Loser Alert wrote:
HRC still.
Obsessed much?
Loser Alert wrote:
HRC still.
Obsessed much?
Disapproval over 50% wrote:
Fox News tweeted that Trump's approval had "soared" to 41% based on a CNN poll. After finally realizing that was a horrible result they deleted the tweet. Trump is the only president in history to have a disapproval rating greater than 50 percent at this point in his first term.
Oops, Fox.
Trump's approval was steadily going up since mid September and reached 42.6% on 538 a few days ago. I knew it would rise when Kavanaugh was in the spotlight and Trump mostly quiet. But naturally Trump wasn't bright enough to understand the benefit of shutting up, so he kept talking as we reached the confirmation stage and now subsequent polls have been lower like 41% from CNN and 39% from Ipsos and 38% on YouGov. His approval dropped from 42.6% to 42.0% on 538 as result.
The senate polling has been the most dramatic shift. I got a major bargain on Predictit by playing heavily on Democratic "No" at 64 and 65 and 68 cents. Now above 80 cents as polling indicates that Bredesen is an almost certain loser in Tennessee. The ongoing New York Times poll has him trailing 57-40. Bredesen was leading most polls until a week or two ago, although Blackburn was always the betting favorite.
You can't force Democrats in those federal races with states above 40% conservatives. I've known that for decades and it's the reason I wager on Republicans at least 70% of the time, despite my partisanship. It never fails that Democrats are overstated via polling in some of those races each cycle.
Ambassador daughter wrote:
On the rumor-mill: Trump says Ivanka would be 'incredible' at U.N. Ambassador job.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/trump-naming-daughter-succeed-haley-u-n-how-good-would-n918286
He says he would be “accused” of nepotism, as if it actually wouldn’t be nepotism
rotanimllort wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
Obsessed with the pole much?
Obsessed with being wrong all the time? Trollminator and Flaggy both predicted wrong and now they are posting less and less. Too funny for words. Cowards, both of them.
Roll back the tape knucklehead, I made no wrong prediction. But keep wishing
IQ45 is Trump wrote:
Trump is an idiot. His daughter as UN Ambassador? What a bigly joke.
Ambassador daughter wrote:
On the rumor-mill: Trump says Ivanka would be 'incredible' at U.N. Ambassador job.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/trump-naming-daughter-succeed-haley-u-n-how-good-would-n918286
Is there any way he hasn’t seriously considered her or Kushner?
Btw - what would trumpers think of Nikki if she went by her real name Nimrata?
A very successful administration
Trollminator wrote:
Btw - what would trumpers think of Nikki if she went by her real name Nimrata?
They love Rafael Cruz.
They Love Donald Drumpf.
Awsi Dooger wrote:
Disapproval over 50% wrote:
Fox News tweeted that Trump's approval had "soared" to 41% based on a CNN poll. After finally realizing that was a horrible result they deleted the tweet. Trump is the only president in history to have a disapproval rating greater than 50 percent at this point in his first term.
Oops, Fox.
Trump's approval was steadily going up since mid September and reached 42.6% on 538 a few days ago. I knew it would rise when Kavanaugh was in the spotlight and Trump mostly quiet. But naturally Trump wasn't bright enough to understand the benefit of shutting up, so he kept talking as we reached the confirmation stage and now subsequent polls have been lower like 41% from CNN and 39% from Ipsos and 38% on YouGov. His approval dropped from 42.6% to 42.0% on 538 as result.
The senate polling has been the most dramatic shift. I got a major bargain on Predictit by playing heavily on Democratic "No" at 64 and 65 and 68 cents. Now above 80 cents as polling indicates that Bredesen is an almost certain loser in Tennessee. The ongoing New York Times poll has him trailing 57-40. Bredesen was leading most polls until a week or two ago, although Blackburn was always the betting favorite.
You can't force Democrats in those federal races with states above 40% conservatives. I've known that for decades and it's the reason I wager on Republicans at least 70% of the time, despite my partisanship. It never fails that Democrats are overstated via polling in some of those races each cycle.
