agip wrote:
Probably 2/3 of the country thinks we're in recession, but meanwhile the Fed thinks we are growing at the sizzling rate of 4.0%. Real. Hard to see stocks fall much given that kind of growth. Sure they could fall sharply, but more than 10-15% from here? I doubt it.
GDP Now:
Latest estimate: 4.0 percent — November 9, 2022
An actual recession was never in the cards as long as unemployment was 3.xx%. Recent layoffs in tech might boost that up, but let's not forget that 5% is (or was at least) considered full employment.