ChatGTP making people with soft skills revolt with anger

My theory on things like ChatGPT is that even if it adds little or no productivity gain for desk jobs, the mere perception of what it should do will have an effect on the market for desk jobs.

Imagine someone in control of recruiting/hiring at a company reads in Forbes magazine that "AI will enable the work of 5 Accountants to be done by 2." Whether or not it's true, the company will try to scale down their hiring of Accountants.

A conspiracy theorist would find it suspicious that ChatGPT was unveiled around the same time that the economic recession, affecting mainly white-collar jobs, was starting.

With your unreplaceable "skills", the joke will be on you.

Your tax dollars will have to pay for the 80% of people who become replaced and unemployed. Have fun working HARD while the rest of us soft skilled people suck on your tax dollar teet.

Yeah. You can downvote me all you want, but it doesn't change the fact that your tax dollars fund my lazy neerdowell lifestyle.

The libraries and tools the average SDE have today compared to 20 years ago already have 1000Xed productivity. Back in the early 2000s, standing up a scalable 3-tiered-architecture web application like a PayPal would've taken a full year to hand-roll the infrastructure: load balancing, distributed database, deployment scripts, indexed searching, etc. This is now boilerplate stuff you can wring up in Azure in a day by clicking buttons.

In other words, AI-assisted coding is not much of a productivity gain compared to other advancements in software engineering. In the best case, it's a 2Xer for the act of writing code, and writing code is only part of SDE role.

And the expectation of what SDE should know how to do has been increasing at a rapid pace. The average Jr. SDE fresh out of college today is better than the Sr. SDE of 20 years ago. The fact that everyone and their mother is trying to break into the SDE career field has made it extremely competitive. This alone has increased productivity because companies don't have to really train SDEs.

Many close cousins of SDE role have been consolidated into SDE as those roles either became obsolete or just because of industry trend. Two that come to mind are SDET and DBA.

Finally, if SDEing could be completely disrupted by AI, then so could every other white-collar job more easily. Most white-collar jobs today are, in reality, obsolete, due to ordinary (non-AI) software, but have somehow managed to stay around for the time being.

um hum. It can only take what you say literally. Its basically just doing a search to determine what the appropriate response to a statement or question should be. That is the most ai will ever be able to do. It just may get a very big database and very efficient at this search.

Soft skills are intangibles that aren’t easily measured. Being able to get along with people, think on your feet, be creative, etc.

I don’t see people with those skills being threatened by any AI.
They are the ones more likely to implement AI to replace people that have hard skills but terrible personalities.

These people being "replaced". They will just become unemployed, not killed or executed. One way or another somebody is going to have to pay for their food and shelter. And that will be YOUR tax dollars.

All ChatGPT is going to do is put ever increasing TAX BURDEN on those who manage to remain employed.

I’m not in favor of anyone getting replaced.
I’m just saying the OP is wrong that people with soft skills will have a harder time.

They also are often not as highly valued unless their productivity can be measured.

Much like Florida, chatGPT is where woke goes to die.

Sure it can write you a block of .py or whatever.

It cannot however frame a house, be an electrician, weld, manufacture, or l even be a plumber to unclog your shidded in toilet from all your doordash dumps funded by ChatGPT welfare checks.

Therefore we need strong men in and tradesmen and the top 40-50% of Businessmen.

What about people who aren't intelligent enough to qualify for a "higher level intelligence job"? What happens to them? They will be unemployable?

This is what universal basic income was invented for. Eliminate the need for jobs that can be automated but are not because people need that employment to feed their families. Unfortunately universal income hasn't so far moved past the very limited experimental scope so it's not yet clear if it can in fact solve the problem.

I think you mean people with hard skills, not soft skills, should be scared. And yes - in white collared jobs.

People that will benefit from AI:

- you own a business (cheaper/less/augmented/more productive staff)

-you’re intelligent (20 finance guys/accountants/sdes work at your office. 10 are fired because AI can make the 10 smartest work twice as efficiently. Additionally, those that are better able to think abstractly will likely have a job that requires more high level thinking / strategy (exp. Lawyer/engineer) and the dummies with cog in the system bookkeeping, number crunching jobs will be hooped.

- you’re creative

- you have people skills. AI is or potentially will be far better than us at say quickly doing the best tax return with input or writing a bazillion lines of code but it’s not going to convince a high value client to join your law firm or ad agency. Salesmen rejoice.

So yeah - like a lot of technological advances this will be yet another transfer of wealth from the poor and dumb to the rich and smart.

And likely bill or unknown effects for tradesmen. So if you are dumb whitecollar or in the lower say 50-75th percentile of your whitecollar job (accountant, SDE, finance etc) might be time to go to trades school.

Jamin probably a great example.

7 months later I think most people now understand that "intelligence" is something an automated decision tree can't simulate.

Has a chat bot ever produced anything you'd call "clever?" Then it's not intelligent, and can't be creative.

You're mostly right... except the third bullet point.

AI is already better at creativity than humans... AI can observe artwork, replicate the style, so that we can do away with the 'artists'. The other night I was listening to a podcast about visual art, and one artist was claiming that AI was 'stealing' her work by replicating her style. She has no real legal recourse, but was a calling for regulation to 'do something about this.' Surreal. Reminds me of Trump supporters calling on Trump to 'build that wall' to protect their jobs.

Really being naive here Wiggzie.