almost over the hill wrote:
almost over the hill wrote:
Not bad at 18? He only has a couple more good years left...
Kenenisa Bekele (ETH) Age 21 12:37.35
Haile Gebrselassie (ETH) Age 25 12:39.36
Daniel Komen (KEN) Age 21 12:39.74
Eliud Kipchoge (KEN) Age 19 12:46.53
Dejen Gebremeskel (ETH) Age 22 12:46.81
Sileshi Sihine (ETH) Age 21 12:47.04
Hagos Gebriwhet (ETH) Age 18 12:47.53
Isaiah Koech (KEN) Age 18 12:48.64
Isaac Songok (KEN) Age 22 12:48.66
Yenew Alamirew (ETH) Age 22 12:48.77
Stephen Cherono (KEN) Age 20 12:48.81
Thomas Longosiwa (KEN) Age 20 12:49.04
Jacob has been training like a pro for 10 years now. The point still stands that he is going to hit his fastest times in the next year or two if he hasn't already. You don't train like he has and peak at the shorter races 20 years in to serious training. It is time to stop using his age as a crutch about his upside.
Even if he did hit his fastest times in the next year or two, but there still going to be pretty amazing times, given that right now, in ideal races, he's probably a sub 3:30/13:00 guy at just turned 18, and unlike just about everybody in that list, he hasn't had 10 years of serious EPO use to get to those times (ie. no EPO use in his case).
I'm far from an expert, but I'd think that no matter how long he's training, it's unlikely he's going to reach his peak before 20, given that only just at the point where he might be stopping physically growing, and it would surely take the body several years to fully benefit from the training he can do now at that maturity.
A lot of great sportsmen started training very young and still didn't reach their peak until their early to mid-twenties (unless they were burnt out).
Anyway, didn't his father forbid him from training (ultra)seriously with his brothers until he was 13 or 14 or something?