Richard,
With all due respect to your argument, the evaluation of talent is an arbitrary art. While the Hanson brothers may have thought very highly of Chad Johnson's ability, it is virtually impossible to guarantee success because of the multitude of variables that can effect performance. In that sense, he is no different than the scores of pitchers, quarterbacks, and centers that were going to re-define their respective sports but never reached the heights predicted for them. Do names like Jose Contreras, Ryan Leaf, and Christian Laettner ring any bells?
If any programs or training regimen were completely effective and produced universal results then we would find ourselves knee deep in 2:07 Americans. The reality is that individuals adapt differently to the stress of training. If he had stayed with Hanson's, can you truthfully say that he would have not been injured, sick, or suffered a bad race?
As it stands right now, Team Hansons has no Olympians. Is that a failure of their program? Absolutely not. Nor is Dan Browne proof that the NOP guarantees world class results. Add in Team USA, ZAP, Farm Team, and others and we should all recognize that today's promising post collegian has more opportunity to develop than the
grads of just 10-15 years ago. Overall, that is an improvement but it will take years to bear fruit. It seems very clever to bash a program or coach or athlete who hasn't performed up to someone's expectations. Anyone who has been an athlete and a true maven of this sport knows that running offers no guarantees. The most talented athlete with the brightest coach can underacheive due to injury, personality, or any number of circumstances. That's why true world class runners are extremely rare. If passion and work ethic were all it took, this board would be clogged with 12:55 / 26:45 / 2:06 types wouldn't it? If coaching were the lone factor, then Stanford, Colorado, and Arkansas should be cranking out 3:45 milers by the truckload.
Rather than bash, root for all of these guys to do well. They do represent the future of American distance running.