Even the LRC podcasters agreed. Disrespectful would be starting threads or crashing Valby's threads to argue that Tuohy would have won. I said from the beginning that this double was very risky because it was jeopardizing a very likely title in the 5000m. People are protesting way too much about a perfectly reasonable what if/oh well scenario. Again she just beat Valby doubling at regionals and would not have had to run the rounds in the 1500. Even worn down last year she ran a 15:19 slowing down at the line. But again, when I say it is academic it means the book has been written and Valby won fair and square.
You are being unfair about Henes/Tuohy miscalculating. She successfully pulled off the double at regionals, outkicking Ramsdan in the 1500 and easily beating Valby in the 5000m. And she has run in the heat before and won there. You are criticizing them really not for misjudgment but for the lack of clairvoyance that she would have a very bad day. How the hell would they know that in advance?
The only similarity to Wake Forest was that she faded, but she still ran 4:08.29 as opposed to 4:11, and she beat Ramsdan there as well. Looking at the 300/700/1100 splits at WF, it was 47.75, 152.99, and 300:69, compared to 47:90, 155.28 and 303.95 last night. And WF was her first race back after a break following Indoors. That is over a three second difference at the 1100, and was right in the 3:03 range that people were suggesting. So there are not really comparable. Tuohy went out slightly slower, but then slowed the pace down well below her WF pace.
And there was nothing wrong with scratching from the 5000m if she was not feeling well after the 1500m. She has been the consummate team runner from the moment she showed up at NCSt. Her coach looked out for her, which is the point, not satisfying the expectations of message board denizens.