

- Only 5 men's 200m races had a score over 20. The second highest had a score of 25.42 (Sochi, 29 May 2015).

- Only 18 of the 10,141 races have seven or more compeitors with a reference PB.

- For reference, the men's 800m race at the London 2012 Olympics was the 41st 'best' race overall and got a score of 22.94.

I'd give props to the new "carpet" track, assuming no timing screw up.

This ^^ is the kind of dedication we love to see! I applaud the effort, and the outcome does indeed support the claim that this race was pretty unusual...

What he runs next should tell us a lot.

I am taking credit for the 1st post questioning the legitimacy of these times.

Before J Gault and everyone else