The 2016 election has always made me wonder the methodology of these polls. I also wonder if Trump supporters truly participate in these polls or if these pollsters are polling them. I declined to participate in the Gallup poll 6 months ago. A buddy of mine participated in a poll and he decided to just say he was a liberal and disapproved of POTUS when in reality he’s the exact opposite. His reasoning behind it is to try and keep democrats complacent. Not sure if that works.
Thisthreadisridiculous wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Clownpolian!
I guess he finally realizes the Russia thing is going to go south. Now Flagpole has resorted to analyzing someone’s sexuality. He will find something new to complain and hammer how right he is shortly.
Ha! Seems you conservatives can't handle more than one thought or action at a time.
1) My thoughts on Lindsey Graham are not unique (others have stated that perhaps he is asexual). Also, I didn't DECLARE that he was...I said simply that he COULD be. I also clearly said "I'm not saying for sure one way or the other." It is clear that his lifestyle is not common. It is not common for a 63-year-old man to not only never have been married, but to never have dated a woman or man that we know of. If I had to guess, I would say he is likely asexual, but like I said, I do not know for sure. Estimates are that about 1% of people are asexual. 100 Senators, so...
2) Not sure where you get that I have decided the Russian thing is going south. Kavanaugh takes the lead story for a few weeks, and you believe Mueller just closed up shop and went home? Nope. Dude is still working, still dotting and crossing. Trump is in a world of hurt still...nothing has changed, and we are closer to his comeuppance than ever.
Mueller is coming.
The clown is done.
Thisthreadisridiculous wrote:
Awsi Dooger wrote:
Trump's approval was steadily going up since mid September and reached 42.6% on 538 a few days ago. I knew it would rise when Kavanaugh was in the spotlight and Trump mostly quiet. But naturally Trump wasn't bright enough to understand the benefit of shutting up, so he kept talking as we reached the confirmation stage and now subsequent polls have been lower like 41% from CNN and 39% from Ipsos and 38% on YouGov. His approval dropped from 42.6% to 42.0% on 538 as result.
The senate polling has been the most dramatic shift. I got a major bargain on Predictit by playing heavily on Democratic "No" at 64 and 65 and 68 cents. Now above 80 cents as polling indicates that Bredesen is an almost certain loser in Tennessee. The ongoing New York Times poll has him trailing 57-40. Bredesen was leading most polls until a week or two ago, although Blackburn was always the betting favorite.
You can't force Democrats in those federal races with states above 40% conservatives. I've known that for decades and it's the reason I wager on Republicans at least 70% of the time, despite my partisanship. It never fails that Democrats are overstated via polling in some of those races each cycle.
The 2016 election has always made me wonder the methodology of these polls. I also wonder if Trump supporters truly participate in these polls or if these pollsters are polling them. I declined to participate in the Gallup poll 6 months ago. A buddy of mine participated in a poll and he decided to just say he was a liberal and disapproved of POTUS when in reality he’s the exact opposite. His reasoning behind it is to try and keep democrats complacent. Not sure if that works.
Polls have a sampling error? Often times the result of the polls are within the sampling error.
http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/09/08/understanding-the-margin-of-error-in-election-polls/Alan
Flagpole wrote:
Thisthreadisridiculous wrote:
I guess he finally realizes the Russia thing is going to go south. Now Flagpole has resorted to analyzing someone’s sexuality. He will find something new to complain and hammer how right he is shortly.
Ha! Seems you conservatives can't handle more than one thought or action at a time.
1) My thoughts on Lindsey Graham are not unique (others have stated that perhaps he is asexual). Also, I didn't DECLARE that he was...I said simply that he COULD be. I also clearly said "I'm not saying for sure one way or the other." It is clear that his lifestyle is not common. It is not common for a 63-year-old man to not only never have been married, but to never have dated a woman or man that we know of. If I had to guess, I would say he is likely asexual, but like I said, I do not know for sure. Estimates are that about 1% of people are asexual. 100 Senators, so...
2) Not sure where you get that I have decided the Russian thing is going south. Kavanaugh takes the lead story for a few weeks, and you believe Mueller just closed up shop and went home? Nope. Dude is still working, still dotting and crossing. Trump is in a world of hurt still...nothing has changed, and we are closer to his comeuppance than ever.
Mueller is coming.
