No hes not going to do it. The claims about the 1k WR were totally unsubstantiated and if he cant break 2:14 during a season when be ran 1:41-low he has no chance of 3:30.
Makhloufi was much better at 1k and his 1500 would be a Jimbo-beating ~3.23 if he could convert like Arop claims
Well he did break 2:14 (2:13.13) and the attempt wasn’t very well executed. That said, I don’t think he’ll ever break 3:30.
peak 1500 age is mid 20s. hes running out of time.
The numbers back you up. Arop will turn 27 this year. There have been 153 instances of someone running under 3:30, and only 25 of those performances were achieved by someone age 28 or older. That's just 16%.
It will take a lot of hard work, but then he's from the city known for people who work hard so anything is possible. He just has to retain the right amount of humility plus self-belief.
Everything I've ever heard of edmonton has been against my will
It will take a lot of hard work, but then he's from the city known for people who work hard so anything is possible. He just has to retain the right amount of humility plus self-belief.
Everything I've ever heard of edmonton has been against my will
He ran a 1:41.20, he can definitely break 3:30. Remember when Mu just decided to run the 1500m at USAs and got like 2nd?
His recent Half Marathon shows he is putting the milage and endurance in.
Your Mu example actually works against your argument. A sub 3:30 for a man might be closer to a sub 3:54 (one can debate this) for a woman, and Mu has not shown she can do this. So not a good example.
Arop is a giant. Way too big to run as good a 1500 as his 800.
What a dumb post.
He isn't proposing that he will run "as good a 1500 as his 800."
He is hundredths off of the world record in the 800, and he isn't suggesting he'll go sub-3:26.00 and run the WR in the 1500. He is suggesting he might be able to 3:29.xx. a full four seconds slower than that.
If he can improve his 800m pb in one season at 26 as much as he did between 21 and 24, there is no reason at all he can't bring down his 1500 pb from 3:43 to sub 3:30 next year at the age of 27.
If he can improve his 800m pb in one season at 26 as much as he did between 21 and 24, there is no reason at all he can't bring down his 1500 pb from 3:43 to sub 3:30 next year at the age of 27.
He ran a 1:41.20, he can definitely break 3:30. Remember when Mu just decided to run the 1500m at USAs and got like 2nd?
His recent Half Marathon shows he is putting the milage and endurance in.
Your Mu example actually works against your argument. A sub 3:30 for a man might be closer to a sub 3:54 (one can debate this) for a woman, and Mu has not shown she can do this. So not a good example.
Sub-3:30 for a man would be 48th all-time (Laban Rotich and Aman Wote at 3:29.91). The comparable women’s time (48th all time) is 3:56.91 by Lyudmila Rogachova and Tatyana Tomashova.
My source is the world athletics all-time lists. Mu, incidentally, ran a 4:03, for 42nd in US history and 354th overall, albeit in a national final where she placed second. A national championship is not where an athlete would go to time trial.
Your Mu example actually works against your argument. A sub 3:30 for a man might be closer to a sub 3:54 (one can debate this) for a woman, and Mu has not shown she can do this. So not a good example.
Sub-3:30 for a man would be 48th all-time (Laban Rotich and Aman Wote at 3:29.91). The comparable women’s time (48th all time) is 3:56.91 by Lyudmila Rogachova and Tatyana Tomashova.
My source is the world athletics all-time lists. Mu, incidentally, ran a 4:03, for 42nd in US history and 354th overall, albeit in a national final where she placed second. A national championship is not where an athlete would go to time trial.
I knew this kind of nonsense would be forthcoming. It is difficult though to say, as the women lack depth of performances compared to the men, and 3:56.91 is almost 8 seconds off the world record, so it is hard to see how it is similar to a sub 3:30.
This is a different era. Virtually entire 1500 fields at champs are now running under 3:30. Arop's run 1:41.2/2:13.13 and the gel/shoes combination have him not feeling lactic in the 8. I think he can do it but I'm not giving him 3:27 or 3:28.
I think he has the ability based on his 800m (and 1000m) performances. Will it come immediately? Or easily? I don't know. If he focuses on it he should get it in 2025 or 2026.