I think the kid has it, killer instinct and the obvious ability to boot
discus:
I agree, as long as he avoids tactical mistakes (which can easily happen in a big championship with such a deep field), he’s my pick for the win. He’s got the best kick in the field (ahead of Hocker and Kerr in my opinion), and the only way to take the sting out of it would be a race going out at 3:27 low/mid pace — which simply won’t happen without Jakob or even with a slightly diminished Jakob. He doesn’t need to make the race, since he’s the best kicker. He’s the favorite.
There are three people who matched his kick at the US trials (mid 12 last 100 with 53 second last laps in a 3:30 race). I wouldn’t place his kick ahead of any of them, I believe they are all even for now.
He's also qualified in the 800 and 5000 and said he hasn't decided what events to do. 800 heats are the day between 1500 semis and finals, so there's no way he does that. The only question seems to be does he do the 5000 also.
Would that be enough to get someone to push the pace?
I think the kid has it, killer instinct and the obvious ability to boot
discus:
Correct, but more impressive are the people like me who were predicting it last year.
One almost cannot fathom, but cannot completely rule it out, that Coevett is saying his alleged forecasts of Laros becoming World Champion are more impressive than Laros accomplishing the deed. Or is Coevett saying that his alleged forecasts from last year are more impressive than the OP’s forecast? Well it is odd to say whose forecast is more impressive then as Laros has not become World Champion yet. Bizarre either way.
He should be considered as much a favorite as anyone. As a bookie, maybe you’d give Laros, Hocker and Kerr equal shortest-odds at this point.
This is the best analysis in this thread. If Jakob is healthy, which it seems like he is now, I'd put him at roughly equal odds. P Koech is probably 5th. This is the first year since 2020 where Jakob doesn't have the pressure to win as a huge favorite, and I think that makes him a little more dangerous.
Also, Nuguse obviously has to win the DL final to even compete at Worlds, but if he does, that puts him right back in the favorites category IMO. A month ago, coming out of Pre, I would have considered him the favorite. This year is the most open the 1500 has been at the top in maybe half a decade.
He should be considered as much a favorite as anyone. As a bookie, maybe you’d give Laros, Hocker and Kerr equal shortest-odds at this point.
This is the best analysis in this thread. If Jakob is healthy, which it seems like he is now, I'd put him at roughly equal odds. P Koech is probably 5th. This is the first year since 2020 where Jakob doesn't have the pressure to win as a huge favorite, and I think that makes him a little more dangerous.
Also, Nuguse obviously has to win the DL final to even compete at Worlds, but if he does, that puts him right back in the favorites category IMO. A month ago, coming out of Pre, I would have considered him the favorite. This year is the most open the 1500 has been at the top in maybe half a decade.
It seems odd to me that you think Jakob has been a huge favorite in the 1500m every year since 2020. I wasn’t aware of this. He does seem to be a huge favorite every year at 5000m, this year perhaps excluded.
WHO do you think will pace the field to a high 3:27?
Are you relying on Jakob?
To be honest, I’m expecting the EPO to kick back in for Koech.
Yep. After the race he had the same puzzled look of disappointment that Kiprop showed after upping his doses and then still missing the WR in Monaco years ago. Berardelli and crew will be at work carefully adjusting the mix for the Tokyo sauce.