Newest footage from Ukraine. Subscribe, it means the world to me :)Uncanny predictions of Ukraine's war from April 2021 by former Russian MP NevzorovSource :...
Ukrainian forces have defeated the initial Russian campaign of this war. That campaign aimed to conduct airborne and mechanized operations to seize Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odesa, and other major Ukrainian cities to force a change of government in Ukraine. That campaign has culminated. Russian forces continue to make limited advances in some parts of the theater but are very unlikely to be able to seize their objectives in this way. The doctrinally sound Russian response to this situation would be to end this campaign, accept a possibly lengthy operational pause, develop the plan for a new campaign, build up resources for that new campaign, and launch it when the resources and other conditions are ready. The Russian military has not yet adopted this approach. It is instead continuing to feed small collections of reinforcements into an ongoing effort to keep the current campaign alive. We assess that that effort will fail.
Stalemate will likely be very violent and bloody, especially if it protracts. Stalemate is not armistice or ceasefire. It is a condition in war in which each side conducts offensive operations that do not fundamentally alter the situation. Those operations can be very damaging and cause enormous casualties. The World War I battles of the Somme, Verdun, and Passchendaele were all fought in conditions of stalemate and did not break the stalemate. If the war in Ukraine settles into a stalemate condition Russian forces will continue to bomb and bombard Ukrainian cities, devastating them and killing civilians, even as Ukrainian forces impose losses on Russian attackers and conduct counter-attacks of their own. The Russians could hope to break Ukrainians’ will to continue fighting under such circumstances by demonstrating Kyiv’s inability to expel Russian forces or stop their attacks even if the Russians are demonstrably unable to take Ukraine’s cities. Ukraine’s defeat of the initial Russian campaign may therefore set conditions for a devastating protraction of the conflict and a dangerous new period testing the resolve of Ukraine and the West. Continued and expanded Western support to Ukraine will be vital to seeing Ukraine through that new period.
That guy hates Russia more than John McCain. I don't think he predicted anything he just hoped it would be true.
Lol, right. Or, you know... he's familiar with history and the inevitable effects of kleptocracy and cronyism
So your 5 day prediction, that wasnt you hoping anything right? For the record...
That guy predicted most Russian casualties would come from "being carpet bombed" by their own air force.
He simply loathes the ruling class and the military. His loathing is well placed as Russia is a backwards corrupt hell hole... but let's not pretend he put much thought into his prediction.
A swift Russian victory was the best possible outcome for the world. So yes I'd much prefer Russia won in 5 days.
Now we will have a prolonged war in which tens of thousands will die.
Now we have a world where Russia has been driven into the arms of China.
Ukraine will be completely destroyed and when the last drop of Ukrainian blood is squeezed out NATO and the west will say "Oh well we tried" and just let Russia have Ukraine. without ever risking a single drop of their own blood.
I care about America and this war isn't going to be a good thing for America in the long run.
That guy hates Russia more than John McCain. I don't think he predicted anything he just hoped it would be true.
Consider that Nevzorov loves Russia and that he well understands and hates the way it is being governed.
Russia has been the way it is forever. Openly loathing something in such mocking tones isn't going to change anything. He's just venting and he's doing it in a way that will lose more hearts and minds than it wins. People who hate Russia delight in it and and people who love it for all his faults think he's a fool even if some of his points have merit.
Now we will have a prolonged war in which tens of thousands will die.
It's been interesting watching you manage to act informed by arguing with completely ignorant people.
There is not going to be a prolonged war, casualties will not be anywhere near that high. The Ukrainian military is strategically defeated already and is being methodically dismantled. Man-portable missiles can't stop or significantly delay this.
Flooding the civilian population with automatic rifles was a self-destructive act of desperation.
For the benefit of the delusional people crowded (fortunately) into this one thread, try to remember how to internet. These things you all are posting aren't primary sources. Do your homework, and forget confirmation bias such as "oh the Ukrainian military says they killed 5000 Russians" like you don't need to verify that before believing it.
Now we will have a prolonged war in which tens of thousands will die.
It's been interesting watching you manage to act informed by arguing with completely ignorant people.
There is not going to be a prolonged war, casualties will not be anywhere near that high. The Ukrainian military is strategically defeated already and is being methodically dismantled. Man-portable missiles can't stop or significantly delay this.
Flooding the civilian population with automatic rifles was a self-destructive act of desperation.
For the benefit of the delusional people crowded (fortunately) into this one thread, try to remember how to internet. These things you all are posting aren't primary sources. Do your homework, and forget confirmation bias such as "oh the Ukrainian military says they killed 5000 Russians" like you don't need to verify that before believing it.
Well I think Ukrainians on TV every day all day begging for help and a no fly zone should be all the information anyone needs to realize Ukraine isn't winning.
I disagree on the prolonged bit and casualties. Even if Russia achieves it objectives it is very likely an insurgency will continue. Russia deals with insurgencies by going scorched earth. This will result in high casualties on both sides.
