Are you saying all of the 29 women who have broken 2:18 are doping?
Do you also believe the true mens world record is 2:05 ish?
Yep.
I'm pretty confident that the clean record is at least as fast as 2:16-ish.
I just can't believe that the clean world record is someone worse than Deana Kastor or Mizuki Noguchi, who were 2:19 runners without super shoes and never broke 30:50 in the 10k. They'd certainly be 2:16 or 2:17 low with the shoes. So think its totally concievable that there are women running 2:14 - 2:17 today with super shoes while clean.
I like this theory, but there is one thing wrong with it....how likely is it to be developed and used in Kenya?
If a super new drug were discovered, you would sell it to the rich nations. Norway, UK, USA etc. and if Kenyans are using it then why are they getting caught?
There are new undetectable drugs, but they are not being used by the people getting caught for the old favourites.
No - you give it to athletes in a nation where doping control is still run like the keystone cops with corruption, tip-offs, bribery still extremely prevalent.
Kenyans are "expendable" to these scumbag guys like Rosa, Demadonna etc etc and here is the more sinister but important thing - it's easier to keep them quiet if they do get caught because if they don't who knows what "happens" to them (car accidents, "jumping out of windows"etc).
If you dope a kid in Norway and he gets caught, you better believe you are f-ed. Not the same in Kenya, and that's why it's a hot-bed for this sort of garbage.
Take your tinfoil hat off and go back to your mom's basement.
In sports, thiazide diuretics are used to flush out previously taken prohibited substances with forced diuresis and in sports where weight classes are involved to achieve acute weight loss. Thiazide diuretics include compound...
I heard a rumor from a very good source that there is/was a super drug cocktail that they have found a way to use and get around testing.
The Brits used it in the lead up to the 2012 Olympics, then hid it but it’s now widely out there.
The Brit’s literally dominated everything endurance destroying their previous marks in Track, Cycling Tri’s and rowing. Mo Farah, Bradley Wiggins, Froom and the track cycling performances. The triathlon bros. A few people got shadow banned, Alberto and team Sky executives. No one wanted a Russian doping scandal with GB.
But the method got out and now it’s running rampant through sports.
I think the drugs are the same, it’s how you fool testing. Keep in mind, Lance Armstrong never officially failed a test
They should have got their money back then because on the track, besides Farah, the Brits kinda bombed out completely in the distance races.
Wiggins, Froome and the Brownlees hardly shocked the world with their performances, they were already among the best in the world.
Maybe they were all doping, but nothing in those 2012 Olympics really indicates anything.
Thread for wild speculation. My gut is saying that EPO wouldn’t be sufficient to explain her WR and there’s something new out there that isn’t widely known of yet.
My biggest fear is gene doping. Using talented Kenyans as guinea pigs seems a bit too likely to me.
That would probably have to be a large, state sponsored effort. Interesting idea though. Unless you had records to make a biological passport, this would be very difficult to detect and possibly super effective.
EPO with HGH and testosterone is incredibly powerful, even microdosing.
& the effects last long after the drugs have been pissed away.
For the testosterone, Nandrolone would be too easy to detect, so expect something like Tetrahydrogestrinone or newer with a masking agent and full body shave/short hair to hide the evidence.
In cycling, something not yet detectable is being used by 2 to 5 riders. It’s bloody obvious, but nobody knows what it is or how to test for it. Maybe she mis-dosed this mystery substance and tried to hide it with a proportional dose of masking agent?
I'm increasingly of the opinion that there is a new undetectable drug out there.
If a new drug appeared, maybe more expensive than EPO or difficult to get hold of, what you would expect to happen is...
The occasional outlier performance from an American (think Cole Shocker in Paris).
A resurgence from North Africans (Sedjati etc.) and increasingly 'European' Moroccans and Algerians.
The very top Kenyans running super-human times again, with incredible phenomns suddenly appearing at one or two camps (think Koech at Beradelli's camp).
In other words, exactly how 2024 and this year are playing out.
