I don't understand what you don't understand, so I cannot help you. I don't understand what you believe is obfuscation in my post, rather than direct responses to your posts and to the study, so again, I am unable to help you.
But let's try again, to talk about this Russian women performance study that you brought into this Kenyan thread.
You say Dr. Iljukov says all these things, but in fact, the conclusion of 2-3% attributed to blood doping that you understood, comes from journalist Alex Hutchinson (PhD in Physics, and researcher at NSA's Quantum Computing Group and Candian national team competitor), in a non-peer reviewed website article from "Outside Online", and not from Dr. Iljukov.
Dr. Iljukov wants to associate the performance drops pre and post 2012 to the "Implementation of the Athlete Biological Passport" -- an improvement in anti-doping enforcement -- in a paper entitled "Association Between Implementation of the Athlete Biological Passport and Female Elite Runners’ Performance".
What Dr. Iljukov says about "blood doping gains" is much more speculative: "The considerable amount of doping cases ... coinciding with implementation of the ABP provides grounds to speculate that the magnitude of the performance decrease reflects the gains that were available by means of blood doping before."
Unlike Alex Hutchinson, Dr. Iljukov is not concluding, or even speculating, but observing a "coincidence" and providing future researchers the "grounds to speculate".
My questions arising from this study:
The runners from 2008-2012 are presumably all "top" runners, before any ABP busts. Wouldn't the pool of runners from 2013-2017 be inferior quality runners, for the very reason you gave?: "The enforcement of hematological anomalies on the Russians didn't start until 2012 which eventually caught virtually all of their top runners!" Why wouldn't that alone suggest the 2-3% drop?
Even if we decide the drop in performance quality comes as a result of ABP implementation, how does Dr. Iljukov propose to isolate the performance gains from blood doping from those Russian women busted for ABP violations who were combining blood doping with steroids?
Besides ABP implementation, what else was happening in Russia around 2012, with respect to anti-doping enforcement? (Hint: IAAF-Russian scandal).
As for your other points:
Again, "questioning Kenyan doping performance" is not "running damage control". I don't understand what you are saying here about "running damage control". That is not my intent or goal. Doping violations do not depend on performance. Runners who run slower are just as guilty as runners who run faster.
Regarding page 11 in that old thread, as you don't say anything specific, again I have to guess what you are referring to. Luckily there are only two posts from me. I guess it's the post that says "many papers that describe the various problems that undermined the ABP". Note the past tense used here. All these weaknesses I spoke about were published in pre-2009 papers, before the ABP was rolled out into production. The post I'm replying to refers to Paula's pre-2009 values (i.e. the ones subject to dehydration and equipment calibration errors). There was a suggestion that Kiptum needed all of Paula's values to be published to learn the weaknesses to build his own defense. My point there was that publishing all of Paula's values was not necessary for Kiptum's defense, because the weaknesses were already published during all the ABP research before 2009. These papers, including papers from the Australian scientists Ashenden and Parisotto, identified many factors that can lead to false positives. The consequence of these papers led to refining procedures for blood collection, transfer, storage, and testing procedure. These refinements eventually made the ABP results more reliable, and is what allowed the ABP to be rolled out in 2009 for athletics (2007 for cycling). The pre-2009 weaknesses would no longer be applicable after 2009, if the refined procedures are followed.
Do you have a better example where I doubted the validity of the ABP sanctions post-2009, after it was rolled out post procedure refinements?