What is the best race strategy for Valby in 5000 final?

Knowing her racing personality I'll bet that she goes hard from jump. She's used to the heat so if it's on the hot side that's even better for her. I just see her throwing down from the start, letting everyone know that if they're gonna beat her they're gonna have to hurt tremendously to do it.

She has to wear them out. Descending series... Negative splits.

Slowly, go a little faster than they think shes going. By the time they figure it out, they wont have enough left to hurt her.

I don’t know why you think she can run 14:30. That would be a 20+ second PR, run in a trials final. Such a time would require sub-4:05 speed and 30:00 strength.

You're probably right and this is what makes Parker so much fun to watch. Without Parker, the race would likely be a jog most of the way and a fast finish with the usual suspects at the front. With Parker in it, regardless of the outcome, she is going to put the hurt on herself and everyone else. Whoever wins is going to have to work hard the majority of the race. It's good entertainment.

Mentally too tough to go from gun with folks right on your backside the whole time. I think her best bet is stay in the pack through 1800 meters then start ripping off 70s. A 920 last two mile would put the smack down on almost everyone.

Hey I like Valby and hope she can make the team but your theory is over the top. By the time they figure what out?? ESP and Cranny’s kick are deadly and Schweizer will be right there with them

That Castro finish and aftermath was painful to watch, but that's nothing like what I am proposing or expecting for Valby's strategy.

She would also put a smack down on herself. 9:20 is 8:42 3000m pace, and her 3000 PR is 8:41.

Once again, she is not going to make the 5000m team. The runners she would need to beat, are all in their primes.

And it will be more satisfying to know that the team that is going can actually run fast and deserves their spots. I agree that she will make it an honest race. She is kind of like the Conner Mantz of US female distance.

Well considering she hasn’t run a 1500m in over a year, how’s that working out for her?

Don’t bother replying back, because your trash posts just reek of coming from a tuouhyite troll.

She has anchored a DMR or 2, but never faster than 4:30 as far as I know.

She ran 9:21 for her last two miles just two weeks ago.

The 3K you referenced was indoors, the day after running a 14:52 5K.

By “she” I was referring to who the OP referred to, which is Tuohy. Hello?!

which was the reply to Valby not running a 1500, which I included in the quote, hello!

She is the resurrection of Pre, and I would love to see her go that route and just run it out of the field. Racing is all about moment she is not going to change gears with 1 mile to go and drop them. She’s done that in the NCAA that doesn’t work at this level. I would tell her 70s from the gun and just open it up. Maybe give it lap then take the lead and push 70s

If she can do that (run 14:35-14:40) she certainly has a great chance. But that is pretty fast. On just waiting until 2000 or thereabouts the other 3 are probably faster than she is over 3000 as well.

At this juncture, she should meter it out and run it until she expires, like she ran her cross-country races.

70.point’s from the gun might be a bit rich, but something sub-72’s wouldn’t be too surprising.

Imagine if Cranny and Schweizer decide a sub 14:50 pace is more than they bargained for, and decide to fight it out for 3rd, with other events on the horizon.

Without checking the numbers, is that actually true? Because if so, that 9:21 was with a 10000m in her legs from two days prior, so maybe she can hold close to that pace for the full 3.1. Which would mean: 14:30! 😮