According to Track and Field News, top ten is 9.96, which is a possibility for him this year but almost as distant as his hs pr is from this run. Top ten in the 200m is probably more likely this year at 19.93. In the 400m, it's not likely without conversion to the training, as tenth is 44.30, but Randolph Ross is third with 43.85 and has a great shot at the record, which is Norman's 43.61 (with Kerley in 2nd all-time).
My correction oddly showed up as being posted one minute before your stupid comment...now it is showing up as one minute later.
A mystery.
Intelligence matters here a lot. You are incorrect about your post showing up after mine. The issue is, and READ carefully here: one minute is not going to be accurate much of the time when seconds are not listed. Surely you can grasp this? So let us say that I chose to reply to you at 3:34:35. At that point I am not seeing anything but my post. So then at 3:34:49 you submit a post. I will not see that post and then I submit my reply at 3:35:02, for example. Your post will say 3:34 and mine will say 3:35. You, not being super bright, will ask why I posted after seeing your post. The intelligent will know why I would not likely have seen your post.
Last year he opened with something like a 10.3x or something (in poor conditions if I recall), and may have even run some 10.2s for a few weeks before starting to put it together a little bit last year. He essentially maxed out last year at around 10.13ish basic (give or take a few hundreths). That's somewhere around a .10/.15 drop from the start of the season to the end. (Also note I think his basic PR is still from the summer after his high school season...which seems notable to me)
Call this 10.03 about a 10.13ish basic. In that context, he's already matched his best from last year. In March. In a vacuum thinking only about his own experience, that's pretty great news for him. Extrapolate that out to the end of the season and give him the same wind, and one could argue he SHOULD be running anywhere from 9.88 to 9.93. IF he could match last seasons kind of improvement. With that kind of logic in mind, in basic he should get down to anywhere from 10.03 to...9.98 maybe?
It should be mentioned that no white guy has broken 10 in basic. Not even the French dude. If he does that, it's also seems noteworthy on some level. Though one should probably not expect him to have the same level of improvement from start to finish as he did last year; he ran pretty bad to start last year so he had a lot of room for improvement. But we'll see.
At minimum, he's gonna break 10 this year. But, there's a lot of talent in the 100 so I'm not seeing a 100m title for him this time around. Unless he really DOES improve as well or more this year as he did over the season last year. Then maaaaybe he could be in the mix for the title. But even then it might be a stretch for actual first place.
At minimum, he's gonna break 10 this year. But, there's a lot of talent in the 100 so I'm not seeing a 100m title for him this time around. Unless he really DOES improve as well or more this year as he did over the season last year. Then maaaaybe he could be in the mix for the title. But even then it might be a stretch for actual first place.
Also a decent chance he ran his best race of the season and it is all downhill from here.
At minimum, he's gonna break 10 this year. But, there's a lot of talent in the 100 so I'm not seeing a 100m title for him this time around. Unless he really DOES improve as well or more this year as he did over the season last year. Then maaaaybe he could be in the mix for the title. But even then it might be a stretch for actual first place.
Also a decent chance he ran his best race of the season and it is all downhill from here.
I seriously doubt with all the opportunities he'll have left this season to perform we saw his best in March. I do think barring injuries this is the guy who becomes the first white American to run a sub10.00. I see a 9.98 sometime in 2022, will actually predict it.
At minimum, he's gonna break 10 this year. But, there's a lot of talent in the 100 so I'm not seeing a 100m title for him this time around. Unless he really DOES improve as well or more this year as he did over the season last year. Then maaaaybe he could be in the mix for the title. But even then it might be a stretch for actual first place.
Also a decent chance he ran his best race of the season and it is all downhill from here.
Zero chance. He didn't even peak well last year and he still improved considerably. Unless you consider running a possible 10.04 with a +0.2 in May "downhill" from a 10.03 with a +1.9 in March.
He WILL improve. The question of it's only marginal (.05ish) or considerable (.1 or more).
Only way it plays out like you say is if he blows a hammy or something in the next few weeks. THEN he'd lose a proper peak.
Also a decent chance he ran his best race of the season and it is all downhill from here.
I seriously doubt with all the opportunities he'll have left this season to perform we saw his best in March. I do think barring injuries this is the guy who becomes the first white American to run a sub10.00. I see a 9.98 sometime in 2022, will actually predict it.
If he only ends up at 9.98 for the year, straight up that's a disappointment. Unless we are talking 9.98 with minimal or no wind. But considering some of the places he'll be running, he should have many more +1.0 type winds (and above) in warm weather type opportunities. If all he musters is 9.98 in some of those situations....that's a dud, as far as I'm concerned.
Boling is a weird dude. When I give up expecting much from him, he usually drops something impressive. But then he tends to disappoint again after that, only to even out from there. So it's possible that he ends up around 10.05 basic at his peak for the year. In a 1.9 type wind that already should result in a 9.96/9.95 result....but that's reliant on weather help, of course, and still not that impressive in this era.
Buuuut, if he gets to a 10.02/9.99 level of basic, and ends up in a hot race with a 2ish wind? He's gonna make a mockery of your 9.95 "limit" and force you to change usernames again, WHATLEY.
Also a decent chance he ran his best race of the season and it is all downhill from here.
Zero chance. He didn't even peak well last year and he still improved considerably. Unless you consider running a possible 10.04 with a +0.2 in May "downhill" from a 10.03 with a +1.9 in March.
He WILL improve. The question of it's only marginal (.05ish) or considerable (.1 or more).
Only way it plays out like you say is if he blows a hammy or something in the next few weeks. THEN he'd lose a proper peak.
So there is zero chance of him not running sub 10 and then you immediately list 2 cases where he doesn't break 10? I am not sure you understand what zero means. Plenty of people run fast early and then stuff happens.