It's still too far out to tell but it looks like there is going to be a warm day early next week. wunderground predicts Sunday to be the warm day with highs of 72 and weather.com predicts Monday to be the hot one with a high of 74. Either way, a high in the low 70s should not be too unbearable, although not ideal. And every weather source is predicting a tailwind.
Think it will be too hot??? Don't run. Think it will affect your health? Don't run. Worried about paying that kind of money to see if you can jog/walk 26 miles??? Too bad.
8am [don't they start at 8am now?] 54 degrees, 10 am 61, wind WNW @10mph, dew point 45. If I were racing I would kill for this forecast to come to fruition. Probably one of the top 10 Bostons in terms of weather if this holds.
Anyone that dismisses the effects of hot weather on a marathon either hasnt run a marathon or hasnt been so lucky as to run one in the 80's. The weather plays a HUGE part in your performance in the marathon.
It's not some 5k, 70+ degrees and sunny isn't really what you want.
26mi235 wrote:
8am [don't they start at 8am now?] 54 degrees, 10 am 61, wind WNW @10mph, dew point 45. If I were racing I would kill for this forecast to come to fruition. Probably one of the top 10 Bostons in terms of weather if this holds.
No, it starts at 10am. Also, b/c in Boston none of the trees have bloomed, there is no shade on the course at all.
raham wrote:
It's still too far out to tell... And every weather source is predicting a tailwind.
Which means, of course, it will be a headwind ;-)
I doubt it will be that warm...but if it is bring it on! I ran in the Nor'easter a few years back and survived without a problem. I'd prefer running in the "heat" than in that. If you made it to Boston nothing except yourself is going to hold you back! See ya there!
Kevin52 wrote:
raham wrote:It's still too far out to tell... And every weather source is predicting a tailwind.
Which means, of course, it will be a headwind ;-)
Ha! I'd take an overcast day with a headwind and 50 degrees over 75 and sunny with a tailwind.
ray wrote:
Think it will be too hot??? Don't run. Think it will affect your health? Don't run. Worried about paying that kind of money to see if you can jog/walk 26 miles??? Too bad.
Woah! You're such a cool, tough, bad ass guy. You can probably walk a boston qualifier time in 80 degree heat. You'd just rather not do it, b/c you're too cool to actually pay for a race.
Has nothing to do with badass son, it has to do with common sense. If I want to prove to myself that I can run 26.2 miles I'd go out and do it, I wouldn't pay $150.00 and then piss and moan about the weather. Far too many people "running" marathons that have no business being out there. That's the point.
raham wrote:
Kevin52 wrote:Which means, of course, it will be a headwind ;-)
Ha! I'd take an overcast day with a headwind and 50 degrees over 75 and sunny with a tailwind.
As would I. The tailwind last year just made the air stagnant and provided zero cooling. I'd give away the small benefit for a cooler breeze. Even if in my face.
sdot wrote:
It's just a marathon....nothing to freak out about. I'd be concerned if it was a long ultra or something, however. Not worth worrying about for the 26.2ers.
Yes 80 sucks for a marathon and I personally fcuking hate heat. Last year's 100k Worlds and Euros were really really "fun" in that regard. 10 AM start, temps in the low 80s, sunny, and 100% humidity. This race had a 40% dropout rate. Hell, I'd have been happy to only be running a marathon that day. Drink like a fish and take your salt and suck it up!
ray wrote:
Has nothing to do with badass son, it has to do with common sense. If I want to prove to myself that I can run 26.2 miles I'd go out and do it, I wouldn't pay $150.00 and then piss and moan about the weather. Far too many people "running" marathons that have no business being out there. That's the point.
And you would go around telling everyone how you ran a 2:30 marathon on an unmeasured course timed by your Iron Man 50 lap stopwatch. You are cool.
Who the heck is this ray character?
I found this explanation from the local CBS station to be helpful. Explains why some websites are predicting one thing while the others another. Probably basing them off of different models.
So will this year be another year for the weather record books?
It is possible.
Very warm air will be flowing into New England this weekend, temperatures will top 70 by Sunday.
A cold front will be the key to this forecast.
The big question is when will it pass through.
The best bet right now would be late on Monday, meaning the heat would peak on Marathon Day, perhaps topping 80 degrees, challenging the record for the date of 84 degrees set back in 2003.
Not the forecast that runners were hoping for.
However if that cold front speeds up a bit, and some models are hinting at this, much more seasonal air would flow in from the northwest and temperatures would be in the 50s and 60s, much more tolerable.
There are, of course, several days to go and we will be tracking the evolution and progression of the cold front which will either be the runners best friend or a record breaking worst enemy!
http://boston.cbslocal.com/2012/04/10/boston-marathon-weather-forecast-update-80-degrees-possible/
is there any chance that this is exactly the kind of reaction the weather channel and wunderground advertisement people want? if they predict some dramatic forcast for a day that has a lot of significance to a lot of people in the new england/boston region, way more people will check the weather this week and it will boost their numbers.
im no conspiracy theorist, that just seems like a good business move to me.
ray wrote:
Has nothing to do with badass son, it has to do with common sense. If I want to prove to myself that I can run 26.2 miles I'd go out and do it, I wouldn't pay $150.00 and then piss and moan about the weather. Far too many people "running" marathons that have no business being out there. That's the point.
Ray, I kind of agree with you. Everyone nowadays expects a PB and a PB day with these modern marathon "experiences". "It's not a race; it's an adventure".
You Boston marathoners should be RELISHING the 80 degree day - show us what kind of RACER you are, show us you can make the conditions work FOR YOU as you reel in people the last 5 miles.
Last time I checked the conditions are the same for everybody.
yagtash wrote:
is there any chance that this is exactly the kind of reaction the weather channel and wunderground advertisement people want? if they predict some dramatic forcast for a day that has a lot of significance to a lot of people in the new england/boston region, way more people will check the weather this week and it will boost their numbers.
im no conspiracy theorist, that just seems like a good business move to me.
Weather Underground is in line with Accuweather in predicting mid 60's.
It's the NOAA and Weather channel that are thinking 70+.
As to your question, I have no idea.
codger wrote:
You Boston marathoners should be RELISHING the 80 degree day
Please explain this assertion.
Office bragging rights.