Sub 2:03 would be impressive (but not a surprise given Bekele's talent), but I think something between 2:03-2:04 is more likely.
This assumes, of course, that he is fully fit and healthy.
Sub 2:03 would be impressive (but not a surprise given Bekele's talent), but I think something between 2:03-2:04 is more likely.
This assumes, of course, that he is fully fit and healthy.
I see three scenarios:
1-He wins and runs surprisingly fast (under 2:04).
2-He runs poorly. Either doesn't win, or wins but in a time slower than 2:07.
3-He wins in a time between 2:04 and 2:07.
IMO, scenario; 1 he should keep at it and try to challenge Kipchoge in the next WC or OG.
Senario 2; he should retire.
Senario 3; I don't know what he should do in this case.
BTW, scenario 3 is most likely.
Tortoise wrote:
Sweat elite predicts KB will run 2:02:34 based of a super fast tempo, but if KB gets it right couldnt he run faster then Kipchoge based of all the other times hes beat kipchoge in a non marathon setting
https://www.instagram.com/p/BpJhHrvhGTw/?utm_source=ig_share_sheet&igshid=1p0cbmxd6fko7
Weather seems good..but any word on how fast pacers going out?
62:30. I remember at London 2016, Bekele refused to run with 63:00 because he wasn't ready to run with weak athletes. It seems he's nearly ready.
https://twitter.com/albertostretti/status/1053665730313502721/photo/1
My bad.. 62:20 tomorrow. I should wear glasses.
Tortoise wrote:
Sweat elite predicts KB will run 2:02:34 based of a super fast tempo, but if KB gets it right couldnt he run faster then Kipchoge based of all the other times hes beat kipchoge in a non marathon setting
https://www.instagram.com/p/BpJhHrvhGTw/?utm_source=ig_share_sheet&igshid=1p0cbmxd6fko7
KB is a superb responder to EPO, so a "WR" isn't out of the realm of possibility.
Banana Bread wrote:
I can't wait to see him in Amsterdam. 2:02:34 would be sweat. Smashing the course record by that much. He always was the greatest. He will get better again and get the wr next year hopefully. I can't wait to see him.
When I see him on the television, I literally get the urge to touch myself down there. The sight of his pumping, manly thighs and I have to stroke my tiny member until I make a mess of my pyjamas. My mom came in once while I was on the short strokes and I literally didn’t know what to do
15% chance he goes sub 2:03.
35% chance sub 2:05.
50% chance DNF.
Primo Numero Uno wrote:
15% chance he goes sub 2:03.
35% chance sub 2:05.
50% chance DNF.
If they go out at 62:20, I think high chance he finishes.
He’s only DNF twice in marathon career
I don't know why people continue to have such high expectations for Bekele. Despite what Shakespeare wrote, beyond a certain point, what's past is NOT prologue.
Is he going to have a guy on a bicycle carrying his fluids ala Eliud?
62:20 is probably a good pace to start for a 36 year old Bekele. If he is in reasonable shape I say he has a slight positive split in a winning effort and goes 2:04:55.
It`s absolutely impossible to predict his performance tomorrow in Amsterdam . There is no recent races to predict out from .
But he ran 2.03 2016 in Berlin so of course he can run fast tomorrow. Only two years back.Will be an interesting race!
He has packed on 13 kg thanks to his banana cream pie diet and he will be the first clinically obese person to run under 2:07
Did people forget about his 2:08 in London? Sure when he was a 12:37 guy he was a sub 2:01 guy without a doubt but those days are long past. 2:04 high at absolute best. 2:06 mid - 2:07 low is more likely.
Tortoise wrote:
Sweat elite predicts KB will run 2:02:34 based of a super fast tempo, but if KB gets it right couldnt he run faster then Kipchoge based of all the other times hes beat kipchoge in a non marathon setting
Zero credibility... if he runs poorly we'll hear about how he had a calf injury and was only 55% fit.
George213 wrote:
Is he the same guy who call Ryan Hall a 2:04 marathoner?
That's because he was a 2:04 marathoner. He ran 2:04 in a major marathon. The fastest time ever run in a marathon by an american runner.
FACTS
Scorpion_runner wrote:
George213 wrote:
Is he the same guy who call Ryan Hall a 2:04 marathoner?
That's because he was a 2:04 marathoner. He ran 2:04 in a major marathon. The fastest time ever run in a marathon by an american runner.
FACTS
Guys just ignore him, he doesn't understand what record eligible means.
So that prediction works with : 62'20"+60'14"=122'34"
That seems rather unlikely !
To be fair, after running 2:08 in London he made no excuses. He simply said opening pace was too fast on him, his preparations had gone well and that he perhaps didn't have the fitness he wanted that day. I feel it really is a matter of him stringing together a good uninterrupted training block with no injury or any other bullshit