Looking good!
Looking good!
Oh Snap Peas!
Yutre wrote:
Looking good!
That's because you are an idiot.
Care to explain, or can you only insult?
Open your eyes and visualize the pattern on the chart, or is that too much to ask a Snap Peas brain?
The 6-year trend line is flat. What's wrong with that?
A mature business cycle like others, to be followed by a downturn and recession. Rinse and repeat.
Tell me something I don't already know. Meanwhile the markets are setting records and the trend line is flat. Those who invested several years ago are laughing all the way to the bank.
la gente está muy loca wrote:
agip wrote:https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=eGB2https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=eGBbhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=eGBjinteresting fact:
when the unemployment rate starts to tick up from a low point, we quickly go into recession.
or put another way, in the past we go into recession just months after peak employment.
Look at the graph you posted - it's remarkable how consistent that is. You wouldn't expect an economy to go into recession at such high levels of employment. Something strange going on. or just a coincidence.
gente come on...how about a topic sentence and a conclusion?
You'll ride it down Yu tre fool.
LOL. I'm not you.
Ummm...ever heard of the Philips Curve ?
Didn't you go to an Ivy League school ?
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=eGB2
As UNRATE approaches full employment; 4.5% on this graph, inflation usually begins to pick up.
Fed responds by pushing up short term rates.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=eGBj
Yield curve tightens or inverts, and recession usually follows. Except in 1966, offset by massive Fed spending; The Great Society and Vietnam; plus Fed quickly reversed tightening.
Question, is this time different ? We are now under 4.5% UNRATE, inlation still subdued, for now, but how much longer?
Uh, yeah right...ya know...sure.
LOL. I'm not you.
We know. The other guy is Igy the troll.
Igy left months ago, get with it. Or are you the guy with the Igy obsession.
montrose slim wrote:
Igy left months ago, get with it. Or are you the guy with the Igy obsession.
He hasn't left! He's just changed handles multiple times since he posted the OP.
thanks Gente
agreed inflation is the wild card - there is stubborn low inflation, which suggests slack the system. or all this technology, use of credit cards, collapse in oil, and globalism have fundamentally changed something about inflation.
or maybe the economy is actually growing at just 1-2% and that's not enough to spark inflation.
My going thesis is that GDP is underestimating true growth, but maybe our GDP readings are right. That would suggest lower interest rates for a while.
You sound like that other guy.
montrose slim wrote:
You sound like that other guy.
I sound like many other people posting here.
Only one is still touting of making an accurate statement years ago that the Dow is going down. Now he's trying to convince people that if they wait until it drops, they will be so stupid that they will feel compelled to get out then.
He feels he is the only smart investor which, as of today, has proved to be dead wrong.
