Duhhhh derrrr, the'th a Thrumper!!!
Duhhhh derrrr, the'th a Thrumper!!!
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
McCONnell wrote:
McConnell is a disgraceful pig. The ultimate revenge on him will be to impeach his Kavanaugh--boo hoo. Dems can add four more SCOTUS seats to reduce the workload. Then Dems can ram trough: Obama, Hillary, Kamala Harris, Garland Merrick, and one other democrat to replace lying Kavanaugh. That would make it 9:4 on the SCOTUS with the minority Trumpublicans left to waste away into dust forevermore.
Seriously? You either need some serious meds or grow up.
^this from the guy who threatened many times to leave the thread because there is only name calling
Flagpole wrote:
Kavanaugh's odds of confirmation have dropped from 71.4% to 46.5% since Friday.
This was after the second woman came forward accusing him of sexual assault. This doesn't take into consideration Avenatti's victim who will likely come forward tomorrow. Avenatti has said they might pursue criminal charges against Kavanaugh, and Democrats are saying that even if he gets a seat, they will likely investigate further and push for impeachment.
Expect to see the odds for him to get confirmed drop even further.
If Dr Ford fails to testify Thursday and Avenatti doesn't produce the woman he says he is representing prior to Friday, the vote will move forward and Kavanaugh will be confirmed. I'm not confident either "comes through".
Trump has another pick ready to go wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Kavanaugh's odds of confirmation have dropped from 71.4% to 46.5% since Friday.
Trump already has his next choice made. The only women he might try to add is Kellyanne Conway. She is not qualified, but that would not matter to Trump. She will protect him at all costs. Trump and Kellyanne have an odd relationship. She is at his side nearly the entire day. She has clearly been using Trump's spray-tanning booth as well. Odd.
Amy Coney Barrett will be the next choice if it is necessary.
She is a Trumper wrote:
Rachel Mitchell. She is a registered Republican and a Trumper.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/09/female-prosecutor-revealed-rachel-mitchell-will-question-christine-ford-on-thursday/checkmate... wrote:
https://www.lmtonline.com/news/article/Arizona-prosecutor-emerges-as-GOP-choice-to-13258105.php
Ford should not go through with it. Getting interrogated by a handpicked trumper is much worse than taking questions from the Republican senate committee members. If Ford agrees, I’m assuming she’s holding a pair of aces.
The Fokus wrote:
Trump has another pick ready to go wrote:
Trump already has his next choice made. The only women he might try to add is Kellyanne Conway. She is not qualified, but that would not matter to Trump. She will protect him at all costs. Trump and Kellyanne have an odd relationship. She is at his side nearly the entire day. She has clearly been using Trump's spray-tanning booth as well. Odd.
Amy Coney Barrett will be the next choice if it is necessary.
Fox News does not like her.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/07/06/amy-coney-barrett-criticized-for-ties-to-people-praise-look-at-group.htmlThe Fokus wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Kavanaugh's odds of confirmation have dropped from 71.4% to 46.5% since Friday.
This was after the second woman came forward accusing him of sexual assault. This doesn't take into consideration Avenatti's victim who will likely come forward tomorrow. Avenatti has said they might pursue criminal charges against Kavanaugh, and Democrats are saying that even if he gets a seat, they will likely investigate further and push for impeachment.
Expect to see the odds for him to get confirmed drop even further.
If Dr Ford fails to testify Thursday and Avenatti doesn't produce the woman he says he is representing prior to Friday, the vote will move forward and Kavanaugh will be confirmed. I'm not confident either "comes through".
They are going to move the vote forward unless someone presents definitive evidence. Even if it’s becoming a choice between the Senate majority or SCOTUS pick, the more important one is the pick. Tomorrow should be an interesting day, t-1
Trump has another pick ready to go wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Kavanaugh's odds of confirmation have dropped from 71.4% to 46.5% since Friday.
Trump already has his next choice made. The only women he might try to add is Kellyanne Conway. She is not qualified, but that would not matter to Trump. She will protect him at all costs. Trump and Kellyanne have an odd relationship. She is at his side nearly the entire day. She has clearly been using Trump's spray-tanning booth as well. Odd.
I don't know where that 46.5% comes from but Kavanaugh has been treading at 60 cents or thereabouts on Predictit, the political betting market. It is a 100 scale so 60 to win 40 or -150 favorite.
I swooped up lots of shares on Yes the other day during the overreaction to the breaking Ramirez story. Now my shares average 44 cents, so I feel very good about that, getting Kavanaugh as underdog price to be confirmed.
I also have Ford at 44 cents to testify by Thursday. Lots of conservatives were playing the No on that market, wanting to pretend she had been scared away.
https://www.predictit.org/Contract/12469/Will-Brett-Kavanaugh-be-the-next-confirmed-Supreme-Court-justice#ownership"Dr." Ford will no-show
Trollminator wrote:
They are going to move the vote forward unless someone presents definitive evidence. Even if it’s becoming a choice between the Senate majority or SCOTUS pick, the more important one is the pick. Tomorrow should be an interesting day, t-1
I'd put that as highly likely unless some news breaks over the next 48 hours which has some current "yes"s turn to either "we need to wait" or "no".
