wildwoods wrote:
Texas has an at-large team wrote:
El Paso Eastwood got an at-large bid this year
The question is why did they get an at-large? Their speed ratings are significantly lower than other potential teams and they were dead last at NXN in 2018. Clearly the committee doesn't pick the best teams. Lots of politics behind the scenes.
Jesuit is ahead of El Paso scored through their top 1 runner, top 2, top 3, top 4, top 5 and Jesuit would win if it went to the 6th man on tiebreaker. It's not close, yet Jesuit is staying home.
Here's El Paso's speed ratings from their last race.
Juan Olmos 185
Elias Perez 184
Nathan Hernandez 175
Victor Parra 169
Sergio Leon Cuartas 166
Andres Gurrola 156
Victor Anchondo 145
Then you've got Jesuit from CA
Matt Strangio 197
Spencer Pickren 180
Michael Chambers 180
Jacob Swanson 172
Braden King 171
Nicholas Salonites 171
Chase Gordon 156
That's fine for speed ratings. What do other people's opinions who might have a reasonable understanding of the teams (statistically based or otherwise) say?
(By the way, aside from the #1, it looks like Eastwood has had similar ratings at each position when compared to Jesuit; Cuartas and Parra got 175 and 174 from Meylan at their state meet and going by his ratings they were just off at NXR).
As for last year, they were an AQ team ... not sure what relevance that has. If it's that they weren't good enough to get an at-large last year I'd agree, but that doesn't seem to have any relevance for this aside from the fact that they were in the field and returned almost everyone.
FWIW, I don't think there's a significant difference between El Paso Eastwood and about 4-5 other teams that didn't make it in. I don't envy the committee needing to choose who gets in and who gets left out.