This is a better-than-average LetsRun thread (even if I think that he should not race a 10,000 this year.
Teg has as his most important race the 5000 at the World Cup, his first big International meet (he did race well at WC XC as a Junior/5th). He needs speed for that race, as it is a Championship 5000 where only place matters. It will yo-yo in pace and go fast at the end. He needs to be able to run the last 1200 in under 3:00 (well under if the pace is slow). He will try to run like he did with Lagat at Nationals. It will give him an extra boost that Lagat said that we was on the edge given Teg's surge in the closing laps, especially since Lagat turned around and beat KB.
Teg/Jerry S have been cautious about mileage and is slowly building up the mileage after Teg's college injuries related to adjusting to higher mileage/intensity (complicated by growing four inches). Teg has stated that he thinks he will eventually end up in the 10,000 but is currently focused on the 5000. If he can have enough patience to wait so can we.
Jerry has apparently found a way to develop miler speed and remember that Jerry was a pretty good college miler. He also has a pretty good amount of experience now even though he is only in his 30s. He also has done pretty well this year with Bairu/team winning XC, Solinsky 3000i/5000 double with flair, and Teg.
[These comments belong in here as well!]
Reasons Why Teg Shouldn't Run the 10,000...
1. He's doing pretty well at the 5k. What if he just went for the American record in that?
2. If he wants to focus on the 5k for the Olympics then what's the point of running a 10k? Just because the record is easier to break? So he can have two A standards and look for the easiest field? Why should he let competition dictate his race?
3. A 10k does take a lot of your legs. Will it burn him out - no. But if he's close to peaking or in his peak phase then if he runs a 10k he'll pretty much have to take the next week off before racing again. But if he runs a 5k he could race on back to back weekends to give him two shots to break 13. Furthermore, since he's well into his season he's probably dropped his mileage down to run fast, and he hasn't been focusing on the 10k, so who's to say he'll go out there and run fast?
4. He does have something to lose. Nobody likes running badly.
5. As far as I know, he doesn't want to, and last I checked it's his career.
6. There are coaches in America who believe the exact opposite of you. That our biggest problem is we immediately move everyone up too soon instead of focusing on their speed early. This is one of the reasons why we don't have very many world class 800 meter runners anymore, and why our distance runners never have a strong enough kick at the end of races. You probably would have made Seb Coe a 5k runner.