Dr. Ford will read a statement. Leave. And file sexual assault charges, in Maryland, on Thursday, against Kavanaugh. Sexual assault charges have already been filed against Kavanaugh by a 4th woman.
Faux Newss wrote:
The Fokus wrote:
Amy Coney Barrett will be the next choice if it is necessary.
Fox News does not like her.
She'll fly through a nomination...in a relative sense. The Dems are going to come up with something to question her on no matter who is picked. Barrett doesn't have a whole lot in terms of baggage....whether FoxNews likes her or not.
The Fokus wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Kavanaugh's odds of confirmation have dropped from 71.4% to 46.5% since Friday.
This was after the second woman came forward accusing him of sexual assault. This doesn't take into consideration Avenatti's victim who will likely come forward tomorrow. Avenatti has said they might pursue criminal charges against Kavanaugh, and Democrats are saying that even if he gets a seat, they will likely investigate further and push for impeachment.
Expect to see the odds for him to get confirmed drop even further.
If Dr Ford fails to testify Thursday and Avenatti doesn't produce the woman he says he is representing prior to Friday, the vote will move forward and Kavanaugh will be confirmed. I'm not confident either "comes through".
Time will tell. If by some miracle Kavanaugh gets confirmed, expect some charges to be filed against him with the ultimate goal of impeachment and conviction.
So far, Avenatti has produced. Any Trumpers who want to say otherwise need to look no further than Cohen pleading guilty to two counts of felony campaign finance violations and naming Trump as the one who directed him so that Trump is an unindicted co-conspirator and then has flipped on Trump, giving Mueller info. This was all due to Avenatti. I have no reason to doubt him yet.
So, the timing is unclear...either tomorrow or the next day we should hear from Avenatti's client.
She will read a statement wrote:
Dr. Ford will read a statement. Leave. And file sexual assault charges, in Maryland, on Thursday, against Kavanaugh. Sexual assault charges have already been filed against Kavanaugh by a 4th woman.
Who is the 4th woman?
She will read a statement wrote:
Dr. Ford will read a statement. Leave. And file sexual assault charges, in Maryland, on Thursday, against Kavanaugh. Sexual assault charges have already been filed against Kavanaugh by a 4th woman.
A clue would be the first thing you should acquire
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/24/opinion/christine-blasey-ford-brett-kavanaugh-senate-judiciary-hearings.htmlShe is a Trumper wrote:
Rachel Mitchell. She is a registered Republican and a Trumper.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2018/09/female-prosecutor-revealed-rachel-mitchell-will-question-christine-ford-on-thursday/checkmate... wrote:
https://www.lmtonline.com/news/article/Arizona-prosecutor-emerges-as-GOP-choice-to-13258105.php
Flagpole wrote:
Time will tell. If by some miracle Kavanaugh gets confirmed, expect some charges to be filed against him with the ultimate goal of impeachment and conviction.
So far, Avenatti has produced. Any Trumpers who want to say otherwise need to look no further than Cohen pleading guilty to two counts of felony campaign finance violations and naming Trump as the one who directed him so that Trump is an unindicted co-conspirator and then has flipped on Trump, giving Mueller info. This was all due to Avenatti. I have no reason to doubt him yet.
So, the timing is unclear...either tomorrow or the next day we should hear from Avenatti's client.
The first is a reach.
Avenatti has been right so far but this, even if he's correct with a victim, may be out of his hands if she doesn't want to come forward.
At this point, I think it's highly likely Kavanaugh gets through.
Flagpole wrote:
She will read a statement wrote:
Dr. Ford will read a statement. Leave. And file sexual assault charges, in Maryland, on Thursday, against Kavanaugh. Sexual assault charges have already been filed against Kavanaugh by a 4th woman.
Who is the 4th woman?
She is not named. She choose to remain private at this time. Maryland does not provide names of victims of sex crimes.
https://news.vice.com/en_us/article/3kek75/another-kavanaugh-accuser-is-taking-to-maryland-authoritiesThe Fokus wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Time will tell. If by some miracle Kavanaugh gets confirmed, expect some charges to be filed against him with the ultimate goal of impeachment and conviction.
So far, Avenatti has produced. Any Trumpers who want to say otherwise need to look no further than Cohen pleading guilty to two counts of felony campaign finance violations and naming Trump as the one who directed him so that Trump is an unindicted co-conspirator and then has flipped on Trump, giving Mueller info. This was all due to Avenatti. I have no reason to doubt him yet.
So, the timing is unclear...either tomorrow or the next day we should hear from Avenatti's client.
The first is a reach.
Avenatti has been right so far but this, even if he's correct with a victim, may be out of his hands if she doesn't want to come forward.
At this point, I think it's highly likely Kavanaugh gets through.
Avenatti said she wants to come forward, that she will come forward, and that he has other witnesses ready to testify.
So, time will tell. I guess she could change her mind at the last minute, but again, I have no reason to doubt him.
She will read a statement wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Who is the 4th woman?
She is not named. She choose to remain private at this time. Maryland does not provide names of victims of sex crimes.
https://news.vice.com/en_us/article/3kek75/another-kavanaugh-accuser-is-taking-to-maryland-authorities
Interesting. The story does say it is unclear if the person is the same person who is Avenatti's client.