Bet it's gonna be 1000 in 2:19, with Jakob targeting 3:27
Bet it's gonna be 1000 in 2:19, with Jakob targeting 3:27
I mean...I'm not sure how far sisk can get after hitting 1000 in 2:18-2:19. Maybe 50 more meters or even 100 on a good day?
Readin wrote:
Peter Sisk also in 1500--assume he's a rabbit. He just ran 1000 in 2:15, so on a good day, he could hit 1200 as fast as they could ask. Any word on pace yet?
He was quasi-pacing that race too. Translation…dude is fit and can make it comfortably to 1,000 meters at 2:18 which will be requested. 1,100 will probably be the goal, not 1,200.
John Wesley Harding wrote:
The 800 times may suffer from Wanyonyi’s withdrawal. It’s doubtful that Paris would have been so historically fast if Wanyonyi hadn’t been there to front run. In Monaco I think Sedjati and Arop will be too wholly focused on winning, and won’t risk being the pacer for the other. Tual is actually the one guy I think might say “You know what, I’ve just run 1:41-mid, let’s see if I can go one better.”
It’s hard to think that Ciattei will follow up the breakthrough race of his life with another 2 second PR. Theoretically, he could have run slightly faster (not 2 seconds!) with optimized splits but that’s ignoring factors of psychology and race dynamics—like, the lagging pace on lap 2 enables Ciattei to stay within himself until it becomes a 400m race where he’s thinking “OMG I can make this team” and completely emptying the tank, vs. losing touch on lap 3 and only closing in 57, or whatever. If he PRs on Friday, even by a hundredth of a second, it will be a positive result.
I think Arop will go with the pacer and be running for a time. He is comfortable front-running and I think his unpredictability is an asset. They know he can do what he did last year in Budapest and abandon the frontrun tactic. Now he wants them to know he can run 1:41-2 from the front (which I think he will prove).
As for Ciattei I agree. The pacing discrepancy is possibly outweighed by running exactly 1500m with full drafting. This DL race will doubtlessly include jostling and some outside running unless he’s content running from the back. Even then he’ll still have to run wide the last 500 to get a PB. I give him a chance at that but think a smaller one of under 1s is the likely outcome (and would be awesome).