There is too much nonsense in your post to address it all. Your entire argument dismisses the value of science.Let's just address one issue, the use of individual performances to assess if EPO works or not. Bekele and Baumann.The differences in speed between them have absolutely no probitive value for if EPO works or not. We have a total of four possibilities:1. Both Bekele and Baumann used EPO. In which case the fact that Bekele is faster than Baumann means nothing about whether EPO works or not. We would need measurements of how fast Baumann and Bekele were before they used EPO and after they used EPO to make a scientific statement.2. Neither Bekele nor Baumann ever used EPO. In which case the fact that Bekele is faster than Baumann means nothing about whether EPO works or not. 3. Bekele used EPO but Baumann didn't. In which case, we would speculate that EPO caused at least some of the difference in speed, but this is not science. We would need measurements of how fast Bekele ran prior to using EPO and how fast he ran after using EPO.4. Baumann used EPO but Bekele didn't. In which case we can not say anything about how effective EPO was, only that it did not make Baumann as fast as Bekele. We would need measurements of how fast Baumann ran prior to EPO and how fast he ran after using EPO.In other words, you are trying to cast down on the efficacy of EPO by using examples which have no value as evidence. It is all an attempt at distraction and there is no actual point. It is not scientific. To be scientific you should perform your experiment, it would have actual value as evidence.Although you state that your arguments are based on statistics, you have not actually performed or presented any statistical analysis. It is an attempt to use the language of objectivity, but with no actual substance. It would have no probitive value even if you did perform the analysis, because you have no way of distinguishing between those who have used drugs and those who have not.In order for your study to have any analysis, you would need to limit your study population to the runners who you could say something definite about their use of EPO. All other runners, well, we can only say definitively that none of them have been caught, which means their times and values say nothing at all about the efficacy of EPO.Luckily for you, there are lots of examples of drug use at the top, or near the top. I suggest you perform some statistical analysis on the runners who you can actually say something about their EPO use. I suggest you include the following in your study population. They are the only ones we can speak of with any certainty. Rashid RamziAlene EmereShintaye GemechuMathew KipsorioMohammed MourhitMariem Alaoui SelsouliElena AntociAhmed BadaySergey Bakulin Roberto BarbiAlemitu BekeleYahya Berrabah Alemayehu BezabehJosé Luis BlancoPetr BogatyrevBrahim BoulamiViktor BurayevJolanda ÄŒeplakDwain ChambersHafid ChaniPamela ChepchumbaFouad ChoukiMichelle CollinsNuno da CostaHind DehibaFrédéric DenisAlberico Di CeccoHamza DriouchAbderrahim El AsriMohamed El HachimiStanislav EmelyanovMeryem ErdoganWilson Loyanae ErupeMartin FaganRicardo FernándezAlberto GarcÃaNordine GezzarBouchra GhezielleAbderrahim GoumriYelizaveta GrechishnikovaAndreas GustafssonAbdelkader HachlafMohamed El HachimiHussain Al-HamdahRidouane HarroufiEddy HellebuyckHassan HirtYu-Fang HsuLiza Hunter-GalvanEkaterina IshovaHelena JavornikRita JeptooKamal AbubakerVladimir KanaykinOlga Kaniskina Adil KaouchAbraham Kiprotich Sergey KirdyapkinEirini KokkinariouAyman KozhakhmetovaEyerusalem KumaAsmae LeghzaouiCathal LombardWilson LoyanaeEduard MbenganiEkaterina MedvedevaSergey MorozovJulia Mumbi MuragaNadia NoujaniHelder OrnelasHanane OuhaddouVanja PeriÅ¡ićTetiana PetlyukAmaia Piedra Susanne PumperEbrahim RahimianYuliya RubanRonald RuttoAndrey RuzavinJeremias SalojSergio SanchezAlex SchwazerAnzhelika ShevchenkoSvitlana ShmidtFernando SilvaSimone Alves da SilvaSong HongjuanOlesya SyrevaLaïla TrabyMaria TsirbaAthanasia TsoumelekaErik TysseCristina VasiloiuAleksey VoyevodinWang JialiIgor YerokhinYin AnnaFatima YvelainKhalid ZoubaaIAAF commissioned a study on doping prevalence but then refused to allow the results to be published. I'm sure they have nothing to hide.
rekrunner wrote:
Can you be more specific, which statements you found to be junk, with no facts in evidence? I'll make it multiple choice:
1) We don't actually have EPO performance data at the top
2) Drugs or no drugs, East Africans advanced a lot in the "EPO-era"; non-Africans not so much
3) Based on real performance data
4) The difference between Baumann and Bekele are factors other than drugs
5) We don't have many good examples of EPO use at the top
6) None of the above -- please specify
You describe yourself as in "EPO works until there are studies proving it doesn't" camp. If there was a "diet" study, where participants lost 25-50% of their weight, would you wait for proof that it doesn't work the same way for 110 pound Ethiopians? It's not as scientific as you think to project performance models from existing EPO studies to the extremes.
Mr. Obvious wrote:Too bad.
we were making such progress.
You have totally backslid into making unscientific junk statements with no facts in evidence.
Oh well.