Dretch wrote:
It actually seems like he could qualify in any of three events: 1500, 5000, or 10000. Course rounds could affect him. But, he can run hard from the gun, handle surges and has a good kick so hard to imagine he couldn't finish in the top 3 whatever he chooses to run. Just based on how he's looked and the fact that Rupp, Hill, Centro, Derrick, Lagat and others all have various degrees of question marks right now.
I'd say that Mead is a safe bet to take at least one spot of the six total open between the 5K/10K. True looks good to fill in one of those as well. Rupp, unless injured is a lock for one at least one. (I assume he will only run the 10000 at Trials, or only run the 10000 at the Olympics). That's half the distance allotment for Rio.
Another spot will likely go to Chelenga or one of the naturualized army guys.
We'll see if Hill can get his mojo back. Derrick looks super doubtful. Lagat dropped out today but could be dangerous in a slow trials race with his kick. A miler like Torrence or Blankenship could be a factor in the 5000 for the same reason.
Definitely a lot of ways this can play out, but Mead looks as close to a lock as anybody right now.
This guy nailed it. If only Vegas had futures on T&F, right!?