Missed tests on: June 6, 2018 January 16, 2019 April 26, 2019
Clearly, three missed tests within a 12-month period (three missed in 324 days to be exact).
However, he appealed that the first test should be backdated to the first day of the testing period, which was April 1, 2018. That made the first and third test about three weeks longer than twelve months. His appeal was upheld and in September he won the World Championship in Doha.
Didn't Gabby Thomas have a similar scenario? 3 whereabout failures in 12 months, but one got thrown out because she claimed the tester just failed to locate her? Was she playing hide and seek or something?
Similar in that it was a "Whereabouts" sanction but a different appeal. Coleman got off on a technicality. Thomas provided proof that she was at the location where she was supposed to be at and the testing official simply did not find her. That missed test was dropped and she then only had two in twelve months.
Katir's progression somewhat mirrors Grant's up until 2019. Then he improves an average of 8 seconds per year for 3 straight years. He regresses in 2022 (presumably due to injury/niggles) then takes a massive leap in 2023. That's when the alarm bells should have gone off.
Something to keep in mind is when you're operating closer to absolute human limits of performance, it's not a linear improvement curve, it's exponential. It's exponentially more difficult each second below 7:30. So even those 3 seconds of improvement between his 2021 and 2023 is damn near impossible. You'd have better luck getting 40% gains on the S&P year-over-year for 10 straight years.
With that said though, do I think Grant is a 7:25 guy clean? Questionable. Grant Fisher 3k progression: 2013 - 8:32.65 - 16 2016 - 7:50.06 - 19 2018 - 7:48.56 - 21 2019 - 7:42.62 - 22 2020 - 7:39.99 - 23 2021 - 7:37.21 - 24 2022 - 7:28.48 - 25 2023 - 7:25.47 - 26
Every time I watch this dude race a 1500m, he looks like he was always straining from the start and somehow he runs 3:28 and beats Nuguse that one DL. Then he bombed out of the semi final 1500, then somehow finishes silver in the 5k. Afterwards he finishes his season with a 3:40 1500m. He’s had some below average performances and world champion level like performances. Very odd.
I think we all saw this coming.
What's your point? Inconsistent performances is a sign for me that you aren't doping.
I don't get the logic of your post. So he runs the 1500 semi but doesn't take his drugs but then decides to take them for the 5000 final? Why not take them for both?
Does this give any more credibility to El Guerrouj potentially being clean?
He's gotta be one of, if not the most consistent high level 1500 runner in history with all his sub 3:30 performances and world titles.
I don't know anyone who thinks El G was clean. I once talked to a 1500 medallist and asked him about El G. I said what are the odds that you think he was dirty? Answer: 110%.
Katir's progression somewhat mirrors Grant's up until 2019. Then he improves an average of 8 seconds per year for 3 straight years. He regresses in 2022 (presumably due to injury/niggles) then takes a massive leap in 2023. That's when the alarm bells should have gone off.
Something to keep in mind is when you're operating closer to absolute human limits of performance, it's not a linear improvement curve, it's exponential. It's exponentially more difficult each second below 7:30. So even those 3 seconds of improvement between his 2021 and 2023 is damn near impossible. You'd have better luck getting 40% gains on the S&P year-over-year for 10 straight years.
With that said though, do I think Grant is a 7:25 guy clean? Questionable. Grant Fisher 3k progression: 2013 - 8:32.65 - 16 2016 - 7:50.06 - 19 2018 - 7:48.56 - 21 2019 - 7:42.62 - 22 2020 - 7:39.99 - 23 2021 - 7:37.21 - 24 2022 - 7:28.48 - 25 2023 - 7:25.47 - 26
You'd be better-served looking at Grant's 5K progression. But I'm not really buying your "exponentially more difficult each second below 7:30" logic because plenty of "late bloomers" make a big jump in one year and keep going a little further over the next year or two. See: George Mills, Jake Wightman, Grant Fisher, Telahun Haile Bekele, Jess Hull, Oliver Hoare. The true "exponentially more difficult" part is getting to the world-beater part after these jumps (e.g. 3:27-8 1500, 12:35 5,000), which has typically been the domain of prodigies (Jakob, Cheptegei, Bekele) who are amazing as juniors and then hit new levels as pros.
The amount of people lining up to defend him on Instagram in the comments under the posts show the absolute naivety of some track fans. It is damn near impossible to go from 13:50 to 12:50 in ONE year without some kind of outside influence/assistance.
Ironically, that thread was deleted by our volunteer mod who is the wife of the guy who later actually called Katir out on social media later in the year as a doper and whom Katir responded to by saying he'd sleep with his wife.
You can't make this shi* up. The running world is small
Ironically, that thread was deleted by our volunteer mod who is the wife of the guy who later actually called Katir out on social media later in the year as a doper and whom Katir responded to by saying he'd sleep with his wife.
You can't make this shi* up. The running world is small
Minor detail reported in the Spanish press but not yet mentioned here: Ketir had "previously planned to skip the Glasgow Indoor Worlds..." Good thinking. Just might get tested...
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