Keely Hodgkinson is in 1:52 800m fitness. No quetsion.

2 seconds in the 800m are 2 seconds. But when an athlete has been near the top level already for years, 2 second drops over 800m are rare or never. Keely can still run sub-1:55, though. I just don't think she has either the 400 or 1500 chops to do it. If anyone currently has them, it is Athing Mu, a potential 48. 400 runner, but she showed vulnerability last year and hasn't competed yet this year, so it remains to be seen whether we will see her continue to improve on her 2021 form.

Anita Weiss is the most impressive female 800m runner without an Olympic medal. July 24th, 1976, 800m semifinal, 1:56.53, an Olympic record then 4th, 1:55.74 two days later.

No way. Milli seconds are hard to come by at 800 and at that level.

It was posted already that she has a PB of 1:23 so she beat your standard and thus your original post is kaput.

Indoor tracks are juiced. You should know that.

It'll take a DSD athlete doped to the gills

That's why indoor records are always faster than outdoor records, right? 🤣

I think Hodgkinson can go 1:54 high (1:54.75) in the right race. Mu has the potential and talent to actually threaten the WR, however she seems to be enamored with Modeling and Instagram so at this time we don't know what she will do. Also mid June and zero races in 2023 is really bizarre for a world class Olympic and WC gold medalist.

Hodgkinson is in noticeably better shape this year. Thinner but not weak. I mentioned it from her first indoor race. And during the 1:55 it showed entering the final turn. She had greater acceleration than typical.

The time chops are always overdone. A good rule is take the projection and make it 20-25% as outlandish. That range has a chance. So in this case instead of dropping 3.77 seconds it would be .75 to .94.

Yes, Keely definitely lost some weight. I noticed that in her first indoor race this year too. With the weight loss she should be able to knock a few more tenths off of her recent PB.

Can Athing Mu get refocused in time to get down to 1:55.5 in time for the World Championships this summer? I'm thinking probably not. Right now Keely has to be considered the favorite.

Even as a gay due, I was like "Damn!"

I like the analysis but feel like relative numbers are perhaps more realistic.

1:41,73 / 46,89 then is more like 1:53,75 / 52,41. We still might see a world record, what's cool enough 🔥

No, we won't see a world record.

The analysis is stupid and makes no sense at all. Keely has zero chance to run 1:52.

don't forget she's probably getting around a second from the spikes, half a second at the very least.

I don’t think KH will ever break 1:55.

i ran 1.52.32 in high school (in 1994). my 400m was 51.46 and 1500m best 3.56.

when she can hit those 400m and 1500m times she is ready!

1.55 for Hodgkinson may be the same as 1.41 for Rudisha. There was no way he was going to run 1.38. There is no way she will run 1.52. But comparisons with other runners - like Coe - have very little relevance as every runner is different.

I might think she could run 1.55 or even 1.54-high. Anything under 1.54 has to be doped.

To try to distract myself from blowing steam out of my ears from typing out that list, I tried to research Bekele 800m for BB.

I can't find any evidence that he ever ran an 800m? On the World Athletics website he has a lot of PBs listed but it starts at 1500m:

worldathletics.org

Kenenisa BEKELE | Profile | World Athletics

Link:worldathletics.org/athletes/ethiopia/k...

Don't make me get my old magazines out! I don't even think any performances of this type would be in them, because if KB did run an 800m, maybe it was at an obscure race in Ethiopia? Can anyone find anything at all?

Great runner but there is not a single person here who would bet his own money that she runs 1:52pt this year (or even next). Not one. That said, she is exceptional and a pleasure to watch. Hodgkinson and Mu are a cut above at 800m.