From Seth Keshel:
If you’re wondering why the bet markets tanked on Trump, it’s because Ann Selzer, formerly thought to be the “gold standard” pollster of Iowa, dumped a Harris +3 for Iowa.
The far from M-AGA pollster Emerson dropped a Trump +10.5 one hour before to cut her off at the pass, and Atlas (most accurate of 2020) dropped a poll with Trump winning all swing states right after it.
Selzer has Iowa dead on the last two races. For the record, Iowa has moved from R+1 to R+10.3 in the last 4 years and with GOP gains in all 99 counties. The GOP leads early voting after losing it by 12% last time but winning the state by 8.
Iowa will go to Trump by 12. This poll was dumped to mislead about the rest of the Midwest and was leaked to key Dems before it was published. It should be investigated as an anti-corruption measure and we should know what Selzer was paid or threatened with.
Iowa is Trump country!