You can spend 10 minutes on Twitter and see that Russia is losing a TON of tanks, APCs, vehicles and aircraft.
Putin cannot lose. If he loses he's out of power and that's basically death to him. He will kill every man woman and child in Ukraine before he accepts defeat and goes home. Ukraine complies or it gets liquidated. That's where we're at.
Lol, right. Or, you know... he's familiar with history and the inevitable effects of kleptocracy and cronyism
So your 5 day prediction, that wasnt you hoping anything right? For the record...
That guy predicted most Russian casualties would come from "being carpet bombed" by their own air force.
He simply loathes the ruling class and the military. His loathing is well placed as Russia is a backwards corrupt hell hole... but let's not pretend he put much thought into his prediction.
A swift Russian victory was the best possible outcome for the world. So yes I'd much prefer Russia won in 5 days.
Now we will have a prolonged war in which tens of thousands will die.
Now we have a world where Russia has been driven into the arms of China.
Ukraine will be completely destroyed and when the last drop of Ukrainian blood is squeezed out NATO and the west will say "Oh well we tried" and just let Russia have Ukraine. without ever risking a single drop of their own blood.
I care about America and this war isn't going to be a good thing for America in the long run.
I disagree that "a swift Russian victory is best for the world", not just because Putin is a slimy reptile, but because it would only embolden both Russia and China to devour more fresh meat, like the Baltic states, Poland and DEFINITELY Taiwan. Try to think a step or two ahead of your shallow thesis.
That said, as long as Biden/Harris are at the wheel, there will be nothing but death and misery in these states neighboring either Russia or China. With the USA slashing it's own wrists by installing these corrupt Morans, Russia and China, to achieve their agendas, have to seize the opportunity to relegate the West forever.
That guy predicted most Russian casualties would come from "being carpet bombed" by their own air force.
He simply loathes the ruling class and the military. His loathing is well placed as Russia is a backwards corrupt hell hole... but let's not pretend he put much thought into his prediction.
A swift Russian victory was the best possible outcome for the world. So yes I'd much prefer Russia won in 5 days.
Now we will have a prolonged war in which tens of thousands will die.
Now we have a world where Russia has been driven into the arms of China.
Ukraine will be completely destroyed and when the last drop of Ukrainian blood is squeezed out NATO and the west will say "Oh well we tried" and just let Russia have Ukraine. without ever risking a single drop of their own blood.
I care about America and this war isn't going to be a good thing for America in the long run.
I disagree that "a swift Russian victory is best for the world", not just because Putin is a slimy reptile, but because it would only embolden both Russia and China to devour more fresh meat, like the Baltic states, Poland and DEFINITELY Taiwan. Try to think a step or two ahead of your shallow thesis.
That said, as long as Biden/Harris are at the wheel, there will be nothing but death and misery in these states neighboring either Russia or China. With the USA slashing it's own wrists by installing these corrupt Morans, Russia and China, to achieve their agendas, have to seize the opportunity to relegate the West forever.
I'm thinking more than 2 steps ahead. You're thinking short term.
NATO has amassed 30,000 troops and 50 warships near Russia’s border for military exercises, risking Mad Vlad’s rage. The drill, named Cold Response, has kicked off today in Norway amid …
It's been interesting watching you manage to act informed by arguing with completely ignorant people.
There is not going to be a prolonged war, casualties will not be anywhere near that high. The Ukrainian military is strategically defeated already and is being methodically dismantled. Man-portable missiles can't stop or significantly delay this.
Flooding the civilian population with automatic rifles was a self-destructive act of desperation.
For the benefit of the delusional people crowded (fortunately) into this one thread, try to remember how to internet. These things you all are posting aren't primary sources. Do your homework, and forget confirmation bias such as "oh the Ukrainian military says they killed 5000 Russians" like you don't need to verify that before believing it.
Well I think Ukrainians on TV every day all day begging for help and a no fly zone should be all the information anyone needs to realize Ukraine isn't winning.
I disagree on the prolonged bit and casualties. Even if Russia achieves it objectives it is very likely an insurgency will continue. Russia deals with insurgencies by going scorched earth. This will result in high casualties on both sides.
You can spend 10 minutes on Twitter and see that Russia is losing a TON of tanks, APCs, vehicles and aircraft.
Putin cannot lose. If he loses he's out of power and that's basically death to him. He will kill every man woman and child in Ukraine before he accepts defeat and goes home. Ukraine complies or it gets liquidated. That's where we're at.
or the russian army loses its will to fight, the Ukrainians get better SAMs and that reduces the the RU air force to a mess, and RU runs out of missiles.
That said, RU will probably do as you say, kill hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians before it's over. Russians killed far more than that in the 1930s. Bloodthirsty people. Some atrocity will happen in RU soon, false flag or real, that will give RU cause to attempt mass civilian casualties.
as for what's good for America....this is pretty good. The world will again want American leadership after the disastrous Trump years. Tryannies will look at the impoverished Russian nation and think 3 or 4 times before inviting that upon themselves.
the West has been revived as a unit, after Trump tried to divide it, and America will benefit from that.
