Ingebrigtsen vs Nuguse in 1500 at Rabat Diamond League on Sunday!

Nuguse clearly getting better. Jakob has plateaued. Go USA!

Such a debate means that it will now be even harder for an Aussie to win a global medal at the 1500m. Oh well. Go Hoare and Mcsweyn

Better comparison was the last Great White Hope Cole Hocker who ended up 6th in the Olympics. This site sure likes to hype people up.

I think Jakob will try to run Yared off of his feet. If they are side by side with 50m to go, Nuguse wins. This place is going to go ape.

Who says Katir had Covid?

The world champ is not in this race.

My money is on Ingebrigtsen. It will be a great race.

At 20 years old. Some of you are incredibly negative.

That’s a new one for me as well.

I would love to see Nuguse win but my money is definitely on Jakob. He has become a real Master of the 1500m and just knows how to win the event. The one major exception is obviously his World Champs silver but I think he learnt a big lesson from that race to never underestimate your opponents and/or assume the win.

Interesting that Filip is in the race too.

I predict Jakob will go out slow first lap to let Kipsang, Romo, Nuguse, and Hoare do the work. Then effortlessly move to the front and take control second lap. Third lap ratchet down the pace and create a gap. Someone (Hoare?) will try to go with him and get fried. With 150m-200m to go, Nuguse will surge with an epic kick for second, while Jakob finishes whatever speed he feels like since he'll have a big lead.

I think the indoor/outdoor thing has less to do with super shoes and emphasis on indoor than it does with a shift in modern training philosophies.

It seems like both OAC and Jakob maintain a pretty high level of fitness and sharpness year-round that lets them race well with just a couple weeks of specific work. Neither group is out there just running slow miles and hills in the winter. Both groups take indoors reasonably seriously and race reasonably often. So I feel like we should expect some improvement from indoor over the course of the season, and I don’t think it’s unfair to expect a good race from Nuguse. His finishing speed likely has more to do with natural ability than sharpness. Should be a fun race.

If Nuguse is in similar shape as he was indoors, he can definitely beat Jakob and I'd consider him the slight favorite at this point in a one-off race. The real question is how well Nuguse will be able to handle the rounds at Worlds, since we've never seen him do that before.

I expect Jakob to make his usual big push in the middle of the race, but if Nuguse is anywhere close with 100 to go, he'll catch him.

Nuguse may be in 345 mile shape, or soon enough.

Jacob appears to have a good training block and may be near an all time peak.

Most probably it will be a race for the win, but if the pacing turns out to be perfect to 1 km, you can have a ridiculous time for both.

Jacob for the win.

This, while being a likely scenario, I still can't understand. Why doesn't the rest of the field ensure Jakob has to lead for as much as possible of the race, especially in championship settings? He is the biggest player who gains something from a hot pace, and therefore has the biggest incentive to set such a pace. Bar McSweyn, I'd say every other racer who gains something from a fast pace has at least a comparable kick to Jakob, and therefore has nothing to gain from setting the pace themselves as Jakob has the biggest engine. Yet we've often seen others setting the pace, with the worst offender being Tim in the 2021 Olympic final (after also standing still in the start for ~1s for no reason). Jakob has been the overall fittest the last two seasons (but has he been fitter than 2020 Monaco Tim? Not sure) but running away from a field of the best 1500m runners in the world requires you being a lot fitter than the competition. They should force him to be that fit instead of handing it away.

While Ingebrigtsen's not invincible when he's healthy and in shape you really have to be special to beat him. Also, mentally he seems to be on another level than the other runners.

Ah, an other relatively unproven runner that is going to show up and beat the best. Hocker-esque situation. Lets hope Nuguse is able to get out much of what he is good for, and take it from there. That can certainly land him into top 3. Its a long season, I don't think people should be greedy and define success as him dethroning J.I right away.

Not everyone in the rest of pack the won’t prefer a hot pace. What about someone like Cheruiyot?

Tim has 1:43 speed. There’s no need for him to be a pacemaker when he just can sit back and let Jakob do the pacing (which he inevitably will if he wants to win).