One would think that if we were truly in the golden age, America is now Great Again, we are the hottest country in the world , Trump would not be desperately trying to redraw maps to keep the house.
It’s almost like Trump knows his cult is too dim to put these things together.
America can only be the greatest if Trump has a trifecta to work with. By passing these maps, Republicans get more seats and have to invest less in them.
yes. the game is played to win, which the Democrats have nobody to blame but themselves for so dramatically pointing this out the last decade. it was 4th and goal and we stopped them. now we are driving and they will deal with the consequences
This post was edited 46 seconds after it was posted.
The margins aren't the main goal. Getting "safe" seats is the main goal. If Indiana had 10 seats, you'd rather have all be R+15 than have 5 be R+2 and 5 be R+30.
Via Grok / Grokipedia (mainly for link sourcing):
R+0 to R+5: Toss-up to Lean (competitive) - Can flip in a normal wave year R+5 to R+10: Likely Republican - Usually safe, but can flip in a big wave (e.g., 2006, 2008, 2018, 2022 for Dems; 2010, 2014 for GOP) R+10 to R+15: Safe / Solid Republican - Almost never flips without an extraordinary wave or scandal R+15+: Deep Red - Essentially unflippable in modern conditions
Cook PVI (which is very respected) views anything +10 as basically safe.
"The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI), developed by the Cook Political Report, quantifies this by comparing a district's partisan lean to the national average based on recent presidential election results; districts with a PVI of R+10 or D+10 or greater are typically classified as solidly safe for Republicans or Democrats, respectively.[53][54]"
Sorry, I overestimated your ability to understand basic concepts.
The margins in 2024 for the Republican seats were between R+8 and R+18. How do you dilute these seats with majority Democrat voters and expect the margins to go up? They wouldn't go up, they would go down.
The margins aren't the main goal. Getting "safe" seats is the main goal. If Indiana had 10 seats, you'd rather have all be R+15 than have 5 be R+2 and 5 be R+30.
Via Grok / Grokipedia (mainly for link sourcing):
R+0 to R+5: Toss-up to Lean (competitive) - Can flip in a normal wave year R+5 to R+10: Likely Republican - Usually safe, but can flip in a big wave (e.g., 2006, 2008, 2018, 2022 for Dems; 2010, 2014 for GOP) R+10 to R+15: Safe / Solid Republican - Almost never flips without an extraordinary wave or scandal R+15+: Deep Red - Essentially unflippable in modern conditions
Cook PVI (which is very respected) views anything +10 as basically safe.
"The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI), developed by the Cook Political Report, quantifies this by comparing a district's partisan lean to the national average based on recent presidential election results; districts with a PVI of R+10 or D+10 or greater are typically classified as solidly safe for Republicans or Democrats, respectively.[53][54]"
Sorry, I overestimated your ability to understand basic concepts.
The margins in 2024 for the Republican seats were between R+8 and R+18. How do you dilute these seats with majority Democrat voters and expect the margins to go up? They wouldn't go up, they would go down.
I think we will go with Trumps insight. Seems to nail it everytime.
You, and all Democrats, should be screaming from the mountaintops as to why you are funding Al Shabab…but you are doing just the opposite, asking for more. Shows your character and why MAGA will destroy your party.
This post was edited 1 minute after it was posted.
I think we will go with Trumps insight. Seems to nail it everytime.
You, and all Democrats, should be screaming from the mountaintops as to why you are funding Al Shabab…but you are doing just the opposite, asking for more. Shows your character and why MAGA will destroy your party.
What are you jibbering about now? You taken your meds today?
The margins aren't the main goal. Getting "safe" seats is the main goal. If Indiana had 10 seats, you'd rather have all be R+15 than have 5 be R+2 and 5 be R+30.
Via Grok / Grokipedia (mainly for link sourcing):
R+0 to R+5: Toss-up to Lean (competitive) - Can flip in a normal wave year R+5 to R+10: Likely Republican - Usually safe, but can flip in a big wave (e.g., 2006, 2008, 2018, 2022 for Dems; 2010, 2014 for GOP) R+10 to R+15: Safe / Solid Republican - Almost never flips without an extraordinary wave or scandal R+15+: Deep Red - Essentially unflippable in modern conditions
Cook PVI (which is very respected) views anything +10 as basically safe.
"The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI), developed by the Cook Political Report, quantifies this by comparing a district's partisan lean to the national average based on recent presidential election results; districts with a PVI of R+10 or D+10 or greater are typically classified as solidly safe for Republicans or Democrats, respectively.[53][54]"
Sorry, I overestimated your ability to understand basic concepts.
The margins in 2024 for the Republican seats were between R+8 and R+18. How do you dilute these seats with majority Democrat voters and expect the margins to go up? They wouldn't go up, they would go down.
Trump won Indiana 58-39%: his winning margin was 19 points and there are 9 districts. Each district might vote slightly differently but should approximate the presidential margins. So the total "sum" of the districts would be +171 and the goal would be to get every district to be R+19. It looks like there's a typo in the first map
If you look at 2024 House results, with the R-D margin:
If Trumpers are so supportive of free speech, why are they trying so damn hard to tell colleges what speech is allowed? My guess? The average Trump voter has an IQ in the low to mid teens and can’t spell IQ, even if you spotted them the first two letters.