What is doing there your father El Bakkali, USA and England don't have a middle/long distance runner of his size in the last ten years.
Your dates are off with respect to Bekele, at least. His career began after EPO testing was instituted in 2000, and he set the 5000 and 10000 world records in 2004 and 2005. He didn't run a marathon until 2014.
The first EPO test came out in 2000 but my understanding is it sort of sucked. See lance doping his way through the tour. There was a refinement around 2007/8 appears to have slown things down.
At the other end it isn’t clear when it started. Was Ondeiki or Sigei using ins 93/94? Maybe but put me in the camp where it was unlikely to be available in 89 when he was a 13:04 guy. A couple years later when people were running 26:30/26:40? Yeah that 20-30s is all EPO…
Your dates are off with respect to Bekele, at least. His career began after EPO testing was instituted in 2000, and he set the 5000 and 10000 world records in 2004 and 2005. He didn't run a marathon until 2014.
The first EPO test came out in 2000 but my understanding is it sort of sucked. See lance doping his way through the tour. There was a refinement around 2007/8 appears to have slown things down.
At the other end it isn’t clear when it started. Was Ondeiki or Sigei using ins 93/94? Maybe but put me in the camp where it was unlikely to be available in 89 when he was a 13:04 guy. A couple years later when people were running 26:30/26:40? Yeah that 20-30s is all EPO…
EPO became widely available in endurance sports in the early 1990s. The Ariostea cycling team went from mid-pack with a bunch of aging veterans to destroying everyone in one year. Michelle Ferrari perfected it and by 1996 you had results like this:
With 86km to go in the race, 4 members of the Mapei team escaped off the front of the 20 strong peloton - Johan Museeuw, Gianluca Bortolami, Andrea Tafi...
The Italians were the ones who really perfected it (which is why you get Gen Xers and Baby Boomers so suspect of people like Rosa and Canova).
Anyway, based on what we know about cycling you can assume that Italian coaches were starting to use EPO in the early 1990s, that most top-tier sports programs in Italy, Spain and the Scandinavian countries were using it by the mid-1990s, and anyone who wanted to be competitive in elite endurance sports was using it by the late 1990s.
If you were not willing to do it, you were not competing at the highest levels throughout most of the 2000s.
There was a delay from cycling to athletics and then being available for the masses. You can see when it took hold in East Africa and became widely available by results.
Look at the spread on winners globally pre 2000s in the majors , then afterwards. It astonishingly easy to correlate the free for all of epo in East Africa to the dominance.
People will find all sorts of nonsensical arguments to say what what's staring them in the face isn't true. It's simply an availability v demand timeline. Once it became easily available to everyone, the utter dominance came.
The same couldn't happen in US/Europe as there isn't the same freedom to get and take epo. Limited numbers risk it for sure, but not enough to take on the hordes. It's killed athletics as a spectacle. Prior to the 2000s, maybe late 90s , you could win from any part of the glove. After that in was an East Africa party. Everyone too afraid to label them as you might be called racist. It's not racism , those countries are like East Germany of old , there's nothing genetic about it....which is easy to see from results prior to the free for all and the numbers of positives now.
This is the second time I’ve seen dexamethasone mentioned. Yes, it does increase the number of progenitor cells for erythropoietin, as well as potentially increase the sensitivity of these same cells. Most jumps of red blood cells occur at ~8 days after beginning use. The thing is, long term use of a corticosteroid this strong will absolutely destroy someone’s immune system, their skin/hair, cause extreme fluid retention, and even create muscular atrophy. That’s not even mentioning the withdrawal symptoms. For these reasons, Decadron most certainly is not used as part of a typical PED regimen. Occasionally, it is rumored to be used after extreme hard sessions and/or races for quicker recovery.
My mention of dexamethasone was a joke, dude. The idea of someone trying to dope with steroids and injecting themselves with a glucocorticoid is funny in the same way as the dumb@ss criminals a few years ago who tried to steal oxycontin and ended up stealing oxytocin instead.
