NCAA Indoor Championships!!! WOMEN'S Distance Discussion!!!

Then what will she be regretting?

I would say that Wayment, Chelangat and Magness are the favorites. After that places 4 and up can go anywhere.

Did you read the message? It clearly said that she would finish 9th and regret not running the DMR instead. That sounds very clear and pretty logical.

idk back to predictions though I think if Gregory doesn't win both she'll win at least the 3K. Looked super strong running almost 5 miles of work: 4:41, 4:32 (split DMR) day 1 to come back and run 4:35 and 8:59 next day-- closed in a 30 in every race but mile prelim (a 32). Impeccable speed and strength

actually with SECs in mind I have to say Vissa for mile. She comfortably hung with the mile pack after a near identical first day to Gregory's to scorch the field with a smooth 28 last 200 to pick up gold. Smart and very strong runner who can likely handle either a sit and kick race or one made honest from the gun

Interesting.

So a 9th place finish in the 5K will have negative Pride to Regret ratio.

Is there a chart I can use to know this ratio so I understand how she feels depending on the actual race results?

Does this take into consideration the 3K?

Also, do other runners have a chart?

Because that will make things more fun.

Makes sense to me and any track fan if tt actually plays out that way. 3K is separate issue but loosely connected because the 5K takes more energy than a 1600. She could have run DMR/3K or 5K/3K. Every track coach has been involved in these types of decisions and usually has one or two regrets after seeing how it plays out. If you can't see how she and her coach would have regrets about a 9th place finish if the DMR would have placed higher with her anchoring, you don't understand simple math. 9th place is zero points. If anchoring the DMR would have resulted in more points, it was the wrong decision. Nobody has a crystal ball so it is impossible to know until after the fact.

I mean 9th is pretty good. Not sure why that got such a heated reaction. Anyway I think she'll do a little better but who knows. Wayment has to be the favorite. Does anybody know who is going to double with the DMR and who is not

Agreed.

Congratulations to all who made it to Nationals!

Just curious as to why Katelyn Tuohy among all competitors should feel regret.

As I posted above, I would also pick Vissa for the mile, but I think she will have to real hard to pull out the DMR Friday night. But, if the field lets the mile be a slow race coming down to the kick, Vissa certainly has the kick. Most of the mile field won't run the DMR, including the #1 seed Mackay.

more like katelyn tuohy hammering her pr and getting on the podium

9th in the country is pretty good, getting to nationals is already good .. but katelyn tuohy just won acc 5k easily with her 32s kick ..you are underestimating what she can do with a newly developed kick... counting her out seem normal here .. people always do it but she always prevails and always sets fastest time of her class and crushes the predictions of the naysayers on here

katelyn tuohy can run the fastest anchor time and nc state would still not podium '

they dont have fast 800 and 1200 sadly

katelyn tuohy wont regret not running the dmr

I predict that you will not acknowledge my correct prediction. That is common here. You will at best say it was a.lucky guess or there will be some reason that she finishes 9th even though that is the point. Some of us can see past what is revealed.

They ran 10:58 with Chmiel at 4:35 on anchor. Given Tuohy's 4:12 1500 from last year something a little faster than 4:35 is possible so the team could run 10:56 ish with same times on other legs. That would move them to #3-4 per the seed times. Many of the top teams will have runners coming off of mile or 800 prelims, or will sub out runners so 10:56 could be right in it.

I'll just discuss some of the girls that I've seen run

Denner, 14

Hays good, not great at accs.... 12

Chemiel, same, 7

Tuohy, surging, 3, will outkick mercy

Mercy, will push the pace but get out kicked and finish 4th

Gregory, 2nd

Wayment, depending on how much the DMR takes out of her she will either win it or get out kicked by Gregory

so help me out. Is this the 5,000? It has to be as Denner is not in 3,000. Pretty much makes sense to me except 5,000 is before the DMR! Slow pace favors Gregory, fast pace favors Chelangat and Wayment (if she is ok - last month she has looked less unbeatable). Agree Tuohy can finish way higher than her 15th seed time.

She'll finish top five

Yes. I think they would finish about 4th if they load it.