The American university system has nothing to do with free speech. Over 90 % of professors are liberal. ...
Don't you think breaking up Indianapolis into the corners of multiple different districts is insane? I appreciate the word is pretty much irrelevant in this administration, but shouldn't that be illegal?
Political parties which die do so because they fail to adapt their policies. MAGAs will die out. "Fake" Republicans have proven that they are spineless, have no policies, and allow themselves to be led by the nose. They have no balls to actually do anything for the real American people ... MAGAs are fake Americans.
Actually, no. I love all people. But I want fair justice for those who are wrongfully accused. Danny Masterson is a piece of sh*t. But did he get a fair shake - I don't think so. Again, I love everyone - inlucding you..
That sounds like some woke BS to me, but doesn’t change the fact that you support Trump - a convicted felon and rapist - and that makes you disgusting filth.
The margins aren't the main goal. Getting "safe" seats is the main goal. If Indiana had 10 seats, you'd rather have all be R+15 than have 5 be R+2 and 5 be R+30.
Via Grok / Grokipedia (mainly for link sourcing):
R+0 to R+5: Toss-up to Lean (competitive) - Can flip in a normal wave year R+5 to R+10: Likely Republican - Usually safe, but can flip in a big wave (e.g., 2006, 2008, 2018, 2022 for Dems; 2010, 2014 for GOP) R+10 to R+15: Safe / Solid Republican - Almost never flips without an extraordinary wave or scandal R+15+: Deep Red - Essentially unflippable in modern conditions
Cook PVI (which is very respected) views anything +10 as basically safe.
"The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI), developed by the Cook Political Report, quantifies this by comparing a district's partisan lean to the national average based on recent presidential election results; districts with a PVI of R+10 or D+10 or greater are typically classified as solidly safe for Republicans or Democrats, respectively.[53][54]"
Sorry, I overestimated your ability to understand basic concepts.
The margins in 2024 for the Republican seats were between R+8 and R+18. How do you dilute these seats with majority Democrat voters and expect the margins to go up? They wouldn't go up, they would go down.
That troll is assuming the 40%+ of no-party voters will vote R for eternity. Rs have only diluted their ability to hold seats.
The city, where Jesus Christ was born, is decking the halls again ??? decorating the city with traditional lights and a massive tree in front of the historic Church of the Nativity, which was unveile???
I appreciate the new map would definitely be beneficial for the Republicans (particularly if they had a good year) But none of the districts are currently R+20 or more, so if you're diluting the 7 Republican districts with a D+1 and a D+20, you're not going to see the margins in the Republican districts go up.
The recent TN special election district was won by Trump with a 22 point margin. The republican won this same district by 9 points. That 13 percent away from Trump for the non mathematically inclined. In VA 13 seats were flipped giving democrats a super majority. Many of those were unexpected.
Trump is very unpopular now because he promised economic prosperity and has delivered chaos, job loss, and higher prices. Of course the 35% who are his unflappable cult disciples will vote for him and republicans no matter what. But recent elections are showing that a 10% margin for Trump is not enough to hold republicans in office next year. Redistricting is diluting those margins.
Don't you think breaking up Indianapolis into the corners of multiple different districts is insane? I appreciate the word is pretty much irrelevant in this administration, but shouldn't that be illegal?
Political parties which die do so because they fail to adapt their policies. MAGAs will die out. "Fake" Republicans have proven that they are spineless, have no policies, and allow themselves to be led by the nose. They have no balls to actually do anything for the real American people ... MAGAs are fake Americans.
Again, it is clear that Trump is unpopular. Popular politicians don't need to call for redistricting to save themselves. Reagan, Clinton, Obama won BIG on popular policy and personality. Trump has never achieved 50% of the electorate.
Rather that adapt and try to bring in more people by doing things that benefit most people, Trump / republicans have alienated more people. He has called those who legitimately question him enemies, traitors, even called for killing them. He continues to tell people things like affordability is a hoax and their groceries, housing and energy are really cheaper and they should stop believing their bank statements.
I appreciate the new map would definitely be beneficial for the Republicans (particularly if they had a good year) But none of the districts are currently R+20 or more, so if you're diluting the 7 Republican districts with a D+1 and a D+20, you're not going to see the margins in the Republican districts go up.
The recent TN special election district was won by Trump with a 22 point margin. The republican won this same district by 9 points. That 13 percent away from Trump for the non mathematically inclined. In VA 13 seats were flipped giving democrats a super majority. Many of those were unexpected.
Trump is very unpopular now because he promised economic prosperity and has delivered chaos, job loss, and higher prices. Of course the 35% who are his unflappable cult disciples will vote for him and republicans no matter what. But recent elections are showing that a 10% margin for Trump is not enough to hold republicans in office next year. Redistricting is diluting those margins.
Random, off-year special elections ≠ midterm ≠ presidential. With Trump, Republicans do better in higher turnout elections.
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