sports operates in moments or windows. you have your opening, you are awesome and ready for it. you grab your moment. mu's moment was through about 2022. mu got hurt, relationship issues, funk, that moment is done. she can't even stay healthy and who knows if she gets the mentality back. it's keely's moment. 2024 keely doesn't race 2021-2 mu other than in some sort of theory thing. they race in 2024. and keely was winning.
i think mu came in at a lull in the sport after they cleared out the intersex folks who dominated for a period. she was much faster than the competition. the level has gone up since then. i think she has the raw goods to have another moment or at least to be an equal rival to keely but can she get healthy and get her mental stuff together. biles did after her twisties. others don't. but what you're arguing is like 2021 biles is messing up but let's argue would 2018 biles beat the 2021 medalists who replaced her when she lost it. the whole thing is they did compete in 2021 and she would either quit or lost. that wasn't her window.
lyles is an odd duck but lyles is like part of the furniture without fail for like 7 years. always in for a gold or at least medal. and even he gets beat in the odd race. that's a long window.