Well since it seems the trophy has already been shipped off to Williamstown, the only race that matters is for Rookie of the Year. Jones, Aschale, or McAlister?
Well since it seems the trophy has already been shipped off to Williamstown, the only race that matters is for Rookie of the Year. Jones, Aschale, or McAlister?
Nichols - Champ
Hussein
Hale
Chelimo
O'Connor
Jones
Decker
Bosworth
Gagnon
Brossy
Dudek
Kibet
Aschale
Rich
This prediction is a bad one
I disagree with it very much.
No one thinks Colby can win?? A 34 second spread behind Chelimo is no joke, even if Eastman is indeed out for the year. They've certainly been closer to the podium than any Nescac team not named Williams.
I know they got beat at Purple Valley pretty badly, but move Chelimo, Kibet, and their fifth man up to where they are now and things look a lot better. I'd say they're dark horses, but that's the wrong color and the wrong animal.
Hwhite Mule wrote:
No one thinks Colby can win?? A 34 second spread behind Chelimo is no joke, even if Eastman is indeed out for the year. They've certainly been closer to the podium than any Nescac team not named Williams.
I know they got beat at Purple Valley pretty badly, but move Chelimo, Kibet, and their fifth man up to where they are now and things look a lot better. I'd say they're dark horses, but that's the wrong color and the wrong animal.
Colby also have home advantage, which is no joke considering the course. I agree, let's not hand the title to Williams just yet. They're rock solid this year, but they're far from a shoe-in.
Anyone know what the Colby course is like? The last time I ran it, it was rolling hills the whole time, but I've heard they changed the course.
Colby had a great race at the Maine State Championship. However, they had a big gap between their 5 and 6 guys (nearly 1 minute). If Eastman is unavailable, they could have problems in future meets if any of the 1-5 guys get sick, injured, or just have a bad race.
Flashback 2 year to when Colby almost placed at nationals. They only had 5 guys then and they only need 5 guys now.
#colbyftw
balls deep wrote:
Flashback 2 year to when Colby almost placed at nationals. They only had 5 guys then and they only need 5 guys now.
#colbyftw
I can't believe I'm writing this, but I agree with "balls deep". That 2014 Colby team's fifth man really stepped-up when it counted. I remember everyone on Letsrun saying that it was likely and only a matter of time until one of their 5 would have a bad day, and they would be out of it. Yet, they won the regional meet and almost placed on the podium.
Colby is a 100% David Chelimo away from doing some great things. I don't see them getting there by NESCACs, but by regionals, who knows???
Therefore, Williams aside, I still like Amherst > Colby at NESCACs, and Hussein, the defending conference champion, > Nichols. That Paul Short run by Tim was incredible, but like every year, Mo just gets better and better with every week.
Hwhite Mule wrote:
No one thinks Colby can win?? A 34 second spread behind Chelimo is no joke, even if Eastman is indeed out for the year. They've certainly been closer to the podium than any Nescac team not named Williams.
I know they got beat at Purple Valley pretty badly, but move Chelimo, Kibet, and their fifth man up to where they are now and things look a lot better. I'd say they're dark horses, but that's the wrong color and the wrong animal.
1. The name White Mules actually was a play on words from dark horses.
2. Last I heard Eastman is running and may race soon. Fit enough to change the scene? Hard to say.
Best guess as to the course:
http://www.quarryroadraces.com/series-courses.html
I have no idea what the actual course layout is, but if it is the same as the 8k races they host there during the summer, it will be hard. That hill at 3k looks nasty.
Just browsing results, and for that 8k layout, the course record is 27:03 by a 15:05/30:34/2:28 guy. Chelimo seems to have run it a bunch and never run faster than 27:40, but who knows what his fitness was then and how hard he was going.
Trail map of the area as well (https://static1.squarespace.com/static/558b558de4b0adbb054fc841/t/5759b1e1ab48debf64d73e6a/1465496065639/Quarry+Road+Trails+summer+2016+map.pdf).
Here's the actual course map. The course will skip out on one of the hills and looks like it includes a second field loop. Probably still a tough course.
The Heart of the 'Herst wrote:
balls deep wrote:Flashback 2 year to when Colby almost placed at nationals. They only had 5 guys then and they only need 5 guys now.
#colbyftw
Therefore, Williams aside, I still like Amherst > Colby at NESCACs, and Hussein, the defending conference champion, > Nichols. That Paul Short run by Tim was incredible, but like every year, Mo just gets better and better with every week.
I know you just said put Williams aside, but should we place any weight on Mo losing to Hale at Little Three's? How is he going to beat Tim Nichols if he's losing to guys like Hale?
What's going on with the CT NESCACs?
Conn seems to be having a very "Conn" season, and someone should probably start mailing them the dates for NESCACs and regionals over the summer so that they don't get confused and peak for their home meet every year.
Wesleyan went 11th nationally in 2015 and now looks to be just hoping to avoid 11th in the 'cac-they're missing Arsenault and Hawkins from last year, and a 75s gap from #1 to #2 only works when your #1 is Ian Lamere.
Trinity... seem to be motivated solely by a desire to save Wesleyan the humiliation of coming last.
^^^^ That there is pure gold.
Not bad.
I made some changes
Nichols - Champ
Hussein - very close 2nd
Hale
Bosworth
O'Connor
Jones
Decker
Chelimo
Gagnon
Eastman
Brossy
Aschale
Dudek
Kibet
Rich
LRC Commenter wrote:
5. Tufts has about as much depth as one of there freshman girls. Ive got a lot of respect for the grinders up top, real lunch pale guys, but the rest of the squad is gonna need to step up.
must go to Trinity
annville wrote:
http://www.nescac.com/sports/xc/2016-17/championship/NESCAC_Mens_XC_Champ_Map.pdfHere's the actual course map. The course will skip out on one of the hills and looks like it includes a second field loop. Probably still a tough course.
Why are we skipping hills? Has the NESCAC gone soft? (was it ever not soft?)
tooth brushes wrote:
LRC Commenter wrote:3. The CBB meet in Maine was about as interesting as a BBC news report. Who knows what any of those times up their mean, but we do know that Chelimo doesnt have the grit to pull out the wins.
4. Wesleyan still sucks
Read more:
http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=7290595&page=11#ixzz4NOkbuarJ5. Tufts has about as much depth as one of there freshman girls. Ive got a lot of respect for the grinders up top, real lunch pale guys, but the rest of the squad is gonna need to step up.
must go to Trinity
One typo is Trinity, three is an attempt at humor.
Colby's course will have the slowest winning time in quite a while. I'd guess 45-60 seconds slower than Pineland/WIlliams.