In this video the northwestern coach talked about how coaches voted based on history and brand. Obviously BYU has both, so they should be unanimous #1 no matter who is in the actual lineup.
I have an announcement:
“There is a new top team in town as NC State dethrones BYU for the first time this season. BYU had reigned atop the National Coaches’ Poll for six consecutive weeks, including the preseason. … BYU finds itself at the national number two spot for the first time since Week 3 of 2024.”
Obviously there is a coach ranking New Mexico #1, BYU #2, and NC State #3. Nobody knows each team’s strength and weaknesses better than the coaches. Be ready for a LRC doomsday scenario if this actually happens.
. Be ready for a LRC doomsday scenario if this actually happens.
Please clarify what you are implying.
There are multiple threads on how Africans are taking over the ncaa now. The thread with roster nationality tally shows New Mexico is one of the biggest suspects.
With the changing college landscape, I wanted to do a numbers pile up of Americans vs Internationals competing at the NCAA D1 Championships next Saturday now that the team and individual qualifiers are offically out. I did th...
There are multiple threads on how Africans are taking over the ncaa now. The thread with roster nationality tally shows New Mexico is one of the biggest suspects.
Not quite; you can check their roster page to see which countries their athletes originate from. Three of the top 7 appear to be Kenyans.
Maybe it’s a bit comical the coach voted them number 1. I’m not seeing it. Their athletes have to have been doing some majorly sandbagging to pull it off.
If Alabama’s buys just one more Kenyan, they will have five Kenyan studs next year (including the redshirted Tuwei) to contend for the trophy.
They already have five. Two of them haven't run this year. Otherwise they would be a top team. Run the simulation and include inactive runners. Alabama is on the podium.
If Alabama’s buys just one more Kenyan, they will have five Kenyan studs next year (including the redshirted Tuwei) to contend for the trophy.
They already have five. Two of them haven't run this year. Otherwise they would be a top team. Run the simulation and include inactive runners. Alabama is on the podium.
Any chance they unveil them at nationals? Or did they not qualify as a team?
They already have five. Two of them haven't run this year. Otherwise they would be a top team. Run the simulation and include inactive runners. Alabama is on the podium.
Any chance they unveil them at nationals? Or did they not qualify as a team?
The course usually handles water well. Last year it had a lot of rain leading up to and during the state meet and parts got soggy and soft but never full blown mud where you were worried about footing.
At this year's state meet 1.5 weeks ago, they put in additional fencing to save some of the turns that had less grass coverage for NCAAs. It made the HS state course long this year but hopefully kept things in good shape for this weekend.
The finishing order on the backend of that Top 10 could be a virtual tossup. (And maybe I missed a few others that might pop up into the Top 10?)
We could likely see #3 through #10 finishing within 10 seconds of each other, which will make for some excitement!
I probably should have reviewed that statement more closely. I meant we might see a breakaway with the top 3, and then places #4 through #10 could be very close, and much closer than a 10 second spread…maybe a 5 sec spread.
We might have a photo-finish requirement for the back-end of top 10 finishers. To put this in perspective, here was the time-spread for #4 through #10 at recent Natty’s:
If Alabama’s buys just one more Kenyan, they will have five Kenyan studs next year (including the redshirted Tuwei) to contend for the trophy.
They already have five. Two of them haven't run this year. Otherwise they would be a top team. Run the simulation and include inactive runners. Alabama is on the podium.
Pheline Cheruto transferred to MO in the offseason. They currently have 4 Kenyans and two Nigerians on their roster.
In the following table are listed the TiCs from NC State’s top five performances at ACC’s, followed by the time they actually ran at ACC’s. In the right half of the table are the times those TiCs translate to on the Championship course, based on the Gans Creek Invite (first number in parentheses) and PreNats finishing times.
In the following table are listed the TiCs from NC State’s top five performances at ACC’s, followed by the time they actually ran at ACC’s. In the right half of the table are the times those TiCs translate to on the Championship course, based on the Gans Creek Invite (first number in parentheses) and PreNats finishing times.
In the following table are listed the TiCs from NC State’s top five performances at ACC’s, followed by the time they actually ran at ACC’s. In the right half of the table are the times those TiCs translate to on the Championship course, based on the Gans Creek Invite (first number in parentheses) and PreNats finishing times.
but looking at this, I still think it’ll be OR over BY
On another thread, a poster suggested Oregon has been holding back, so maybe a manual comparison between the two is warranted, substituting the most favorable TiCs for the Oregon runners?
but looking at this, I still think it’ll be OR over BY
On another thread, a poster suggested Oregon has been holding back, so maybe a manual comparison between the two is warranted, substituting the most favorable TiCs for the Oregon runners?
Absolutely, especially because OR’s average 5000m time for their top 5 is faster than BYU or NC State. Kind of depends on Dalia Frias.
but looking at this, I still think it’ll be OR over BY
On another thread, a poster suggested Oregon has been holding back, so maybe a manual comparison between the two is warranted, substituting the most favorable TiCs for the Oregon runners?
My latest research, presented below, may deserve its own thread, titled: OREGON WOMEN PULL SHOCKING UPSET!!!
There are reports on other threads that due to Oregon’s easy schedule, their runners have been “just cruising”, leaving more in the tank. So I thought it might be interesting to once again compare Oregon with NC State, but this time give Oregon very generous TiC Ratings, based on the following analysis of each runner:
Diana Cherotich has run 15:01 (in 2024) and 31:45 on the track, equivalent to 15:16. She earned a 15:25 at the Big10, but was possibly not all-out. To improve her current rating (Season Fitness Estimate), we can generously assume she is close to her 15:01 fitness, and thusly award her a 15:01.
Juliet Cherubet has run 15:25 and 32:02 on the track, the latter having a 15:25 equivalent. She earned a 15:36 at the Big 10, maybe holding back; we shall give her a 15:25.
26yr-old Silan Ayyildiz has run 15:15 on the track (in spring 2024). She earned a 15:38 at the Big10, and looked to be running hard at the end of it, and a 15:27 at Regionals; nonetheless, maybe she was holding back at first, so we shall give her a 15:20, moving her up to their #2.
Anika Thompson earned a 15:58 at the Big10, and a 15:52 at Regionals. However, she ran a 15:31 on the indoor track at BU after cross country last year. Is this the real sleeper that has really been holding back? Her best ever cross country TiC of 15:47 was awarded at Natty’s last year, but she did follow that up with the 15:31 at BU. We can award her an optimal 15:31, making her the best #4 in the country, and inducing an upset.
Daliah Frias was awarded a 15:45 at the Big10, but she did run a 9:01 on the track in early 2024, having a 15:39 equivalent. We will award her a 15:40, and this will complete the upset.
