Which means nothing to Laros, since he has the best kick of all of them. He is the hunter, not the prey. Nobody will have balls to try to run away and they all will be outkicked in the end. This will be the race of kickers and Laros is the best of them.
I fully expect Jakob, Tim C and Koech to try and run away though making it something close to a 3:30 race.
at 250 to go nobody will open a lane and let Laros in, just like Hocker's lane inside opened up because Kerr and Jakob couldn't see past easy other Laros won't get a clean run for his kick.
This post was edited 4 minutes after it was posted.
Which means nothing to Laros, since he has the best kick of all of them. He is the hunter, not the prey. Nobody will have balls to try to run away and they all will be outkicked in the end. This will be the race of kickers and Laros is the best of them.
I fully expect Jakob and Tim C to try and run away though making it something close to a 3:30 race.
at 250 to go nobody will open a lane and let Laros in, just like Hocker's lane inside opened up because Kerr and Jakob couldn't see past easy other Laros won't get a clean run for his kick.
3:30 is not running away. Literally every guy in the final is able of 3:30. To run away someone will have to run 3.27, as the next 3-4 guys will also run 3.28. A question here is if Jakob is in the best shape of his life or not, to run 3:27 solo.
I fully expect Jakob and Tim C to try and run away though making it something close to a 3:30 race.
at 250 to go nobody will open a lane and let Laros in, just like Hocker's lane inside opened up because Kerr and Jakob couldn't see past easy other Laros won't get a clean run for his kick.
3:30 is not running away. Literally every guy in the final is able of 3:30. To run away someone will have to run 3.27, as the next 3-4 guys will also run 3.28. A question here is if Jakob is in the best shape of his life or not, to run 3:27 solo.
I know that. Jakob is likely not in 3:27 shape. This won't be the fastest championship race ever. Nor will it be the slowest.
Thats why I think it'll be chaotic and messy with lots of bumping and a large pack kicking some of whom will impede each other
This post was edited 6 minutes after it was posted.
One thing I think a lot of posters are underestimating is how Jakob changes the race, even if he doesn't win. One thing I'm sure of is that Jakob will at least be his old self for 1200m. He might see 5-6 guys go past him after that (I don't think so, I think he'll get bronze), but up that point, he's going to drag the field into a race that they haven't experienced up to this point this season. Some we know can handle it (Hocker and Kerr), others are question marks. Laros falls into the latter category for me.
Watch the Zurich 1500m, where Laros puts 1s on everyone else in the last 100m and wins in 3:29.20. There is nothing Jakob can do without pacers that will shake Laros off. He is a lock for gold. Silver will go to P. Koech, and bronze will be battled out by R. Cheruiyot, J. Koech, Kerr, Strand and Hocker. And then Jakob for 8th - 9th as he will fight with T. Cheruiyot.
If Jakob drops a 55 for his third lap it would pull Laros into a place that I don't think he's been this year. And Jakob is very capable of doing that. Is Laros closing in 12.5 after that? Possible, but unlikely in my view
If Jakob drops a 55 for his third lap it would pull Laros into a place that I don't think he's been this year. And Jakob is very capable of doing that. Is Laros closing in 12.5 after that? Possible, but unlikely in my view
And what is Jakob going to himself after dropping a 55? Would be a suicide if he is not in a PB shape.
Kerr is really good at peaking. He's been around the block
Laros is a marked man now. I think Jakob Hocker all the rest race him instead of the rest of the field
Cheriut because of his finish. I think it'll be chaotic enough and a run back of the favourites seems improbable. I think we're seeing a real cross over from the Paris Oly Cycle to the LA one with Laros/Myers/Berg taking over from the 2027 worlds
Agree 💯.
Some of you have alot to learn. It doesnt really matter what Jacob is posting on Facebook. The fact is he has not raced. He would have to have been in a real life race scenario within the last 6 weeks to stand any chance at even a top 5 in this field.
There's a huge difference in solo track work and real life races. Real life races prepare you more than anything, and sadly Jacob wont have that card in his system.
Could be any order but it will be HOCKER, KERR, AND LAROS.
I mean, odds are very high that these will not actually be the top 3, but I can’t get around thinking that this is the most likely podium. I’d pick Laros to win and then Kerr & Hocker are a toss-up for silver/bronze.
1. Laros (we all saw this coming a couple years ago, and the future arrives quickly)
2. Kerr (happy)
3. Hocker (bummed)
Additional predictions:
- R. Cheruiyot, Strand and Jakob in the 4th-7th range
- One of the Koeches fails to make the final
-Winning time somewhere between 3:29.00 and 3:31.00
3:30 is not running away. Literally every guy in the final is able of 3:30. To run away someone will have to run 3.27, as the next 3-4 guys will also run 3.28. A question here is if Jakob is in the best shape of his life or not, to run 3:27 solo.
No, not every guy in the final will be capable of running 3:30. This is an insane statement to believe. You might see 3 in Tokyo.
If Jakob drops a 55 for his third lap it would pull Laros into a place that I don't think he's been this year. And Jakob is very capable of doing that. Is Laros closing in 12.5 after that? Possible, but unlikely in my view
And what is Jakob going to himself after dropping a 55? Would be a suicide if he is not in a PB shape.
It's suicide even if he IS in PB shape, and he still does it. That's just who he is. He's shown no ability or willingness to change his tactics. Expecting anything different now is foolish
There's a huge difference in solo track work and real life races. Real life races prepare you more than anything, and sadly Jacob wont have that card in his system.
You make it sound like Jakob has been training in an isolated incubator for the past 5 years. Even at age 24 he is a battle seasoned veteran in this distance on the world stage. Go back to coaching your 7th graders from 500’ outside a school zone.
he will use the rounds to sharpen up before the final. 12 guys will make it and 7 of them will be a non-factor. He’s only concerned with racing against the top 3.
3:30 is not running away. Literally every guy in the final is able of 3:30. To run away someone will have to run 3.27, as the next 3-4 guys will also run 3.28. A question here is if Jakob is in the best shape of his life or not, to run 3:27 solo.
No, not every guy in the final will be capable of running 3:30. This is an insane statement to believe. You might see 3 in Tokyo.
Have you been sleeping this season? 26 guys under 3:31. 20 of them will be present in Tokyo and 14 of them will definitely deliver. We are in for a treat: this will be the greatest 1500m WC final ever.
I fully expect Jakob and Tim C to try and run away though making it something close to a 3:30 race.
at 250 to go nobody will open a lane and let Laros in, just like Hocker's lane inside opened up because Kerr and Jakob couldn't see past easy other Laros won't get a clean run for his kick.
3:30 is not running away. Literally every guy in the final is able of 3:30. To run away someone will have to run 3.27, as the next 3-4 guys will also run 3.28. A question here is if Jakob is in the best shape of his life or not, to run 3:27 solo.
But it’s not just the fact that it is 3:30, it’s really the manner in which it is run. If Jakob runs 2:45 for the last 1200, and it’s around a 3:29 race, nobody is going past him. The thing is though, Jakob is not in that form it looks, and he may not start in the 1500 this weekend.
Have you been sleeping this season? 26 guys under 3:31. 20 of them will be present in Tokyo and 14 of them will definitely deliver. We are in for a treat: this will be the greatest 1500m WC final ever.
Context matters greatly. Every one of those 26 guys ran under 3:31 in races with pacer + wave lights + zero rounds.
Heats and semi’s do a number on these guys. The wheat will be separated from the chaff. Less than 4 will be capable of running a 3:30 or better in the finals. 1999 was the greatest 1500m WC final ever, I don’t think 2025 will yield a better result.