Well I think Ukrainians on TV every day all day begging for help and a no fly zone should be all the information anyone needs to realize Ukraine isn't winning.
I disagree on the prolonged bit and casualties. Even if Russia achieves it objectives it is very likely an insurgency will continue. Russia deals with insurgencies by going scorched earth. This will result in high casualties on both sides.
You can spend 10 minutes on Twitter and see that Russia is losing a TON of tanks, APCs, vehicles and aircraft.
Putin cannot lose. If he loses he's out of power and that's basically death to him. He will kill every man woman and child in Ukraine before he accepts defeat and goes home. Ukraine complies or it gets liquidated. That's where we're at.
or the russian army loses its will to fight, the Ukrainians get better SAMs and that reduces the the RU air force to a mess, and RU runs out of missiles.
That said, RU will probably do as you say, kill hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians before it's over. Russians killed far more than that in the 1930s. Bloodthirsty people. Some atrocity will happen in RU soon, false flag or real, that will give RU cause to attempt mass civilian casualties.
All it would is a box of matches to mess up Moscow, why isn't something like that being done over there? A dozen anti war Russians starting a dozen fires all around Moscow would get some attention.
I disagree that "a swift Russian victory is best for the world", not just because Putin is a slimy reptile, but because it would only embolden both Russia and China to devour more fresh meat, like the Baltic states, Poland and DEFINITELY Taiwan. Try to think a step or two ahead of your shallow thesis.
That said, as long as Biden/Harris are at the wheel, there will be nothing but death and misery in these states neighboring either Russia or China. With the USA slashing it's own wrists by installing these corrupt Morans, Russia and China, to achieve their agendas, have to seize the opportunity to relegate the West forever.
I'm thinking more than 2 steps ahead. You're thinking short term.
Your Dunning-Kruger is comparable to Trump in 2020 who managed to botch what should have been a walkover victory over a cognitively-damaged basement-dweller. Quite impressive, but distressingly common hereabouts.
as for what's good for America....this is pretty good. The world will again want American leadership after the disastrous Trump years. Tryannies will look at the impoverished Russian nation and think 3 or 4 times before inviting that upon themselves.
the West has been revived as a unit, after Trump tried to divide it, and America will benefit from that.
Biden and Obama are the reason this war is happening...
Trump tried to "divide the west" by asking NATO to pay more for defense and stop relying on Russian energy?
Your position is logically incoherent.
You can hate the scary orange man without saying things that have no basis in reality.
Obama and Biden gave Russia Georgia. They made "red lines" in Syria and then did nothing when they were crossed. They gave Russia the Crimea. They toppled the pro-Ukrainian government.
The "leadership" you're so proud caused this mess.
as for what's good for America....this is pretty good. The world will again want American leadership after the disastrous Trump years. Tryannies will look at the impoverished Russian nation and think 3 or 4 times before inviting that upon themselves.
the West has been revived as a unit, after Trump tried to divide it, and America will benefit from that.
Biden and Obama are the reason this war is happening...
Trump tried to "divide the west" by asking NATO to pay more for defense and stop relying on Russian energy?
Your position is logically incoherent.
You can hate the scary orange man without saying things that have no basis in reality.
Obama and Biden gave Russia Georgia. They made "red lines" in Syria and then did nothing when they were crossed. They gave Russia the Crimea. They toppled the pro-Ukrainian government.
The "leadership" you're so proud caused this mess.
yes, absolutely Trump tried to strengthen NATO and commercial and social+political ties between Europe and the US. He placed a very high value on diplomacy and uniting the West. You are 100% right, ace. Nailed it.
I'm thinking more than 2 steps ahead. You're thinking short term.
Your Dunning-Kruger is comparable to Trump in 2020 who managed to botch what should have been a walkover victory over a cognitively-damaged basement-dweller. Quite impressive, but distressingly common hereabouts.
There's a direct relationship between the likelihood of something suffering from Dunning-Kruger and how often they mention it.
Trump lost an election with 99% of media openly campaigning against him in the midst of a fabricated Russian hoax scandal. The fact that the election was still decided by a few thousand votes should give you people a little perspective.
China is the real enemy. Russia will never become a super power again. Putin knows this. He just doesn't want NATO on his border putting missiles defense systems everywhere undermining the only thing that gives Russia relevance.
Your Dunning-Kruger is comparable to Trump in 2020 who managed to botch what should have been a walkover victory over a cognitively-damaged basement-dweller. Quite impressive, but distressingly common hereabouts.
There's a direct relationship between the likelihood of something suffering from Dunning-Kruger and how often they mention it.
Trump lost an election with 99% of media openly campaigning against him in the midst of a fabricated Russian hoax scandal. The fact that the election was still decided by a few thousand votes should give you people a little perspective.
China is the real enemy. Russia will never become a super power again. Putin knows this. He just doesn't want NATO on his border putting missiles defense systems everywhere undermining the only thing that gives Russia relevance.
hey you know that the trump campaign worked with Russia, right?
