Official Parker Valby Bryan Clay 2024 10K Prediction Contest

Fantastic as she's been, 30:40's a pretty tall order --especially without any help.

If she's feeling good, and it's reasonably cool by race-time, low wind, I'd think she probably has an outside shot.

And you never know how someone's gonna react to their first track 10K.

I'll say she goes out at 74's, holds it well to 7K, then tries to start cutting down, and then we'll see if she's got anything left to kick off that.

My best guess is she gets close, maybe holds 74's to 9K, but can't cut down much from there, and fades a little in the last couple.

30:52.

If she actually can crack 30:40, that would be freaking *awesome*.

Where do you idiots get this crap from, there is literally a 0% chance of rain Thursday night.

About 68 degrees, 50% humidity, and a 3mph wind at race time, 9:30pm.

Gainesville yesterday was low of 71 and high of 85.

I see a record coming.

I'll pass on the prize but I'll go with 30:52. She's got one gear - fast. I think she'll fail to hit the Olympic Qualifier but run fast enough to consider running it at the Trials.

I doubt Valby will run both the 5k and 10k. Her past comments were the 10k does not hold her interest but she will listen to her coach. I think her preference would be to run the 5k and go for a solid olympic qualifying time. If she does run the 10k, don't expect to see her in the 5k. My guess for possible 10k is sub 31:00. How much under 31 depends on competition and how many slower runners she laps running in lanes 2 or 3.

I have contempt for athletes who I do not believe are on the level, especially in college running. I will let the usual yahoos do the three blind mice routine.

Then how did you stomach tueee, jackass?

You have already admitted in another thread that you think that all fast women distance runners are doing drugs. (Except your beloved Tuohy, of course.) Which means that you have contempt for all of them. (Except your beloved Tuohy, of course.)

So why do you even follow the sport of track and field? You should just leave and not come back.

Even though she is entered in the 10k, it's not certain that Parker Valby will actually run the 10k. She might just run the 5k. And if she does run the 10k, it's not clear that her goal is to break the college 10k record.

If she does try to break the college 10k record, she had a good shot, but it's not a lock. Running faster than 31:18 in your first 10k ever isn't easy, even for someone as talented as Valby.

She has no shot at all of getting the 30:40 standard.

Does anyone know if the entire Bryan Clay meet be streamed on FloTrack? Or just Thursday's events? From FloTrack's website, it looks like they only plan to stream Thursday. But that doesn't make sense so I'm wondering if I interpreted that incorrectly.

10K prediction is 5K time, plus 30 seconds, multiplied by two. So she a chance.

31:13.06

9:30 3k

15:42 5k

25:04 8k

31:13 10k

Weather looks perfect. I’ll be watching and hoping for something more stunningly fast.

I use the double your 5K time and add a minute is a much more accurate predictor.

I have expressed the reasons for my opinion. When someone explains Valby's seemingly magical ability to return to peak fitness from injury (even SEC announcer noticed it), the significant changes in form over short spans of time, her utter lack of natural fatigue, her complete physical transformation and her sudden ability to seemingly effortlessly run record breaking times, let me know. Because I have Occam's razor.

“It’s going to be a really slow burn to get there.”

Enjoy your slow burn, gramps tooeee.

TMADDDHASFNE, look at your success! You are a marketing genius! There are 4 threads simultaneously discussing the mania you started, now they are even discussing her socks! I hope my 30:44 prediction is way off just to see LRC erupt with 1000s of posts if she breaks 30:30!

This is idiotic. I’m a Tuohy fan as well, but why remain on this thread if you ‘honestly don’t care’?

That being said, I wouldn’t be surprised if she ran 30:20. She clearly had a lot left after her indoor 5000.

Valbymania is only a few hours away and the Expectations of Great Things is far greater than any seismic jitters on the San Andreas fault.

I think Parker can get the standard if she is aware of what she has to run in order to get it, but her schtick has always kinda been that she's ignorant of that stuff and just trying to run fast. So honestly who knows what she's doing