Ingebrigtsen talks after running 3:26 in Monaco: "I think anyone who runs 3.29 or faster can win the Olympics."

When Jakob goes under 3:26 and sets a WR will posters concede that he is in fact a 1500 runner? I’m going with probably not.

I can't believe Jakob is foolish enough to risk a 3:29 race. He'll have Kerr latched onto him. The indoor results were indeed indicative of how powerfully a 2024 version of Kerr can close when the pace hasn't wilted him.

A key for Jakob is don't run stupidly during the rounds. He always sits back and leaves too much to do. Running in outer lanes throughout. It may seem cute to swoop the field and gesture to the crowd but it is stupidly sapping bits of energy. Again, he needs to execute the rounds like Kipyegon. She goes to the front knowing that others will defer to her. No extra meters or complications.

Yes Kerr has closed the fastest for the last 200m this year in 2024. 25.19!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! And in outer lane 2 and thus looking like a 24.8!!!!!!!! A 7:43 race is not that slow to diss a potentially 24.8 closing speed. Jakob is not closing this fast at any point in space and time from now till eternity!!!!!!! Josh Kerr's sprint mechanics are world class!!!!!!!

I didn't mean to imply that Kerr's victory was anything less than well-earned. It was.

I am only saying that from a tactical perspective, Jakob was unprepared for lighting to strike twice. That is on Jakob and his team, and not Kerr's problem. If Jakob underestimated the odds of a Wightman 2.0 event, that is his fault.

I am only pointing out that lightning struck twice because nobody expect it to. Now Jakob's team is on guard against it.

p.s. The fact that Jakob was sick is real, but we don't know how sick he was, so I don't try to factor that in. I have too little info about it.

Four athletes below 3:30 this year:

worldathletics.org

1500 Metres - men - senior - all - 2024

Open link

Filtering on times since 2018 (chosen a bit arbitrarily) there are 15 athletes who have run sub 3:30:

worldathletics.org

1500 Metres - men - senior - all

Open link

Of these I guess Katir is out. Not sure if Girma will run the 1500. And I guess Manangoi is not going to run in Paris either.

No doubt he seems like the favorite.

But I would like to see a surprise.

I speak the truth, go look at Josh's legs again. The way Josh opens up his legs with such huge coverage as compared to Jakob is a sure bet for reaching the finish line first for the gold medal!!!!

2022 went 55.2 56.2 56.5

The two guys whose fitness maximally is most unknown are the two young guys:

Reynold Cheruiyot, Niels Laros. Both lightly raced but having impressive results. Laros with his 1,000. Cheruiyot consistent and then looking good at Kenyan Trial.

You could also argue someone like Mills (few races) and Cole Hocker might be in the needed 3:29 shape. Hocker appears to be at a new level, and Mills may go up a level in a fast race that plays to his strength (a la Nordas)

Anyone outside of them, Kerr, Tim, Komen, Nuguse and Jakob is a slight surprise. But we know Habz, Hoare, Garcia-Romo, Habz and Nordas have been in the level of fitness before. Gourley and Nader have some upside.

I respectfully disagree. The large amounts of 5G reflecting off the Scottish Highlands are causing Kerr and Wightman to fade. You must concede the RF interference dear Khamis. Sandnes is flat and allowing Jakob to dodge most of the RF. And they have cancelled his show so less cameras, less frequencies and faster times.

Respectfully, you should delete your account and walk into the ocean

His tactic needs to be a hard, evenly-paced race, like Monaco. I don't think Kerr can keep up. A race where a kick is involved gives Kerr the upper hand.

If being sick is only worth 4 hundredths of a second, then I'd take it 100 out of 100 races

Look do you know who you are speaking to about RF levels in Europe? I work for Vodafone, do you know what or who is Vodafone??????

Try Googling sir!!!!!

The RF levels in Europe are all the same in cities and suburbia, only place where they are different is RURAL AREAS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Jake Wightman doesn't train and live in a completely rural area so he will be deteriorate quite quickly for high performance sport. Josh Kerr I don't really know where he lives and trains exactly but he sure doesn't live and train in central London like Jake Wightman. I believe he is holed up in Switzerland or Spain when in Europe at altitude, or has a sea level base that is quite rural since he is running so well without drugs.

The other way for Jake Wightman to run well living and training in central London is to consume some PEDs, that would overcome or at least greatly reduce the effects of anthropogenic RF on his biological body.

How about Jak's splits: every 100m was between 13.5 and 14.0. That is some even, even pacing!

Don't think it's a LetsRun thing when Jakob himself always says he is not naturally a 1500 runner. If he runs 3:25 that's great, but if he also runs 12:29 (once he finally moves to the 5k) and wins a couple more golds, it'll be hard to argue his 5k resume isn't better. If you're looking at the World Athletics event groups, his 5k resume (7:23/7:54/12:48, 2x world gold) is already pretty even with his 1500 resume (3:26/3:43/4:43, 1x Oly gold, 2x world silver), which is pretty insane considering he completely ignores the 5k outside of championships.

tbh, I think Jakob already could break the 5k WR last year, even when he's still in 3:27 shape. Right now if he gives it all in a DL 5k, I'm confident he will get a 12:33 minimum.