one of the real questions for Tokyo favorites... who can summon as close to a 12-mid kick in a 3:29 race after rounds?
the main protagonists who've shown that capability best to close that fast recently (not incl. effect of rounds, and could be missing some):
- Laros (Brussels and Zurich 2025)
- Hocker, Strand, Jonah Koech (USAs 2025)
- The Cheruiyots (their 12.1/12.2 in Silesia 2025, also Reynold closed 12.7 today)
For other contenders, Phanuel Koech is looking much more like a strength based guy based on his last 100m (weirdly given his 800m background), Habz too. I don't think Kerr has closed that hard, certainly not Kingebrigtsen.
the scarier thing to me is Laros has been doing it on the DL circuit and I can't imagine that he's fully tapered for these races... Hocker's kick was a bit dusted in 3:29/3:30 DL races under similar circumstances (Lausanne 1500m last year)
Laros is shining through with the killer instinct which we see from Kerr, but with an upgraded kick. either way this whole event is a fascinating tossup and race positioning/rounds management is key