Femke Bol 50.96 European Record

NYDCRunner1 wrote:

Freebirdorchestra wrote:

This was on a fast track, and Bol was seeking a fast time, but Bol, having run this time under ideal conditions but without much competition, can probably run it again in the Olympics. Her 2021 Olympic time was her PB for a two year stretch in which she raced a lot, and Bol isn't known for choking. Bol's off-year training wasn't focused on peaking for specific meets to the extent that Syds was. In 2022 and 2023, she just ran a lot.

I'm not saying that Bol can or will necessarily win, but the 0.3 differential between their PBs could easily hold in the Olympic finals. I dunno how to load a screenshot on here, but that's less than the difference between 1st place Anna Cockrell and 3rd place Shamier Little at trials - maybe 2 meters - and that's a race.

One major flaw in your argument - altitude.

Sydney's 50.65 was run at sea level. Bol's 50.9 was run at 3,000ft. Sydney is still substantially faster than Bol. Until Bol repeats this at sea level, I will be discounting her performance at this meet as I have done all the other times at this meet.

NYDCRunner1 wrote:

Freebirdorchestra wrote:

This was on a fast track, and Bol was seeking a fast time, but Bol, having run this time under ideal conditions but without much competition, can probably run it again in the Olympics. Her 2021 Olympic time was her PB for a two year stretch in which she raced a lot, and Bol isn't known for choking. Bol's off-year training wasn't focused on peaking for specific meets to the extent that Syds was. In 2022 and 2023, she just ran a lot.

I'm not saying that Bol can or will necessarily win, but the 0.3 differential between their PBs could easily hold in the Olympic finals. I dunno how to load a screenshot on here, but that's less than the difference between 1st place Anna Cockrell and 3rd place Shamier Little at trials - maybe 2 meters - and that's a race.

One major flaw in your argument - altitude.

Sydney's 50.65 was run at sea level. Bol's 50.9 was run at 3,000ft. Sydney is still substantially faster than Bol. Until Bol repeats this at sea level, I will be discounting her performance at this meet as I have done all the other times at this meet.

NYDCRunner1 wrote:

Freebirdorchestra wrote:

This was on a fast track, and Bol was seeking a fast time, but Bol, having run this time under ideal conditions but without much competition, can probably run it again in the Olympics. Her 2021 Olympic time was her PB for a two year stretch in which she raced a lot, and Bol isn't known for choking. Bol's off-year training wasn't focused on peaking for specific meets to the extent that Syds was. In 2022 and 2023, she just ran a lot.

I'm not saying that Bol can or will necessarily win, but the 0.3 differential between their PBs could easily hold in the Olympic finals. I dunno how to load a screenshot on here, but that's less than the difference between 1st place Anna Cockrell and 3rd place Shamier Little at trials - maybe 2 meters - and that's a race.

One major flaw in your argument - altitude.

Sydney's 50.65 was run at sea level. Bol's 50.9 was run at 3,000ft. Sydney is still substantially faster than Bol. Until Bol repeats this at sea level, I will be discounting her performance at this meet as I have done all the other times at this meet.