Rupp Paces ritz out through the first 16 then drops.
Halls wins 2:08:10, Meb comes through in 2:09:50 for second, and Gotcher takes 3rd in 2:10:09 after Ritz drops in a severe amount of pain around 20.
Shalane sits on Desi the entire way and then leaves her in the dust in the last 2 miles. Kara does not make the marathon team. The camera (where ever it is putting the images, certainly not live online) shows Boulet crossing the finish 20 seconds ahead of 4th place.
Running in the Rain wrote:
The women go through the Half in 1:16 in a huge pack. Shalane, Desi and Kara break away while Deena holds back and picks off Kara at the end. Shalne wins in 2:26:50
poor planning again wrote:
If it goes out in 1:16 and Deena doesn't respond to the break, she can not make the team.
This is such a stupid statement. Of course she can still make the team if she doesn't go with a break. Running in the Rain just gave a scenario by which it could happen. In fact, that's close to what what Brian Sell did in 2007.
Dnf by ritz and meb both. Hall wins in 2:10.30. Two "lesser names" fill the remaining two spots in around 2:12. What's the Olympic qualifying time cutoff?
Dnf by ritz and meb both. Hall wins in 2:10.30. Two "lesser names" fill the remaining two spots in around 2:12. What's the Olympic qualifying time cutoff?
Doesn't anyone else think that Mo Trafeh might be a big surprise here? He has a 1:00:39 half from last year in New York. Obviously, if he has a good day he could be dangerous. He has never run a full marathon though so who knows?
This is fun.
I agree with the poster who said Ritz drops in serious pain, but I think it happens at 22 miles.
Alright, this is pretty easy. Rupp has never run a marathon, and has just run 26:48 in the 10k indicating that he's pretty good at that. I say he's just in to pace the race out fast.
I say the race ends very uninterestingly with
1. Hall 2:08:34
2. Meb 2:09:59
3. Ritz 2:10:42
Rupp drops out after 16 or so, and Mo Trafeh DNFs as well.
Ritz hits a huge PR and essentially ties Hall (Ritz intentionally lets up in a sprint finish) and all the first 3 are under 2:10. Meb stays home.
Hall 2:08:36
Ritz 2:08:43
1. Hall wins in a race that goes remarkably similar to 2008's trails. He breaks from the field somewhere in the "teen" miles and is never really challenged.
2. The race is slower than everyone is predicting. Hall is under 2:10, but nobody else is. Times look a lot like 2008, with 10th place being 2:15 or so.
3. Meb has a horrible day or drops. Just not enough time after NYC to recover properly.
4. Other two spots are a surprise, meaning they are not Rupp or Ritz.
5. Women's race goes more to form. Davila first then Flanagan, and then third place quite a bit behind them.
someone other than Hall, Meb, Ritz or Rupp leads by 60+ seconds at 12 miles. Hall will haul him in by 18, but it will be tense to see if Meb and Ritz do.
In the end, Hall, Meb and someone previously considered second tier make the team.
Hall will not win.
Trafeh runs 2:09:28 +/- 15 seconds.
Rupp wins and Hall doesn't qualify.
Time to examine these, I suppose:
I said "Rupp and Hall come through the half together in 1:03:58 AND Desi Davila loses to Shalane in a kick"
Not too far off on that half time and remotely close on the Shalane/Desi finish. How did you do?
Running in the Rain wrote:
Rupp does not start.
Everything comes together for Ritz Winning in 2:07:55 . Hall and Meb 30 seconds back.
The women go through the Half in 1:16 in a huge pack. Shalane, Desi and Kara break away while Deena holds back and picks off Kara at the end. Shalne wins in 2:26:50
Got the first part right. Everything else was pretty much off, oh well. I am glad to see Meb and his skechers win this one and Kara pull out third. Mebs PR progression has to be in the smallest increments ever.
Also Andrew Carlson had a great debut!