YOU never had a prediction. You parroted the 13 keys prediction without ever one time stopping to think that it could be wrong this time. You latched onto this one prediction "model" (which isn't really a model at all) because it supported what you wanted to see emotionally. There was TONS of data coming out regularly that pointed to this election going tilting Trump, you just chose to ignore it because you wanted Dems to win. Emotion, plain and simple. It's illogical to blindly expect that because a predictor has been right in the past that it is 100%, absolutely, no questions asked going to be correct this time. It was a matter of time before that the 13 keys wrong, and it's so hilarious that it was this time after everything you said on here.
Let's be clear: Trump defeated Hilary, Biden, and now Kamala. GOP flips the Senate and retains the House. Dems are losers because they can't but help think with emotions, just like you.
Wow, dude. Just wow. How can you believe that nonsense?
1) Harris actually CAN win without PA.
2) There is NO poll that has Trump up that much in PA.
3) 538's poll of polls for PA has Harris with a slight lead, 47.9% for her to 47.5% for Trump.
4) Democrats have been greatly under represented in polling since the Dobbs Decision.
5) You scoff the 13 Keys at your peril. Lichtman's method is the ONLY one that takes emotion out of the equation.
6) The headwinds for Trump to win are just too strong. 13 Keys, he's a convicted felon, the abortion issue, not doing the 60 Minutes interview, which to anyone other than diehard MAAGA Morons shows he's chicken.
Harris will win. It's over.
Really? How can you be that stupid?
Silly Willy. Never bring up 538. Atlasintel is the pollster you MUST refer to from now on.
You earned all this ridicule. Never predict another presidential election again.
This post was edited 1 minute after it was posted.
Yes, but it's incredibly hilarious. She dressed in red to vote yesterday. Probably still upset over the insurrection the Dems did to push out Biden.
It also would go down in history as Biden being the only person to beat (viewing 2020 as legitimate) Trump.
Yep. But, remember, agip, flagpole, and others said he went willingly, he stepped aside willingly for the good of the country. Complete BS, he was couped… and it was a mistake and Jill Biden telegraphed it for everyone very loudly yesterday.
Amazing after we lived through the “fascism” and one way narrative of Covid that they want to point the finger at the “other guy.” Truly incredible. Best they can do is chalk it up to misogyny and racism. They’ve quite literally learned nothing. Some humility is in order. But you ain’t getting that from Flagpole, just an, “I was wrong because you’re stupid.”
And if Trump wins, even though he’s surely not my pick, I will laugh at you, especially you. If for no other reason than your arrogance and Demagoguery.
1) Trump is not going to win, and so you will get no opportunity to laugh at me.
2) There is no arrogance attached to my prediction. 13 Keys says she will win. Recent voting history says Democrats are by far the favored party, so that says she will win. Abortion issue is a strong headwind against Trump, so that says she will win. Polls since the Dobbs Decision have greatly under represented Democrats, so that says she will win. If the facts showed that Trump would win, I would say so. I do WANT Harris to win, but regardless of that, the facts say she will. I also want to be rich...well, look at that, I am! Oh, let's not forget that Democrats successfully stole the election in 2020 with no trace left behind, so we'll just do that again, amirite? I DO have to put in my caveats...Harris must be alive. Aliens from another planet can not come down here and make us all vote for Trump. Normally I would also add that Trump can't cheat, but he can cheat in this election and he will still lose.
3) No Demagoguery on my part. I ONLY use facts and rational arguments to support my position.
These lines are PRICELESS!
" ...you will get no opportunity to laugh at me"
"There's no arrogance attached to my predictions..."
1) Trump is not going to win, and so you will get no opportunity to laugh at me.
2) There is no arrogance attached to my prediction. 13 Keys says she will win. Recent voting history says Democrats are by far the favored party, so that says she will win. Abortion issue is a strong headwind against Trump, so that says she will win. Polls since the Dobbs Decision have greatly under represented Democrats, so that says she will win. If the facts showed that Trump would win, I would say so. I do WANT Harris to win, but regardless of that, the facts say she will. I also want to be rich...well, look at that, I am! Oh, let's not forget that Democrats successfully stole the election in 2020 with no trace left behind, so we'll just do that again, amirite? I DO have to put in my caveats...Harris must be alive. Aliens from another planet can not come down here and make us all vote for Trump. Normally I would also add that Trump can't cheat, but he can cheat in this election and he will still lose.
3) No Demagoguery on my part. I ONLY use facts and rational arguments to support my position.
These lines are PRICELESS!
" ...you will get no opportunity to laugh at me"
"There's no arrogance attached to my predictions..."
😆 did you not check how she's doing vs how Biden was doing at this point in the evening in 2020??? You are not prepared for what's coming.
Dear Trollminator:). I told you over and over and you said to cope. Well, you are a little uneducated weasel. You are not prepared for what has already come. You will now cry to the mods every time someone posts cope, but you got to do it for 4 years.
Flagpole, you are a mental midget on your best day. Look back and see what I told you. Michigan now has trucks with California plates bringing in BOXES of ballots...LOOK IT UP. I live here and guess what, this time it's too late---cheating. My EV prediction will always be closer than yours.
Agip was wrong, 100 percent. But he never came back with cope, cry harder or name calling. Flagpole did over and over. I can't wait till you both post again. Trollminator....what handle will you use now???? Wimp.
Catching up on this thread but I think this post is fairly accurate.
Yes, we're winning with class but we also must drive these marxists into the ocean.
I hope the dems learned their lesson. Never ever nominate a candidate w/o a primary process no matter what.
If Cackles had a primary over the summer with Newsom, Whitmer, Shapiro, Cuban, Dimon and Pritzker- I guarantee she would have been eliminated after the first debate. The election may have turned out with a dem winning. Shapiro would have delivered a PA victory.
Took day off from work. Crying my eyes shaking in fear. Had to look my 5 and 8 year old children in the eye and explain to them how democracy died yesterday and that they will grow up in a fascist rascist hellhole. They cried too. Not doing well here, might need to take the rest of the week off and take a family vacation to Quebec, I don't even know.
Took day off from work. Crying my eyes shaking in fear. Had to look my 5 and 8 year old children in the eye and explain to them how democracy died yesterday and that they will grow up in a fascist rascist hellhole. They cried too. Not doing well here, might need to take the rest of the week off and take a family vacation to Quebec, I don't even know.
If you love your children put them up for adoption immediately.
Took day off from work. Crying my eyes shaking in fear. Had to look my 5 and 8 year old children in the eye and explain to them how democracy died yesterday and that they will grow up in a fascist rascist hellhole. They cried too. Not doing well here, might need to take the rest of the week off and take a family vacation to Quebec, I don't even know.
If this is real, you have a screw loose. Just one example liberal democracy, Biden’s trucked in 81 million popular votes in 2020.
Now that she is out of the way ( I cant imagine she'd have any kind of political career after that performance) this opens up the 2028 race for a lot of other more appealing Dem candidates.
Woke democracy, letting fake women compete against real women. A normal person would recognize this as lunacy. Most of the people advocating such nonsense belong in mental institutions.
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