kohlberg wrote:
Fact: This will be particularly true in developing nations, where the concept of "leisure time" will be, in the medium-term future, a reality for the first time.
I guarantee if "leisure time" ever becomes a reality in Ethiopia and Kenya, performances will stall in the same way that we've seen in the U.S.
The kenyan times will decline just like the us times have declined. But Kenya is very far from that in the near future. I think the female times are less closer to potential then male running times in Kenya. Did you also know that you can write anything on this site but if they catch you writing anything against the president it will be deleted
and you may be banned from this site. it happened to me so I'm using someone elses computer. Scary stuff.
A clean woman? No way in hell.
It is like a woman running a sub 10 sec 100m dash. It is not possible.
doubtful wrote:
I guarantee if "leisure time" ever becomes a reality in Ethiopia and Kenya, performances will stall in the same way that we've seen in the U.S.
Right...Kenyan women's times will really decline once fewer of them need to do agrarian work all day long and can actually devote time to running. (Note scarcasm)
"Leisure time" does not mean playing Nintendo...it simply means that they will have to work less in order to subsist. A mark of developing economy is when hours of work decline while standard of living goes up.
In other words, right now a vast majority of Kenyan women can't train even if they want to. As the Kenyan economy develops, more and more will have the option of training. Of course, they'll have other options as well. But as compared to now, and particularly among the women, there will be a much greater opportunity for them to train. Therefore, times should improve as their "leisure" time increases.
impossible, women are just not strong enough to handle that pace.
Will a man ever high jump 10feet? These two questions are basically quite similar.
Will people continually get faster? Probably.
Could there be a freak of nature, one who could achieve amazing things? Probably.
Will these goal ever be achieved? Unless humanity is somehow wiped out...probably some day.
BUT the time frame involved here is so vast that the very questions become almost meaningless.
Way sooner than you think.Gene therapy is coming.Already there are abnormally muscular mice due to manipulating the relevant genes.Next humans,men and women.Which country first?
builttospill wrote:
Is it physically possible for a woman to break 4 minutes for the mile?
YES - not now, but within the next 50 years.
Why are so many saying that drugs will be involved?
Who is to say that drugs will continue to be a problem over the next 25, 50 or even 100 years?
.... wrote:
impossible, women are just not strong enough to handle that pace.
I'm sure lots of people thought a woman wouldn't be able to run a 2:15 marathon.
The fact is, that in Africa, and not just Kenya, but Uganda, Morocco, Ethiopia, et al, the majority of women
are still astonishingly oppressed! Slaves in a mens world
to be somewhat hyperbolic! They are shy. Many are veiled.
Many are so oppressed that it would be risky just to don sweats and go for a run somewhere. This is reality. We are hidden from this truth. But things are changing. Once the veil of muslimism, etc. is lifted and women are free
to make their own choices in life, and they realize they can
get a very valuable education just because they can run fast, the playing field will level out...for men and women vis a vis opportunities. My guess is that there are, even as we speak, a handful of sub 3:50 - 1500 meter woman that could break onto the scene any year now. Look at the distance events at the 1964 Olympics! How many black Afrian distance runners were there making an impact? One!
Then 68! Then 72! Now how many Caucasian runners will make any of the finals from the 800 meters up? Women will make a similarly sudden impact. Certainly there are limitations on the human body...and men are much closer to having reached those limitations then women are. You'll see a half dozen women go under 3:50 for the 1500 before you'll see any man go under 3:40 for the mile!
Just the fact that there are many women that can run 50 second 400's proves that the near future holds a sub 4 minute mile. Hey, it might not be this year...but it will be a lot sooner then you think!
Q