Obviously dexa wouldn't have the desired performance effect. That's the joke.
This is the second time I’ve seen dexamethasone mentioned. Yes, it does increase the number of progenitor cells for erythropoietin, as well as potentially increase the sensitivity of these same cells. Most jumps of red blood cells occur at ~8 days after beginning use. The thing is, long term use of a corticosteroid this strong will absolutely destroy someone’s immune system, their skin/hair, cause extreme fluid retention, and even create muscular atrophy. That’s not even mentioning the withdrawal symptoms. For these reasons, Decadron most certainly is not used as part of a typical PED regimen. Occasionally, it is rumored to be used after extreme hard sessions and/or races for quicker recovery.
My mention of dexamethasone was a joke, dude. The idea of someone trying to dope with steroids and injecting themselves with a glucocorticoid is funny in the same way as the dumb@ss criminals a few years ago who tried to steal oxycontin and ended up stealing oxytocin instead.
Obviously dexa wouldn't have the desired performance effect. That's the joke.
Apologies, as I took the comment at face value. I can imagine that group of criminals was easy to identify in the line up. They certainly would have had a place to hang their towel in prison.
Interestingly, decadron actually does increase rbc production, often given in some of the autoimmune related forms of anemia. Lesser corticosteroids are often abused as well, secondary to their anti-inflammatory affects post hard session/race and feelings of increased energy (note the comments previously by the American Fleshman regarding inhalers). Also remember the debacle with Armstrong needing to get the backdated prescription years ago for “saddle sore” as a front for his abuse of the glucocorticoid. What is being abused in the peloton, on the pitch, or on the oval are just different derivatives of drugs that have always served the same purpose: increase the ability to recover, prevent breakdown, increase o2, increase o2 availability, stave off lactic acidosis, etc. The trick is to find the right cocktail that fits the individual for maximal affect in the above categories while mastering the ability to test negative during specific hours. As a side note, I think it’s also a common misconception amongst the general population here that corticosteroids are anabolic.
I'm pretty confident that the clean record is at least as fast as 2:16-ish.
I just can't believe that the clean world record is someone worse than Deana Kastor or Mizuki Noguchi, who were 2:19 runners without super shoes and never broke 30:50 in the 10k. They'd certainly be 2:16 or 2:17 low with the shoes. So think its totally concievable that there are women running 2:14 - 2:17 today with super shoes while clean.
The clean record is 2:13. You people are moronic beyond belief
The first EPO test came out in 2000 but my understanding is it sort of sucked. See lance doping his way through the tour. There was a refinement around 2007/8 appears to have slown things down.
At the other end it isn’t clear when it started. Was Ondeiki or Sigei using ins 93/94? Maybe but put me in the camp where it was unlikely to be available in 89 when he was a 13:04 guy. A couple years later when people were running 26:30/26:40? Yeah that 20-30s is all EPO…
EPO became widely available in endurance sports in the early 1990s. The Ariostea cycling team went from mid-pack with a bunch of aging veterans to destroying everyone in one year. Michelle Ferrari perfected it and by 1996 you had results like this:
The Italians were the ones who really perfected it (which is why you get Gen Xers and Baby Boomers so suspect of people like Rosa and Canova).
Anyway, based on what we know about cycling you can assume that Italian coaches were starting to use EPO in the early 1990s, that most top-tier sports programs in Italy, Spain and the Scandinavian countries were using it by the mid-1990s, and anyone who wanted to be competitive in elite endurance sports was using it by the late 1990s.
If you were not willing to do it, you were not competing at the highest levels throughout most of the 2000s.
Sure by 95/96 everyone was EPOing. What about 92? 93? Or 94? There were some big drops some of those years.
And there is some complexity in say 1 or 2 people doing (maybe Cacho had an early hook up) and the field ( all those races with a half dozen dudes sub 12:55) doing it.
Unless some coach with a dozen athletes from the era writes a tell all, we will probably never know