Arcadia 3200 predictions. - LIVE NOW - Official Arcadia Thread. Will Someoone Break 8:25?

Super disappointed that Gavin Sherry and Harrison are missing this one.

I’m hoping that the runner that challenged Caudillo at NXR this past fall, Michael Julian, York HS CCS, has a breakthrough race in race #20. I’ve seen a 9:19 3200 for his best time. He ran 15:02 at Woodward behind Caudillo. I was hoping for a sub 9:00 for him, but I’m not sure how healthy he is as he did not start his last race at Dublin. Hopefully he is ready to go under 9:00 next weekend. He is my sleeper.

Co-sign. In post-meet interviews, it sounds like even though they’ve been racing 800/mile recently, the NP4 have been focusing their workouts on peaking for the 3200 at Arcadia. I absolutely believe going all four of them sub 8:40 is on the table. Historic. Can’t wait to see Oozma Kappa try to slap a G League sticker on it!

It’s looking hot for Arcadia. Forecast has some kids running in the 90s and high 80s. Down to 73ish at race time for the invitational 3200s, but that heat will have been on them all day.

Hopefully the reality will be a bit cooler.

I’mma just go swimming near the pool until my meet comes. Frick mid 90’s. Might as well treat myself to some summer ideas there.

The West Coast will definitely dominate the race. Because essentially none of the top runners from the East Coast are running. 2022 NBNI Indoor Mile Runners NOT at Arcadia:

Gary Martin (PA) 4:02

James Donahue (MA) 4:02

Gavin Sherry (CT) 4:02

Marco Langdon (NJ) 4:04

CJ Singleton (PA) 4:04

Conner Burns (MO) 4:05

Jackson Barna (NJ) 4:06

List also doesn’t include Josh Edwards (WV) or Rheinhardt Harrison (FL).

It's hard to pin down exact temperatures 5-6 days out but the weather on Friday calls for a high of 95-96 and Sat. 88. But the temperature drops once the sun sets. The two boys' seeded 3200s start at 7:56, so they may still have some heat, but the invitational is not till 8:50. By that time figure mid 60s. They should be fine in the invitational 3200.

Watch out for Ethan Coleman

Checking the national lists, I see Conor Gibson (West. Torrance) currently leads the US HS 5000m list with a 14:02.3 this spring. He may be able to go sub 8:50 if he has a good race.... It's always interesting to see which guys make big PR jumps at Arcadia. Glad to see there will be a big crowd there Saturday...

Where did you find this race information from? All I can find is a 15:32 5000m in February.

Track & Field News 2022 HS list. Also saw it on CA MileSplit

Do you know what race it was run in? I see the 14:02 in his Prs section, but it doesnt show up as a race when you scroll through his results?

Also thats crazy fast for a non NP hs kid, why is no one talking about the fact that a kid almost broke 14 in February.

I can’t find the race results. Maybe someone can chime in. I trust T&FN to only list verified results.

Cant find it either. Even looked up his name + 14:02 and nothing. Odd.

MOC is for the 1600/mile

Arcadia is for the 3200

How do coaches still not understand this?

looks bad on paper, but been there done that many times as a coach and the kids racing in the inv events won't be affected by the heat. 73 with no solar irradiance is super comfortable. and they won't be showing up much more than 2 hours before they race.

obviously upper 80s low 90s w/directr sunlight during the day is a different story.

yeah there's basically no chance he ran 14:02.

prs of:

57, 2:00, 4:21, 8:59

14:02 would be a massive outlier

Latest forecast- around 85-86 high on Saturday (Friday much hotter). The invitational 3200 is scheduled for 8:50 on Saturday night. By then the temperature should be in the mid 60s.

I think it was a timing or recording error from the Zamperini meet at Torrance HS in Feb. These results now show 15:32.30 ...

athletic.net

Track & Field, Cross Country Results, Statistics

Meet results and team scores.

Open link

the original results on Milesplit show 14:02.30, but the parsed results don't have him at all.