The clown is done.
Graham is gay. Im gay, I know the look. Most gays can tell and some straight people can also tell. He is a classic closet gay who has labeled himself a “loner”. Everyone in SC knows he is but they really don’t care as long as he doesn’t come out and supports their conservative religious agenda
Its in his face wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Ha! Seems you conservatives can't handle more than one thought or action at a time.
1) My thoughts on Lindsey Graham are not unique (others have stated that perhaps he is asexual). Also, I didn't DECLARE that he was...I said simply that he COULD be. I also clearly said "I'm not saying for sure one way or the other." It is clear that his lifestyle is not common. It is not common for a 63-year-old man to not only never have been married, but to never have dated a woman or man that we know of. If I had to guess, I would say he is likely asexual, but like I said, I do not know for sure. Estimates are that about 1% of people are asexual. 100 Senators, so...
2) Not sure where you get that I have decided the Russian thing is going south. Kavanaugh takes the lead story for a few weeks, and you believe Mueller just closed up shop and went home? Nope. Dude is still working, still dotting and crossing. Trump is in a world of hurt still...nothing has changed, and we are closer to his comeuppance than ever.
Mueller is coming.
The clown is done.
Graham is gay. Im gay, I know the look. Most gays can tell and some straight people can also tell. He is a classic closet gay who has labeled himself a “loner”. Everyone in SC knows he is but they really don’t care as long as he doesn’t come out and supports their conservative religious agenda
Dr. Ruth is coming.
The Flagpole is done.
Loser Alert wrote:
Disapproval over 50% wrote:
Fox News tweeted that Trump's approval had "soared" to 41% based on a CNN poll. After finally realizing that was a horrible result they deleted the tweet. Trump is the only president in history to have a disapproval rating greater than 50 percent at this point in his first term.
Oops, Fox.
Yet your girl HRC still lost.
You may not understand how this "approval" thing works. It's about what's happening *now* (or within the last couple of days, when the polling was conducted).
Though American voters clearly preferred HRC--to the tune of nearly three million votes--American electors clearly did not, and it's the electors' choice that counts. Trump won fair and square.
But all of that was 23 months ago. The approval ratings are as of October 2018.
Do try to keep up.
Trollminator wrote:
A very successful administration
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/16/us/politics/all-the-major-firings-and-resignations-in-trump-administration.html
I actually clicked on that and went through the whole list.
Dayumn. This guy really doesn't seem to know how to run a business--or at least how to hire, and keep, a staff.
I knew people had left, but didn't realize the magnitude. Wow.
plan of attack wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
Nikki is going to sit on the sidelines to give herself room to jump in on a chance to run if Trump begins to disintegrate going into 2020. I’m not only keeping up, I’m way ahead.
She is going to challenge Trump if he runs in 2020. But, Trump won't run because defeat is on the wall. Trump is campaigning for 2020 now because he likes the attention, but also because of the money he is raising. Otherwise, it is just another Trump con game.
How it is possible to be this delusional?
Trollminator wrote:
Btw - what would trumpers think of Nikki if she went by her real name Nimrata?
Btw-what would Clintonettes think of Nikki is she went by her real name Nimrata? What would the racist left think then?
It's 2018... wrote:
Loser Alert wrote:
Yet your girl HRC still lost.
You may not understand how this "approval" thing works. It's about what's happening *now* (or within the last couple of days, when the polling was conducted).
Though American voters clearly preferred HRC--to the tune of nearly three million votes--American electors clearly did not, and it's the electors' choice that counts. Trump won fair and square.
But all of that was 23 months ago. The approval ratings are as of October 2018.
Do try to keep up.
It's 2018 and your girl lost and you're butthurt. Do try to let go, it's over, she lied and got beat because of it.
kavanaugh bump already over and put to bed. 538 odds for the house and the generic ballot are pretty much at their strongest yet. within a little bit. Have to admit I thought it would last longer than that. Clearly, Americans do not like putting kids in cages, cheating on taxes, lying and making Canada and Europe our foe.
But yeah 78% chance is exactly that. longshots do come in once in a while, and the Dems messing up with Kav will certainly help turnout among anti-feminists and pro-liars.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=midterms-header