just looking at the affidavit wrote:
Questioning the accused's story: By instinct, being confined to the quarters of the locked bedroom area (which includes the toilet, bathroom and balcony), would one not assure of themselves that their loved ones (in the same confined quarters) are safe and secure from the possibility of flailing bullets before discharging a weapon into a blindly obstructed target behind the toilet door? Would it not be more reasonable, that without the assuredness of the loved one's whereabouts, then before blindly discharging the weapon into the door, one would instead keep their weapon trained on the toilet door while waiting for a backup response from their loved one (presumably in the are behind them), and wait for the door to open, revealing any intruder (or the protruding gunbarrel of the intruder), before discharging one's weapon into the door? If the argument is the accused had a gross negligent breakdown away from the more plausible response that I've presented, then other facts outside the accused's affidavit (witness testimony, bullet trajectory, timeline, evidence) bare further credence to either side's case.
If not for the fact that there are two previous data points out there about him being a security-gun nut... I think one was a NYT article where he showed his 9mm to the reporter and then took the reporter with him to the shooting range and taught the reporter to shoot...and then that tweet about hearing his washing machine on and going into "full recon mode."
Here's what I know:
1. Home security and the need to own a gun are very real and very serious considerations for many white, wealthy South Africans.
2. This guy was a "sportsman," from owning two wild cats, being into hunting and guns etc. He was a gun guy. A gun nut. Evidently it runs in the family. Ever heard of a story where a guy who is a gun nut from a gun nut family has something go bad? Shot in the ass/foot/shot a family member with an "unloaded" gun.
3. None of us who don't live in SA, having not grown up hearing all the robbery and home invasion stories can't assess how real of deal this is for a lot of people there.
Everything you state is logical for most of us in most places in the USA.
We have a least one incident where he got his gun and went into "full recon mode" (assume he got his gun, he was known to carry a gun often).
Possibly, he had trained a lot of his adult life to be able to handle a home intrusion like this, possibly as he got more successful and famous, this became more important to him, possibly he got obsessed with it, went to the range a lot...and possibly this all because such a real deal in his consciousness that the perfect storm of tragic stupidity and paranoid panic overcame him that night.
And possibly he just lost it and shot her.
What we know so far is that almost ALL of the early leaked details were Wrong.
If he did it, I hope he just breaks down at some point and admits it. Or hangs himself in jail.
I am fairly certain that at this point he is in real shock and grief either way.
If he killed her in a black out type rage...and then came too and saw what he had done...well then he is like schizoid or something.
If he killed her in a "protect my castle" confluence of panic and stupid decisions...it's just a tragedy on every imaginable level. She's gone, her family will never be the same. His life is over for all intents and purposes.
I can't imagine him ever competing again if found innocent.
And really the only career path left for him would be to campaign for gun safety.