I'll say 4:01. Her breakthroughs to date have been at 800 not 1500. I'll have to see an example before assuming it applies to both. Sophie O'Sullivan was just thrilled with 4:02
Her PR as of April 27th was 4:12. She dropped from 4:12 to 4:03 in the last few months. 9 seconds isn't a breakthrough?
If she runs 3:57 that will be a 15 second drop in 5 months.
And btw I’m not hating on her. But if you aren’t seriously concerned about her well being you are either completely ignorant or don’t have a working soul.
im tired of reading “futures soooooo bright!!” From people who clearly understand what these coaches are about and don’t have any respect for what that might do to someone who is their victim.
I'll say 4:01. Her breakthroughs to date have been at 800 not 1500. I'll have to see an example before assuming it applies to both. Sophie O'Sullivan was just thrilled with 4:02
Her PR as of April 27th was 4:12. She dropped from 4:12 to 4:03 in the last few months. 9 seconds isn't a breakthrough?
If she runs 3:57 that will be a 15 second drop in 5 months.
I was including that 4:03 as first indication of her new baseline. Instead of racing against weak competition, or sitting well off the pace in slow fractions like the World U20 final last year, Wiley was aggressive during the 4:03 race and finished strongly. I wasn't surprised. I posted on several forums after that U20 final that it looked like Wiley had more raw ability than other American middle distance runners. She made repeated surges against the Ethiopians and Kenyans, instead of sitting back like a typical American and being content to rally for 8th.
After the 4:03 revealed her true ability level, the subsequent breakthroughs have been at 800. That's all I'm saying. I hope I'm wrong but I'm not convinced Wiley can stay relaxed on the rail throughout the race and then retain a kick strong enough to put up a 3:57 or 3:58 like most of the posts are suggesting. Due to her inexperience Wiley seldom gets the tactics exactly correct against foes of similar caliber.
After the pacers drop out I would expect Chepchirchir to take over. She is an 800 type and feels comfortable at the front. If Chepchirchir leads a small breakaway and one of them wins in 3:56 to 3:58 range, I don't think it's unreasonable to project Wiley a few seconds back at 4:01 or thereabouts. She would be an underdog to the hefty majority of the field, if there were head to head bettable matchups like a golf tournament.
As someone else posted, the 1:57.64 on the points table is equivalent to slightly above 4:00 at 1500.
I think she needs to stay on those fast Keenyans, from the get-go, and hang on and try and relax a bit. It will be a steady push, but this may be her best opportunity to date for a fast race. Get up behind the Keenyans; it will probably string out, aye?
I think she needs to stay on those fast Keenyans, from the get-go, and hang on and try and relax a bit. It will be a steady push, but this may be her best opportunity to date for a fast race. Get up behind the Keenyans; it will probably string out, aye?
Yes, it will be a pretty simple race for Wiley. There are so many fast women in the race that Wiley will just tuck in back and try to hang on as long as she can.
I think she needs to stay on those fast Keenyans, from the get-go, and hang on and try and relax a bit. It will be a steady push, but this may be her best opportunity to date for a fast race. Get up behind the Keenyans; it will probably string out, aye?
Yes, it will be a pretty simple race for Wiley. There are so many fast women in the race that Wiley will just tuck in back and try to hang on as long as she can.
I hope you don’t mean tuck in back of the pack. I think she needs to tuck-in, but near the front. That may be in the minds of a lot of the racers though, so that first 250m could be interesting.