Fifth to finish could be Vincent Kipchumba, also known last year as Vincent Toroitich, 29yo and ranked 6. Won Vienna in 2.06.56 and Amsterdam in 2.05.09. Previous best was 2.10.32 when second in Dresden in 2016. Experts at year end 2019 selected him top ten on the basis of those two wins. I lined them up against Shifera Tamru who had two times under 2.05.30 and placed Vincent outside my top twenty.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Fifth to finish could be Vincent Kipchumba, also known last year as Vincent Toroitich, 29yo and ranked 6. Won Vienna in 2.06.56 and Amsterdam in 2.05.09. Previous best was 2.10.32 when second in Dresden in 2016. Experts at year end 2019 selected him top ten on the basis of those two wins. I lined them up against Shifera Tamru who had two times under 2.05.30 and placed Vincent outside my top twenty.
Tamru and his management may baulk at the idea of competing in South Korea this year, home of most of his success.
Greg Zou Ming wrote:
You are consistently wrong .
Alright then, among the women 5th to 7th seems to be three tough choices: who do you think?
The races are going to be cancelled as an over reaction to you know what.
Depends how quick Azimeraw wants to go on this course. It’s not Amsterdam but the top three should get away from her by 30k even if Degitu is on song. Then it comes down to the rest sorting themselves out.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Greg Zou Ming wrote:
You are consistently wrong .
Alright then, among the women 5th to 7th seems to be three tough choices: who do you think?
Fifth lady could be Joyciline Jepkosgei, 26yo and ranked 46. Was ranked 44 when I was researching this but was passed by the third and fourth finishers from Tokyo who rocketed up the rankings. Jepkosgei won a major on debut, New York in 2.22.38 when at the time she was the holder of the WR for the half: 64.51 at Valencia in 2017. You could still say Joyciline holds it until the new one is ratified.
Next to cross the line may be Tamirat Tola, 28yo and ranked 84. He is much better than that ranking. Sixth here last year in 2.06.57 then fourth in NY. Also 4th in NY the previous year. PB of 2.04.06, third in Dubai in 2018.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
Alright then, among the women 5th to 7th seems to be three tough choices: who do you think?
Fifth lady could be Joyciline Jepkosgei, 26yo and ranked 46. Was ranked 44 when I was researching this but was passed by the third and fourth finishers from Tokyo who rocketed up the rankings. Jepkosgei won a major on debut, New York in 2.22.38 when at the time she was the holder of the WR for the half: 64.51 at Valencia in 2017. You could still say Joyciline holds it until the new one is ratified.
Selly Chepyego Kaptich and Sutume Asefa Kebede are the two ranked higher now.
No one is crossing the line bro, it will be cancelled
No one is crossing the line bro, it will be cancelled
dark cloud wrote:
No one is crossing the line bro, it will be cancelled
No chance, it is the unofficial world champs
Aussiestatman wrote:
Greg Zou Ming wrote:
You are consistently wrong .
Alright then, among the women 5th to 7th seems to be three tough choices: who do you think?
Sixth woman may be the living legend, Vivian Cheruiyot, 36yo and ranked 18. Second here last year in 2.20.14 then fourth in Valencia in 2.18.52. One of only two ladies to have two sub 2.20.15 times last year. There has only been 65 performances by 39 athletes across all of marathon history under that time.
Seventh to finish should be Marius Kipserem, 31yo and ranked 9. Won Rotterdam last April in 2.04.11 after winning on the short course of Abu Dhabi in December the previous year in 2.04.04. Solidifies a place in the top ten of marathon running with a positive result here. With Legese winning Tokyo: if Desisa, Cherono and yimer fill the podium in Boston; that leaves the top six here to fill the top ten in my opinion. The only exception to that is Kamworor who was running the world half champs in Poland that are postponed until the fall.
Unless the London Marathon gets cancelled.
Aussiestatman wrote:
GenkiDama wrote:
I must completely diagree with your opinions. The Ineos exhibition is worthless and irrelevant. Bekele run in Berlin was much more impressive than that.
Bekele is more talented than Kipchoge and has been taking his training very seriously, apparently having a better schedule than for his Berlin race and being for the moment injury free. There is nothing to indicate that Bekele will not come in top shape. More talented , with a better finish and a better killer mindset.
Bekele for the win.
Kenenisa Bekele is my pick for third. He is 37yo and ranked 10. Won Berlin last year when I had him pegged fourth, so I underestimated his ability and training then. His time of 2.01.41 was only two seconds off the WR. His previous best was 2.03.03 when winning in the same city three years prior.
I wonder how his training is going?
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
Alright then, among the women 5th to 7th seems to be three tough choices: who do you think?
Sixth woman may be the living legend, Vivian Cheruiyot, 36yo and ranked 18. Second here last year in 2.20.14 then fourth in Valencia in 2.18.52. One of only two ladies to have two sub 2.20.15 times last year. There has only been 65 performances by 39 athletes across all of marathon history under that time.
With the letter from the organisers, do you think its too early to revive this using the list from April? I would resume with the seventh woman. More than 54 days away, gives me time to go even more in depth.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Depends how quick Azimeraw wants to go on this course. It’s not Amsterdam but the top three should get away from her by 30k even if Degitu is on song. Then it comes down to the rest sorting themselves out.
Here is your seventh lady if the same start list applies in October. 21yo with outstanding debut in Amsterdam.
https://worldathletics.org/news/report/amsterdam-toronto-lisbon-delhi-half-marathonAussiestatman wrote:
Seventh to finish should be Marius Kipserem, 31yo and ranked 9. Won Rotterdam last April in 2.04.11 after winning on the short course of Abu Dhabi in December the previous year in 2.04.04. Solidifies a place in the top ten of marathon running with a positive result here. With Legese winning Tokyo: if Desisa, Cherono and yimer fill the podium in Boston; that leaves the top six here to fill the top ten in my opinion. The only exception to that is Kamworor who was running the world half champs in Poland that are postponed until the fall.
Shura Kitata next: 4th in London and 5th in New York last year after second in both in 2018.
The only good thing about the cancelled races has been the lack of these idiotic conversations Aussiestatman has with himself. Give it a rest, you’re giving our country a bad name. The rest of the world will think that we’re simple.
stop it, no one cares wrote:
The only good thing about the cancelled races has been the lack of these idiotic conversations Aussiestatman has with himself. Give it a rest, you’re giving our country a bad name. The rest of the world will think that we’re simple.
Some do care.