Somebloke-Just so you know, 9 miles at HMP is incredibly hard. I have seen many folks skip that workout completely. Some do 7 miles instead. Some try the whole 9, fail, and still achieve the marathon time they wanted.
Yes agreed, getting in 9 miles at 6:50/7:00 pace seems daunting but I’m going to give it a go. I’d been progressing up the LT runs and got to 6 miles at 6:55, then did one that was 9 miles split as 6@7:00, 5 min rec, 3@6:55. I will give all 9 miles a go at 6:50/7:00 pace, but would claim victory with 7 or 8 miles at that pace.
Places - Where do you live and where is the race. If you're training in the heat now and race day is going to be a lot cooler, you should be okay with the paces you are running. Once cooler temps come, your training times will likely come down too.
I’m on the east coast, I run early so it’s only about 75-80 degrees with standard humidity. The race is in mid September so it’ll be a bit cooler but probably not by much. But it definitely won’t be as hot as July and August.
Giver - The trouble is these long runs with 10-12 miles at MP is you don't really know your MP at this point. If you end up hammering these runs, maybe that isn't your MP.
Yes, sometimes it takes a hard/LT type of effort to keep 7:15 pace during those last few miles, but I usually hit the pace. I think the redlining is probably partly due to the level of fatigue the plan introduces (these runs occur in the middle of training), and partly due 7:15 maybe not being the marathon pace I’m capable of just yet. I will definitely be keeping an eye on both pace and effort.
Reed - Ideally you'd have some recent race results to indicate a goal MP, but it seems you won't be racing until the marathon. You should use the 9mi tempo to determine your goal race pace. take your 9mi tempo pace and call that half marathon pace, unless you think it was extremely difficult. then double it and add about 12-14 minutes. use that as your goal time. If I had to guess right now, I'd say you should start off at 7:20-7:25/mi for at least ten miles before speeding up if you can.
Point taken regarding not adding more MP miles, and I will be monitoring next week’s 9 mile tempo pacing (and effort) closely. If running 6:50 feels like I’m making a 6:10 effort for those last few miles, I’ll use your marathon goal time formula. And yes, right now 7:25 for 26.2 feels doable, but 7:15 seems more daunting. But yes, I was going to start at 7:20/7:25 for the marathon and see how that goes, and if I could make a push in the second half then great. And if not, settling for a 3:15 marathon would be ok too. I would try to shave off those last 5 minutes by the end of this year sometime.
Incorrect - There are two 8-15k races in the last 4-5 weeks of the plan. The idea is to race them flat out.
So if I try for a 15K race, this should be at tempo/HM pace, yes? That is what I was planning to do, but if that is wrong please advise. I think Reed was talking about starting off at 7:20-7:25/mi for the marathon.
Slo-Twitch - i would try to schedule a race- ideally a half (or at least 15k)- 4-5 weeks out. I guess there aren't that many this time of year. But if you do the 9 mile "simulation", I wouldn't worry if it's a bit slower than your goal hmp.
Yeah, so next week is about 5 weeks out and the plan calls for 8-15K race, with 9-13 miles total including warmup and cooldown. I’m planning to race the 9 miles at tempo/HM pace. I would love to run a HM to try and break 1:30, as this seems to be one of the standard measuring sticks, but also lots of people have said that could be too much given this is my first cycle at +60 mpw.
Wow Oh wow - Wow, you just saved this guy's marathon... in a big way. Hopefully he reads the rest of the plan a little more closely.
So yes, you are saying racing a HM is too much, while others say it’s a great measuring stick. I guess it all depends on the level of experience!
Thanks again for the comments everyone.